Estimating uncertainty in density surface models
Providing uncertainty estimates for predictions derived from species distribution models is essential for management but there is little guidance on potential sources of uncertainty in predictions and how best to combine these. Here we show where uncertainty can arise in density surface models (a mu...
Published in: | PeerJ |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2022
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk/portal/en/researchoutput/estimating-uncertainty-in-density-surface-models(aa605baa-db86-45ea-83c2-57136a782905).html https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 https://research-repository.st-andrews.ac.uk/bitstream/10023/25879/1/Miller_2022_PeerJ_Estimating_CC.pdf |
id |
ftunstandrewcris:oai:risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk:publications/aa605baa-db86-45ea-83c2-57136a782905 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunstandrewcris:oai:risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk:publications/aa605baa-db86-45ea-83c2-57136a782905 2023-05-15T15:36:34+02:00 Estimating uncertainty in density surface models Miller, David L. Becker, Elizabeth A. Forney, Karin A. Roberts, Jason J. Cañadas, Ana Schick, Robert S. 2022-08-23 application/pdf https://risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk/portal/en/researchoutput/estimating-uncertainty-in-density-surface-models(aa605baa-db86-45ea-83c2-57136a782905).html https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 https://research-repository.st-andrews.ac.uk/bitstream/10023/25879/1/Miller_2022_PeerJ_Estimating_CC.pdf eng eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Miller , D L , Becker , E A , Forney , K A , Roberts , J J , Cañadas , A & Schick , R S 2022 , ' Estimating uncertainty in density surface models ' , PeerJ , vol. 10 , e13950 . https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 Density surface models Distance sampling Uncertainty quantification Spatial modelling Species distribution modelling Model uncertainty Environmental uncertainty article 2022 ftunstandrewcris https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 2022-10-31T06:44:09Z Providing uncertainty estimates for predictions derived from species distribution models is essential for management but there is little guidance on potential sources of uncertainty in predictions and how best to combine these. Here we show where uncertainty can arise in density surface models (a multi-stage spatial modelling approach for distance sampling data), focussing on cetacean density modelling. We propose an extensible, modular, hybrid analytical-simulation approach to encapsulate these sources. We provide example analyses of fin whales Balaenoptera physalus in the California Current Ecosystem. Article in Journal/Newspaper Balaenoptera physalus University of St Andrews: Research Portal PeerJ 10 e13950 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of St Andrews: Research Portal |
op_collection_id |
ftunstandrewcris |
language |
English |
topic |
Density surface models Distance sampling Uncertainty quantification Spatial modelling Species distribution modelling Model uncertainty Environmental uncertainty |
spellingShingle |
Density surface models Distance sampling Uncertainty quantification Spatial modelling Species distribution modelling Model uncertainty Environmental uncertainty Miller, David L. Becker, Elizabeth A. Forney, Karin A. Roberts, Jason J. Cañadas, Ana Schick, Robert S. Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
topic_facet |
Density surface models Distance sampling Uncertainty quantification Spatial modelling Species distribution modelling Model uncertainty Environmental uncertainty |
description |
Providing uncertainty estimates for predictions derived from species distribution models is essential for management but there is little guidance on potential sources of uncertainty in predictions and how best to combine these. Here we show where uncertainty can arise in density surface models (a multi-stage spatial modelling approach for distance sampling data), focussing on cetacean density modelling. We propose an extensible, modular, hybrid analytical-simulation approach to encapsulate these sources. We provide example analyses of fin whales Balaenoptera physalus in the California Current Ecosystem. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Miller, David L. Becker, Elizabeth A. Forney, Karin A. Roberts, Jason J. Cañadas, Ana Schick, Robert S. |
author_facet |
Miller, David L. Becker, Elizabeth A. Forney, Karin A. Roberts, Jason J. Cañadas, Ana Schick, Robert S. |
author_sort |
Miller, David L. |
title |
Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
title_short |
Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
title_full |
Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
title_fullStr |
Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
title_sort |
estimating uncertainty in density surface models |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://risweb.st-andrews.ac.uk/portal/en/researchoutput/estimating-uncertainty-in-density-surface-models(aa605baa-db86-45ea-83c2-57136a782905).html https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 https://research-repository.st-andrews.ac.uk/bitstream/10023/25879/1/Miller_2022_PeerJ_Estimating_CC.pdf |
genre |
Balaenoptera physalus |
genre_facet |
Balaenoptera physalus |
op_source |
Miller , D L , Becker , E A , Forney , K A , Roberts , J J , Cañadas , A & Schick , R S 2022 , ' Estimating uncertainty in density surface models ' , PeerJ , vol. 10 , e13950 . https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13950 |
container_title |
PeerJ |
container_volume |
10 |
container_start_page |
e13950 |
_version_ |
1766366932032815104 |