The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough?
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM),55.53 million years before present, was an abrupt warming event that involved profound changes in the carbon cycle and led to major perturbations of marine and terrestrial ecosystems. The PETM was triggered by the release of a massive amount of carbon, and...
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American Geophysical Union (AGU)
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_13608 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 |
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ftunswworks:oai:unsworks.library.unsw.edu.au:1959.4/unsworks_13608 2024-05-19T07:36:37+00:00 The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? Meissner, KJ Bralower, TJ Alexander, K Jones, TD Sijp, W Ward, M 2014-10-01 http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_13608 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 unknown American Geophysical Union (AGU) http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT100100443 http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_13608 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 metadata only access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb CC-BY-NC-ND https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ urn:ISSN:0883-8305 urn:ISSN:1944-9186 Paleoceanography, 29, 10, 946-963 13 Climate Action anzsrc-for: 0402 Geochemistry anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography anzsrc-for: 0602 Ecology journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2014 ftunswworks https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 2024-05-01T00:19:08Z The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM),55.53 million years before present, was an abrupt warming event that involved profound changes in the carbon cycle and led to major perturbations of marine and terrestrial ecosystems. The PETM was triggered by the release of a massive amount of carbon, and thus, the event provides an analog for future climate and environmental changes given the current anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. Previous attempts to constrain the amount of carbon released have produced widely diverging results, between 2000 and 10,000 gigatons carbon (GtC). Here we use the UVic Earth System Climate Model in conjunction with a recently published compilation of PETM temperatures to constrain the initial atmospheric CO 2 concentration as well as the total mass of carbon released during the event. Thirty-six simulations were initialized with varying ocean alkalinity, river runoff, and ocean sediment cover. Simulating various combinations of pre-PETM CO 2 levels (840, 1680, and 2520 ppm) and total carbon releases (3000, 4500, 7000, and 10,000 GtC), we find that both the 840 ppm plus 7000 GtC and 1680 ppm plus 7000-10,000 GtC scenarios agree best with temperature reconstructions. Bottom waters outside the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans remain well oxygenated in all of our simulations. While the recovery time and rates are highly dependent on ocean alkalinity and sediment cover, the maximum temperature anomaly, used here to constrain the amount of carbon released, is less dependent on this slow-acting feedback. Key PointsWe constrain pre-PETM CO 2 concentration and total amount of carbon releasedData-model comparison with full OGCM including long-term transient simulationsOnly carbon-intensive scenarios are compatible with data Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic North Atlantic UNSW Sydney (The University of New South Wales): UNSWorks Paleoceanography 29 10 946 963 |
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Open Polar |
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UNSW Sydney (The University of New South Wales): UNSWorks |
op_collection_id |
ftunswworks |
language |
unknown |
topic |
13 Climate Action anzsrc-for: 0402 Geochemistry anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography anzsrc-for: 0602 Ecology |
spellingShingle |
13 Climate Action anzsrc-for: 0402 Geochemistry anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography anzsrc-for: 0602 Ecology Meissner, KJ Bralower, TJ Alexander, K Jones, TD Sijp, W Ward, M The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
topic_facet |
13 Climate Action anzsrc-for: 0402 Geochemistry anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography anzsrc-for: 0602 Ecology |
description |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM),55.53 million years before present, was an abrupt warming event that involved profound changes in the carbon cycle and led to major perturbations of marine and terrestrial ecosystems. The PETM was triggered by the release of a massive amount of carbon, and thus, the event provides an analog for future climate and environmental changes given the current anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. Previous attempts to constrain the amount of carbon released have produced widely diverging results, between 2000 and 10,000 gigatons carbon (GtC). Here we use the UVic Earth System Climate Model in conjunction with a recently published compilation of PETM temperatures to constrain the initial atmospheric CO 2 concentration as well as the total mass of carbon released during the event. Thirty-six simulations were initialized with varying ocean alkalinity, river runoff, and ocean sediment cover. Simulating various combinations of pre-PETM CO 2 levels (840, 1680, and 2520 ppm) and total carbon releases (3000, 4500, 7000, and 10,000 GtC), we find that both the 840 ppm plus 7000 GtC and 1680 ppm plus 7000-10,000 GtC scenarios agree best with temperature reconstructions. Bottom waters outside the Arctic and North Atlantic Oceans remain well oxygenated in all of our simulations. While the recovery time and rates are highly dependent on ocean alkalinity and sediment cover, the maximum temperature anomaly, used here to constrain the amount of carbon released, is less dependent on this slow-acting feedback. Key PointsWe constrain pre-PETM CO 2 concentration and total amount of carbon releasedData-model comparison with full OGCM including long-term transient simulationsOnly carbon-intensive scenarios are compatible with data |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Meissner, KJ Bralower, TJ Alexander, K Jones, TD Sijp, W Ward, M |
author_facet |
Meissner, KJ Bralower, TJ Alexander, K Jones, TD Sijp, W Ward, M |
author_sort |
Meissner, KJ |
title |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
title_short |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
title_full |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
title_fullStr |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: How much carbon is enough? |
title_sort |
paleocene-eocene thermal maximum: how much carbon is enough? |
publisher |
American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_13608 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 |
genre |
Arctic North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Arctic North Atlantic |
op_source |
urn:ISSN:0883-8305 urn:ISSN:1944-9186 Paleoceanography, 29, 10, 946-963 |
op_relation |
http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT100100443 http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_13608 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 |
op_rights |
metadata only access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb CC-BY-NC-ND https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014PA002650 |
container_title |
Paleoceanography |
container_volume |
29 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
946 |
op_container_end_page |
963 |
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1799475756163661824 |