Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation
Arctic oscillation (AO), which is the most dominant atmospheric variability in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the boreal winter, significantly affects the weather and climate at mid-to-high latitudes in the NH. Although a climate community has focused on a negative trend of AO in recent decades...
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ftunswworks:oai:unsworks.library.unsw.edu.au:1959.4/unsworks_80833 2024-05-12T07:59:35+00:00 Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation Jeong, YC Yeh, SW Lim, YK Santoso, A Wang, G 2022-12-01 http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_80833 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x unknown Springer Nature http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_80833 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x metadata only access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb CC-BY https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ urn:ISSN:2397-3722 npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 1, 56 13 Climate Action journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2022 ftunswworks https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x 2024-04-17T15:21:40Z Arctic oscillation (AO), which is the most dominant atmospheric variability in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the boreal winter, significantly affects the weather and climate at mid-to-high latitudes in the NH. Although a climate community has focused on a negative trend of AO in recent decades, the significant positive trend of AO over the last 60 years has not yet been thoroughly discussed. By analyzing reanalysis and Atmospheric Model Inter-comparison Project (AMIP) datasets with pacemaker experiments, we found that sea surface temperature warming in the Indian Ocean is conducive to the positive trend of AO from the late 1950s. The momentum flux convergence by stationary waves due to the Indian Ocean warming plays an important role in the positive trend of AO, which is characterized by a poleward shift of zonal-mean zonal winds. In addition, the reduced upward propagating wave activity flux over the North Pacific due to Indian Ocean warming also plays a role to strengthen the polar vortex, subsequently, it contributes to the positive trend of AO. Our results imply that the respective warming trend of tropical ocean basins including Indian Ocean, which is either anthropogenic forcing or natural variability or their combined effect, should be considered to correctly project the future AO’s trend. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic UNSW Sydney (The University of New South Wales): UNSWorks Arctic Indian Pacific npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 5 1 |
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Open Polar |
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UNSW Sydney (The University of New South Wales): UNSWorks |
op_collection_id |
ftunswworks |
language |
unknown |
topic |
13 Climate Action |
spellingShingle |
13 Climate Action Jeong, YC Yeh, SW Lim, YK Santoso, A Wang, G Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
topic_facet |
13 Climate Action |
description |
Arctic oscillation (AO), which is the most dominant atmospheric variability in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the boreal winter, significantly affects the weather and climate at mid-to-high latitudes in the NH. Although a climate community has focused on a negative trend of AO in recent decades, the significant positive trend of AO over the last 60 years has not yet been thoroughly discussed. By analyzing reanalysis and Atmospheric Model Inter-comparison Project (AMIP) datasets with pacemaker experiments, we found that sea surface temperature warming in the Indian Ocean is conducive to the positive trend of AO from the late 1950s. The momentum flux convergence by stationary waves due to the Indian Ocean warming plays an important role in the positive trend of AO, which is characterized by a poleward shift of zonal-mean zonal winds. In addition, the reduced upward propagating wave activity flux over the North Pacific due to Indian Ocean warming also plays a role to strengthen the polar vortex, subsequently, it contributes to the positive trend of AO. Our results imply that the respective warming trend of tropical ocean basins including Indian Ocean, which is either anthropogenic forcing or natural variability or their combined effect, should be considered to correctly project the future AO’s trend. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jeong, YC Yeh, SW Lim, YK Santoso, A Wang, G |
author_facet |
Jeong, YC Yeh, SW Lim, YK Santoso, A Wang, G |
author_sort |
Jeong, YC |
title |
Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
title_short |
Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
title_full |
Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
title_fullStr |
Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Indian Ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of Arctic Oscillation |
title_sort |
indian ocean warming as key driver of long-term positive trend of arctic oscillation |
publisher |
Springer Nature |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_80833 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x |
geographic |
Arctic Indian Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Indian Pacific |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
urn:ISSN:2397-3722 npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, 1, 56 |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_80833 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x |
op_rights |
metadata only access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb CC-BY https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00279-x |
container_title |
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
container_volume |
5 |
container_issue |
1 |
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1798840960927399936 |