Estimation of the maximum annual number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using climate models

• Published in: Science Advances
• Main Authors: Lavender, Sally L., Walsh, Kevin J.E., Caron, Louis-Philippe, King, Malcolm, Monkiewicz, Sam, Guishard, Mark, Zhang, Qiong, Hunt, Barrie
• Other Authors: Barcelona Supercomputing Center
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2018
• Subjects: Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Energies; Seasonal climate forecasting; Hurricanes > Atlantic Ocean; North Atlantic tropical cyclones; Climate models; Canvis climàtics; Huracans; Cierva; North Atlantic
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/2117/120601; https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aat6509

Using millennia-long climate model simulations, favorable environments for tropical cyclone formation are examined to determine whether the record number of tropical cyclones in the 2005 Atlantic season is close to the maximum possible number for the present climate of that basin. By estimating both...