Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models
We use long instrumental temperature series together with available field reconstructions of sea-level pressure (SLP) and three-dimensional climate model simulations to analyze relations between temperature anomalies and atmospheric circulation patterns over much of Europe and the Mediterranean for...
Published in: | Climatic Change |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2010
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk/en/researchoutput/circulation-dynamics-and-its-influence-on-european-and-mediterranean-januaryapril-climate-over-the-past-half-millennium-results-and-insights-from-instrumental-data-documentary-evidence-and-coupled-climate-models(0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 |
id |
ftunstandrewcris:oai:research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk:publications/0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of St Andrews: Research Portal |
op_collection_id |
ftunstandrewcris |
language |
English |
topic |
SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY WINTER TEMPERATURES PRESSURE PATTERNS AIR-TEMPERATURE AVERAGE WINTER WESTERN-EUROPE VARIABILITY SUMMER |
spellingShingle |
SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY WINTER TEMPERATURES PRESSURE PATTERNS AIR-TEMPERATURE AVERAGE WINTER WESTERN-EUROPE VARIABILITY SUMMER Luterbacher, J. Koenig, S. J. Franke, J. van der Schrier, G. Zorita, E. Moberg, A. Jacobeit, J. Della-Marta, P. M. Kuettel, M. Xoplaki, E. Wheeler, D. Rutishauser, T. Stoessel, M. Wanner, H. Brazdil, R. Dobrovolny, P. Camuffo, D. Bertolin, C. van Engelen, A. Gonzalez-Rouco, F. J. Wilson, Rob Pfister, C. Limanowka, D. Nordli, O. Leijonhufvud, L. Soderberg, J. Allan, R. Barriendos, M. Glaser, Ruediger Riemann, D. Hao, Z. Zerefos, C. S. Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
topic_facet |
SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY WINTER TEMPERATURES PRESSURE PATTERNS AIR-TEMPERATURE AVERAGE WINTER WESTERN-EUROPE VARIABILITY SUMMER |
description |
We use long instrumental temperature series together with available field reconstructions of sea-level pressure (SLP) and three-dimensional climate model simulations to analyze relations between temperature anomalies and atmospheric circulation patterns over much of Europe and the Mediterranean for the late winter/early spring (January-April, JFMA) season. A Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) investigates interannual to interdecadal covariability between a new gridded SLP field reconstruction and seven long instrumental temperature series covering the past 250 years. We then present and discuss prominent atmospheric circulation patterns related to anomalous warm and cold JFMA conditions within different European areas spanning the period 1760-2007. Next, using a data assimilation technique, we link gridded SLP data with a climate model (EC-Bilt-Clio) for a better dynamical understanding of the relationship between large scale circulation and European climate. We thus present an alternative approach to reconstruct climate for the pre-instrumental period based on the assimilated model simulations. Furthermore, we present an independent method to extend the dynamic circulation analysis for anomalously cold European JFMA conditions back to the sixteenth century. To this end, we use documentary records that are spatially representative for the long instrumental records and derive, through modern analogs, large-scale SLP, surface temperature and precipitation fields. The skill of the analog method is tested in the virtual world of two three-dimensional climate simulations (ECHO-G and HadCM3). This endeavor offers new possibilities to both constrain climate model into a reconstruction mode (through the assimilation approach) and to better asses documentary data in a quantitative way. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Luterbacher, J. Koenig, S. J. Franke, J. van der Schrier, G. Zorita, E. Moberg, A. Jacobeit, J. Della-Marta, P. M. Kuettel, M. Xoplaki, E. Wheeler, D. Rutishauser, T. Stoessel, M. Wanner, H. Brazdil, R. Dobrovolny, P. Camuffo, D. Bertolin, C. van Engelen, A. Gonzalez-Rouco, F. J. Wilson, Rob Pfister, C. Limanowka, D. Nordli, O. Leijonhufvud, L. Soderberg, J. Allan, R. Barriendos, M. Glaser, Ruediger Riemann, D. Hao, Z. Zerefos, C. S. |
author_facet |
Luterbacher, J. Koenig, S. J. Franke, J. van der Schrier, G. Zorita, E. Moberg, A. Jacobeit, J. Della-Marta, P. M. Kuettel, M. Xoplaki, E. Wheeler, D. Rutishauser, T. Stoessel, M. Wanner, H. Brazdil, R. Dobrovolny, P. Camuffo, D. Bertolin, C. van Engelen, A. Gonzalez-Rouco, F. J. Wilson, Rob Pfister, C. Limanowka, D. Nordli, O. Leijonhufvud, L. Soderberg, J. Allan, R. Barriendos, M. Glaser, Ruediger Riemann, D. Hao, Z. Zerefos, C. S. |
author_sort |
Luterbacher, J. |
title |
Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
title_short |
Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
title_full |
Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
title_fullStr |
Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
title_sort |
circulation dynamics and its influence on european and mediterranean january-april climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
