On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes
Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their e...
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ftunivzuerich:oai:www.zora.uzh.ch:227973 2024-10-13T14:06:13+00:00 On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes Peters, Katharina J Stockin, Karen A Saltré, Frédérik 2022-09-01 application/pdf https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/ https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/1/2022_Peters_et_al_EcolInd.pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 eng eng Elsevier https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/1/2022_Peters_et_al_EcolInd.pdf doi:10.5167/uzh-227973 doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 urn:issn:1470-160X info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Peters, Katharina J; Stockin, Karen A; Saltré, Frédérik (2022). On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes. Ecological Indicators, 142:109235. Department of Evolutionary Anthropology 300 Social sciences sociology & anthropology Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics General Decision Sciences Journal Article PeerReviewed info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2022 ftunivzuerich https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.10923510.5167/uzh-227973 2024-10-02T15:06:31Z Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their extended life span and cosmopolitan distribution, but limited data availability prevents anticipating change in distribution under future climate changes. We projected the range shifts of a key odontocete and mysticete species (Physeter macrocephalus and Balaenoptera musculus) in 2100 relative to present day in New Zealand waters, using an ensemble modelling approach, under three climate change scenarios of different severity. The results show a latitudinal shift in suitable habitat for both whale species, increasing in magnitude with severity of sea surface temperature warming. The most severe climate change scenario tested generated 56% and 42% loss and decrease of currently suitable habitat for sperm and blue whales, respectively, mostly in New Zealand’s northern waters. These predicted changes will have a strong impact on the ecosystem functioning and services in New Zealand’s northern waters but also in coastal areas (critical for the species’ foraging and survival). Not only do these simulated range shifts help to identify future potential climate refugia to mitigate a global warming, they also generate a range of socioeconomic consequences for island nations relying on wildlife tourism, industry, and environmental protection. Article in Journal/Newspaper Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus University of Zurich (UZH): ZORA (Zurich Open Repository and Archive New Zealand |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of Zurich (UZH): ZORA (Zurich Open Repository and Archive |
op_collection_id |
ftunivzuerich |
language |
English |
topic |
Department of Evolutionary Anthropology 300 Social sciences sociology & anthropology Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics General Decision Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Department of Evolutionary Anthropology 300 Social sciences sociology & anthropology Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics General Decision Sciences Peters, Katharina J Stockin, Karen A Saltré, Frédérik On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
topic_facet |
Department of Evolutionary Anthropology 300 Social sciences sociology & anthropology Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics General Decision Sciences |
description |
Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their extended life span and cosmopolitan distribution, but limited data availability prevents anticipating change in distribution under future climate changes. We projected the range shifts of a key odontocete and mysticete species (Physeter macrocephalus and Balaenoptera musculus) in 2100 relative to present day in New Zealand waters, using an ensemble modelling approach, under three climate change scenarios of different severity. The results show a latitudinal shift in suitable habitat for both whale species, increasing in magnitude with severity of sea surface temperature warming. The most severe climate change scenario tested generated 56% and 42% loss and decrease of currently suitable habitat for sperm and blue whales, respectively, mostly in New Zealand’s northern waters. These predicted changes will have a strong impact on the ecosystem functioning and services in New Zealand’s northern waters but also in coastal areas (critical for the species’ foraging and survival). Not only do these simulated range shifts help to identify future potential climate refugia to mitigate a global warming, they also generate a range of socioeconomic consequences for island nations relying on wildlife tourism, industry, and environmental protection. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Peters, Katharina J Stockin, Karen A Saltré, Frédérik |
author_facet |
Peters, Katharina J Stockin, Karen A Saltré, Frédérik |
author_sort |
Peters, Katharina J |
title |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_short |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_full |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_fullStr |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_sort |
on the rise: climate change in new zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/ https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/1/2022_Peters_et_al_EcolInd.pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 |
geographic |
New Zealand |
geographic_facet |
New Zealand |
genre |
Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus |
genre_facet |
Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus |
op_source |
Peters, Katharina J; Stockin, Karen A; Saltré, Frédérik (2022). On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes. Ecological Indicators, 142:109235. |
op_relation |
https://www.zora.uzh.ch/id/eprint/227973/1/2022_Peters_et_al_EcolInd.pdf doi:10.5167/uzh-227973 doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 urn:issn:1470-160X |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.10923510.5167/uzh-227973 |
_version_ |
1812812293442895872 |