Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic
Attribution of trends in streamflow is complex, but essential, in identifying optimal management options for water resources. Disagreement remains on the relative role of climate change and human factors, including water abstractions and land cover change, in driving change in annual streamflow. We...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Online Access: | http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/89892 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084 |
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ftunivzaraaneto:oai:zaguan.unizar.es:89892 2023-05-15T17:41:23+02:00 Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic Vicente-Serrano, S.M. Peña-Gallardo, M. Hannaford, J. Murphy, C. Lorenzo-Lacruz, J. Dominguez-Castro, F. López-Moreno, J.I. Beguería, S. Noguera, I. Harrigan, S. Vidal, J.P. 2019 application/pdf http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/89892 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084 eng eng info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/690462/EU/European Research Area for Climate Services/ERA4CS This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No H2020 690462-ERA4CS info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/INTERREG-V-POCTEFA-2014-2020 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/CGL2014-52135-C03-01 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/CGL2017-83866-C3-3-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/CGL2017-82216-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PCIN-2015-220 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PCIN-2017-020 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/89892 doi:10.1029/2019GL084084 All rights reserved http://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/ info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2019 ftunivzaraaneto https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084 2022-03-10T16:37:35Z Attribution of trends in streamflow is complex, but essential, in identifying optimal management options for water resources. Disagreement remains on the relative role of climate change and human factors, including water abstractions and land cover change, in driving change in annual streamflow. We construct a very dense network of gauging stations (n = 1, 874) from Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, and Portugal for the period of 1961–2012 to detect and then attribute changes in annual streamflow. Using regression-based techniques, we show that climate (precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand) explains many of the observed trends in northwest Europe, while for southwest Europe human disturbances better explain both temporal and spatial trends. For the latter, large increases in irrigated areas, agricultural intensification, and natural revegetation of marginal lands are inferred to be the dominant drivers of decreases in streamflow. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northeast Atlantic Digital Repository of University of Zaragoza (ZAGUAN) Geophysical Research Letters 46 19 10821 10833 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Digital Repository of University of Zaragoza (ZAGUAN) |
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ftunivzaraaneto |
language |
English |
description |
Attribution of trends in streamflow is complex, but essential, in identifying optimal management options for water resources. Disagreement remains on the relative role of climate change and human factors, including water abstractions and land cover change, in driving change in annual streamflow. We construct a very dense network of gauging stations (n = 1, 874) from Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, and Portugal for the period of 1961–2012 to detect and then attribute changes in annual streamflow. Using regression-based techniques, we show that climate (precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand) explains many of the observed trends in northwest Europe, while for southwest Europe human disturbances better explain both temporal and spatial trends. For the latter, large increases in irrigated areas, agricultural intensification, and natural revegetation of marginal lands are inferred to be the dominant drivers of decreases in streamflow. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Vicente-Serrano, S.M. Peña-Gallardo, M. Hannaford, J. Murphy, C. Lorenzo-Lacruz, J. Dominguez-Castro, F. López-Moreno, J.I. Beguería, S. Noguera, I. Harrigan, S. Vidal, J.P. |
spellingShingle |
Vicente-Serrano, S.M. Peña-Gallardo, M. Hannaford, J. Murphy, C. Lorenzo-Lacruz, J. Dominguez-Castro, F. López-Moreno, J.I. Beguería, S. Noguera, I. Harrigan, S. Vidal, J.P. Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
author_facet |
Vicente-Serrano, S.M. Peña-Gallardo, M. Hannaford, J. Murphy, C. Lorenzo-Lacruz, J. Dominguez-Castro, F. López-Moreno, J.I. Beguería, S. Noguera, I. Harrigan, S. Vidal, J.P. |
author_sort |
Vicente-Serrano, S.M. |
title |
Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
title_short |
Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
title_full |
Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
title_fullStr |
Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic |
title_sort |
climate, irrigation, and land cover change explain streamflow trends in countries bordering the northeast atlantic |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/89892 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084 |
genre |
Northeast Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northeast Atlantic |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/690462/EU/European Research Area for Climate Services/ERA4CS This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No H2020 690462-ERA4CS info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/INTERREG-V-POCTEFA-2014-2020 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/CGL2014-52135-C03-01 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/CGL2017-83866-C3-3-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/CGL2017-82216-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PCIN-2015-220 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PCIN-2017-020 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/89892 doi:10.1029/2019GL084084 |
op_rights |
All rights reserved http://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084084 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
46 |
container_issue |
19 |
container_start_page |
10821 |
op_container_end_page |
10833 |
_version_ |
1766142897171726336 |