https://research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk/en/researchoutput/circulation-dynamics-and-its-influence-on-european-and-mediterranean-januaryapril-climate-over-the-past-half-millennium-results-and-insights-from-instrumental-data-documentary-evidence-and-coupled-climate-models(0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Luterbacher , J , Koenig , S J , Franke , J , van der Schrier , G , Zorita , E , Moberg , A , Jacobeit , J , Della-Marta , P M , Kuettel , M , Xoplaki , E , Wheeler , D , Rutishauser , T , Stoessel , M , Wanner , H , Brazdil , R , Dobrovolny , P , Camuffo , D , Bertolin , C , van Engelen , A , Gonzalez-Rouco , F J , Wilson , R , Pfister , C , Limanowka , D , Nordli , O , Leijonhufvud , L , Soderberg , J , Allan , R , Barriendos , M , Glaser , R , Riemann , D , Hao , Z & Zerefos , C S 2010 , ' Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models ' , Climatic Change , vol. 101 , no. 1-2 , pp. 201-234 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 |
op_relation |
https://research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk/en/researchoutput/circulation-dynamics-and-its-influence-on-european-and-mediterranean-januaryapril-climate-over-the-past-half-millennium-results-and-insights-from-instrumental-data-documentary-evidence-and-coupled-climate-models(0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189).html |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 |
container_title |
Climatic Change |
container_volume |
101 |
container_issue |
1-2 |
container_start_page |
201 |
op_container_end_page |
234 |
_version_ |
1802647805180772352 |
spelling |
ftunstandrewcris:oai:research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk:publications/0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189 2024-06-23T07:55:17+00:00 Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models Luterbacher, J. Koenig, S. J. Franke, J. van der Schrier, G. Zorita, E. Moberg, A. Jacobeit, J. Della-Marta, P. M. Kuettel, M. Xoplaki, E. Wheeler, D. Rutishauser, T. Stoessel, M. Wanner, H. Brazdil, R. Dobrovolny, P. Camuffo, D. Bertolin, C. van Engelen, A. Gonzalez-Rouco, F. J. Wilson, Rob Pfister, C. Limanowka, D. Nordli, O. Leijonhufvud, L. Soderberg, J. Allan, R. Barriendos, M. Glaser, Ruediger Riemann, D. Hao, Z. Zerefos, C. S. 2010-07 https://research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk/en/researchoutput/circulation-dynamics-and-its-influence-on-european-and-mediterranean-januaryapril-climate-over-the-past-half-millennium-results-and-insights-from-instrumental-data-documentary-evidence-and-coupled-climate-models(0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 eng eng https://research-portal.st-andrews.ac.uk/en/researchoutput/circulation-dynamics-and-its-influence-on-european-and-mediterranean-januaryapril-climate-over-the-past-half-millennium-results-and-insights-from-instrumental-data-documentary-evidence-and-coupled-climate-models(0c21b14b-8246-4e3d-b59d-617d2ba66189).html info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess Luterbacher , J , Koenig , S J , Franke , J , van der Schrier , G , Zorita , E , Moberg , A , Jacobeit , J , Della-Marta , P M , Kuettel , M , Xoplaki , E , Wheeler , D , Rutishauser , T , Stoessel , M , Wanner , H , Brazdil , R , Dobrovolny , P , Camuffo , D , Bertolin , C , van Engelen , A , Gonzalez-Rouco , F J , Wilson , R , Pfister , C , Limanowka , D , Nordli , O , Leijonhufvud , L , Soderberg , J , Allan , R , Barriendos , M , Glaser , R , Riemann , D , Hao , Z & Zerefos , C S 2010 , ' Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models ' , Climatic Change , vol. 101 , no. 1-2 , pp. 201-234 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION HISTORICAL CLIMATOLOGY WINTER TEMPERATURES PRESSURE PATTERNS AIR-TEMPERATURE AVERAGE WINTER WESTERN-EUROPE VARIABILITY SUMMER article 2010 ftunstandrewcris https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9782-0 2024-06-13T00:29:21Z We use long instrumental temperature series together with available field reconstructions of sea-level pressure (SLP) and three-dimensional climate model simulations to analyze relations between temperature anomalies and atmospheric circulation patterns over much of Europe and the Mediterranean for the late winter/early spring (January-April, JFMA) season. A Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) investigates interannual to interdecadal covariability between a new gridded SLP field reconstruction and seven long instrumental temperature series covering the past 250 years. We then present and discuss prominent atmospheric circulation patterns related to anomalous warm and cold JFMA conditions within different European areas spanning the period 1760-2007. Next, using a data assimilation technique, we link gridded SLP data with a climate model (EC-Bilt-Clio) for a better dynamical understanding of the relationship between large scale circulation and European climate. We thus present an alternative approach to reconstruct climate for the pre-instrumental period based on the assimilated model simulations. Furthermore, we present an independent method to extend the dynamic circulation analysis for anomalously cold European JFMA conditions back to the sixteenth century. To this end, we use documentary records that are spatially representative for the long instrumental records and derive, through modern analogs, large-scale SLP, surface temperature and precipitation fields. The skill of the analog method is tested in the virtual world of two three-dimensional climate simulations (ECHO-G and HadCM3). This endeavor offers new possibilities to both constrain climate model into a reconstruction mode (through the assimilation approach) and to better asses documentary data in a quantitative way. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation University of St Andrews: Research Portal Climatic Change 101 1-2 201 234 |