Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices
We evaluate causal dependencies between thirteen indices that represent large-scale climate patterns (El Nino/Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacifc Decadal Oscillation, etc.) using a recently proposed approach based on a linear approximation of the transfer entropy. We dem...
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ftupcatalunyair:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/379385 2023-07-30T04:05:17+02:00 Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices Silini, Riccardo Tirabassi, Giulio Barreiro Parrillo, Marcelo Masoller Alonso, Cristina Ferranti, Laura Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Física Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. DONLL - Dinàmica no Lineal, Òptica no Lineal i Làsers 2023-07 11 p. application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2117/379385 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 eng eng https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/813844/EU/Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes/CAFE info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2021-123994NB-C21/ES/EXPERIMENTOS Y ANALISIS DE DATOS PARA CARACTERIZAR Y PRONOSTICAR EL COMPORTAMIENTO DE SISTEMAS COMPLEJOS/ Silini, R. [et al.]. Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices. "Climate dynamics", Juliol 2023, vol. 61, núm. 1-2, p. 79-89. 0930-7575 http://hdl.handle.net/2117/379385 doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 Attribution 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física Climatology Time--Systems and standards Entropy Dynamic climatology ENSO North Atlantic Oscillation Pacifc Decadal Oscillation Causality Transfer entropy Climatologia Temps--Sistemes i mesures Entropia Climatologia dinàmica Article 2023 ftupcatalunyair https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 2023-07-18T23:07:15Z We evaluate causal dependencies between thirteen indices that represent large-scale climate patterns (El Nino/Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacifc Decadal Oscillation, etc.) using a recently proposed approach based on a linear approximation of the transfer entropy. We demonstrate that this methodology identifes causal relations that are well-known, as well as it uncovers some relations which, to the best of our knowledge, have not yet been reported in the literature. We also identify signifcant changes in causal dependencies that have occurred in the last three decades. Open Access funding provided thanks to the CRUECSIC agreement with Springer Nature. This work received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under Grant Agreement No 813844. C.M. also acknowledges funding by the ICREA ACADEMIA program of Generalitat de Catalunya and Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion, Spain, project PID2021-123994NB-C21. Peer Reviewed Postprint (published version) Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech: UPCommons - Global access to UPC knowledge Climate Dynamics |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech: UPCommons - Global access to UPC knowledge |
op_collection_id |
ftupcatalunyair |
language |
English |
topic |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física Climatology Time--Systems and standards Entropy Dynamic climatology ENSO North Atlantic Oscillation Pacifc Decadal Oscillation Causality Transfer entropy Climatologia Temps--Sistemes i mesures Entropia Climatologia dinàmica |
spellingShingle |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física Climatology Time--Systems and standards Entropy Dynamic climatology ENSO North Atlantic Oscillation Pacifc Decadal Oscillation Causality Transfer entropy Climatologia Temps--Sistemes i mesures Entropia Climatologia dinàmica Silini, Riccardo Tirabassi, Giulio Barreiro Parrillo, Marcelo Masoller Alonso, Cristina Ferranti, Laura Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
topic_facet |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física Climatology Time--Systems and standards Entropy Dynamic climatology ENSO North Atlantic Oscillation Pacifc Decadal Oscillation Causality Transfer entropy Climatologia Temps--Sistemes i mesures Entropia Climatologia dinàmica |
description |
We evaluate causal dependencies between thirteen indices that represent large-scale climate patterns (El Nino/Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacifc Decadal Oscillation, etc.) using a recently proposed approach based on a linear approximation of the transfer entropy. We demonstrate that this methodology identifes causal relations that are well-known, as well as it uncovers some relations which, to the best of our knowledge, have not yet been reported in the literature. We also identify signifcant changes in causal dependencies that have occurred in the last three decades. Open Access funding provided thanks to the CRUECSIC agreement with Springer Nature. This work received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under Grant Agreement No 813844. C.M. also acknowledges funding by the ICREA ACADEMIA program of Generalitat de Catalunya and Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion, Spain, project PID2021-123994NB-C21. Peer Reviewed Postprint (published version) |
author2 |
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Física Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. DONLL - Dinàmica no Lineal, Òptica no Lineal i Làsers |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Silini, Riccardo Tirabassi, Giulio Barreiro Parrillo, Marcelo Masoller Alonso, Cristina Ferranti, Laura |
author_facet |
Silini, Riccardo Tirabassi, Giulio Barreiro Parrillo, Marcelo Masoller Alonso, Cristina Ferranti, Laura |
author_sort |
Silini, Riccardo |
title |
Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
title_short |
Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
title_full |
Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
title_fullStr |
Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
title_sort |
assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2117/379385 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/813844/EU/Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes/CAFE info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2021-123994NB-C21/ES/EXPERIMENTOS Y ANALISIS DE DATOS PARA CARACTERIZAR Y PRONOSTICAR EL COMPORTAMIENTO DE SISTEMAS COMPLEJOS/ Silini, R. [et al.]. Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices. "Climate dynamics", Juliol 2023, vol. 61, núm. 1-2, p. 79-89. 0930-7575 http://hdl.handle.net/2117/379385 doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 |
op_rights |
Attribution 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0 |
container_title |
Climate Dynamics |
_version_ |
1772817085162848256 |