On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation
Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum covariance analysis is used to further investigate the links between autumn SIC i...
Published in: | Environmental Research Letters |
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/2117/337096 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 |
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ftupcatalunyair:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/337096 2023-05-15T14:26:00+02:00 On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation Santolaria-Otín, María García Serrano, Javier Ménégoz, Martin Bech, Joan Barcelona Supercomputing Center 2020 13 p. application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2117/337096 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 eng eng IOP Publishing https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/727862/EU/Advanced Prediction in Polar regions and beyond: Modelling, observing system design and LInkages associated with ArctiC ClimATE change/APPLICATE info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/641727/EU/PRocess-based climate sIMulation: AdVances in high resolution modelling and European climate Risk Assessment/PRIMAVERA http://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670) https://doi.org/10.7289/V5N014G9) https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828) Santolaria-Otín, M. [et al.]. On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. "Environmental Research Letters", 2020, vol. 15, núm. 12, 124010. 1748-9326 http://hdl.handle.net/2117/337096 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 Attribution 3.0 Spain Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access CC-BY Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria agroalimentària::Ciències de la terra i de la vida Climatology Sea ice Sea ice--Arctic regions Atmospheric circulation North Atlantic Oscillation Teleconnection Snow cover Climatologia Article 2020 ftupcatalunyair https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670 https://doi.org/10.7289/V5N014G9 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828 2021-02-26T15:28:01Z Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum covariance analysis is used to further investigate the links between autumn SIC in the Barents-Kara Seas (BK) and SCE over Eurasia (EUR) with winter sea level pressure (SLP) in the North Atlantic-European region over 1979-2019. As shown by previous studies, the most significant covariability mode of SIC/BK is found for November. Similarly, the covariability with SCE/EUR is only statistically significant for November, not for October. Changes in temperature, specific humidity, SIC/BK and SCE/EUR in November are associated with a circulation anomaly over the Ural-Siberian region that appears as a precursor of the winter NAO; where the advection of climatological temperature/humidity by the anomalous flow is related to SCE/EUR and SIC/BK anomalies. The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Commissions H2020 projects APPLICATE (GA 727862) and PRIMAVERA (GA 641727), and the ANR Belmont RACE project (ANR-20-AORS-0002). JG-S has been supported by the Ramón y Cajal programme (RYC-2016-21181). MM has been supported by the MINECO project VOLCADEC (CGL201570177-R). JB has been supported by MINECO projects CGL2016-81828-REDT (AEI) and RTI2018-098693-B643-C32 (AEI). The authors thank Hervé Douville (CNRM/Météo-France) and Guillaume Gastineau (LOCEAN/IPSL, France) for useful discussions, and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable insights. Peer Reviewed Postprint (published version) Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Sea ice Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech: UPCommons - Global access to UPC knowledge Arctic Guillaume ENVELOPE(70.150,70.150,-49.350,-49.350) Environmental Research Letters 15 12 124010 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech: UPCommons - Global access to UPC knowledge |
op_collection_id |
ftupcatalunyair |
language |
English |
topic |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria agroalimentària::Ciències de la terra i de la vida Climatology Sea ice Sea ice--Arctic regions Atmospheric circulation North Atlantic Oscillation Teleconnection Snow cover Climatologia |
spellingShingle |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria agroalimentària::Ciències de la terra i de la vida Climatology Sea ice Sea ice--Arctic regions Atmospheric circulation North Atlantic Oscillation Teleconnection Snow cover Climatologia Santolaria-Otín, María García Serrano, Javier Ménégoz, Martin Bech, Joan On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
topic_facet |
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria agroalimentària::Ciències de la terra i de la vida Climatology Sea ice Sea ice--Arctic regions Atmospheric circulation North Atlantic Oscillation Teleconnection Snow cover Climatologia |
description |
Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum covariance analysis is used to further investigate the links between autumn SIC in the Barents-Kara Seas (BK) and SCE over Eurasia (EUR) with winter sea level pressure (SLP) in the North Atlantic-European region over 1979-2019. As shown by previous studies, the most significant covariability mode of SIC/BK is found for November. Similarly, the covariability with SCE/EUR is only statistically significant for November, not for October. Changes in temperature, specific humidity, SIC/BK and SCE/EUR in November are associated with a circulation anomaly over the Ural-Siberian region that appears as a precursor of the winter NAO; where the advection of climatological temperature/humidity by the anomalous flow is related to SCE/EUR and SIC/BK anomalies. The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Commissions H2020 projects APPLICATE (GA 727862) and PRIMAVERA (GA 641727), and the ANR Belmont RACE project (ANR-20-AORS-0002). JG-S has been supported by the Ramón y Cajal programme (RYC-2016-21181). MM has been supported by the MINECO project VOLCADEC (CGL201570177-R). JB has been supported by MINECO projects CGL2016-81828-REDT (AEI) and RTI2018-098693-B643-C32 (AEI). The authors thank Hervé Douville (CNRM/Météo-France) and Guillaume Gastineau (LOCEAN/IPSL, France) for useful discussions, and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable insights. Peer Reviewed Postprint (published version) |
author2 |
Barcelona Supercomputing Center |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Santolaria-Otín, María García Serrano, Javier Ménégoz, Martin Bech, Joan |
author_facet |
Santolaria-Otín, María García Serrano, Javier Ménégoz, Martin Bech, Joan |
author_sort |
Santolaria-Otín, María |
title |
On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_short |
On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_full |
On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_fullStr |
On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation |
title_sort |
on the observed connection between arctic sea ice and eurasian snow in relation to the winter north atlantic oscillation |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2117/337096 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(70.150,70.150,-49.350,-49.350) |
geographic |
Arctic Guillaume |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Guillaume |
genre |
Arctic Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/727862/EU/Advanced Prediction in Polar regions and beyond: Modelling, observing system design and LInkages associated with ArctiC ClimATE change/APPLICATE info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/641727/EU/PRocess-based climate sIMulation: AdVances in high resolution modelling and European climate Risk Assessment/PRIMAVERA http://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670) https://doi.org/10.7289/V5N014G9) https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828) Santolaria-Otín, M. [et al.]. On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. "Environmental Research Letters", 2020, vol. 15, núm. 12, 124010. 1748-9326 http://hdl.handle.net/2117/337096 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 |
op_rights |
Attribution 3.0 Spain Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57 https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670 https://doi.org/10.7289/V5N014G9 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
12 |
container_start_page |
124010 |
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1766298492696788992 |