Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of...
Published in: | The Lancet |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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U.K., Lancet Publishing Group
2017
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X http://handle.westernsydney.edu.au:8081/1959.7/uws:44251 |
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XXXXXX - Unknown United Nations Sustainable Development Goals public health |
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XXXXXX - Unknown United Nations Sustainable Development Goals public health Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan Abajobir, Amanuel Abate, Kalkidan Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur Abera, Semaw Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Adedeji, Isaac Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Aichour, Amani Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Arora, Megha Artaman, Al Aryal, Krishna Asayesh, Hamid Asgedom, Solomon Assadi, Reza Atey, Tesfay Atre, Sachin Avila-Burgos, Leticia Avokpaho, Euripide Awasthi, Ashish Azzopardi, Peter Bacha, Umar Badawi, Alaa Balakrishnan, Kalpana Bannick, Marlena Barac, Aleksandra Barker-Collo, Suzanne Barnighausen, Till Barrero, Lope Basu, Sanjay Battle, Katherine Baune, Bernhard Beardsley, Justin Bedi, Neeraj Bejot, Yannick Bell, Michelle Bennett, Derrick Bennett, James Bensenor, Isabela Berhane, Adugnaw Berhe, Derbew Bernabe, Eduardo Betsu, Balem Beuran, Mircea Beyene, Addisu Bhansali, Anil Bhatt, Samir Bhutta, Zulfiqar Bikbov, Boris Bilal, Arebu Birungi, Charles Biryukov, Stan Bizuayehu, Habtamu Blosser, Christopher Boneya, Dube Bose, Dipan Bou-Orm, Ibrahim Brauer, Michael Breitborde, Nicholas Brugha, Traolach Bulto, Lemma Butt, Zahid Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Cameron, Ewan Cesar, Campuzano Cardenas, Rosario Carrero, Juan Carter, Austin Casey, Daniel Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos Castillo, Rivas Estanislao, Castro Catala-Lopez, Ferran Cercy, Kelly Chang, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Charlson, Fiona Chew, Adrienne Chisumpa, Vesper Chitheer, Abdulaal Christensen, Hanne Christopher, Devasahayam Cirillo, Massimo Cooper, Cyrus Criqui, Michael Cromwell, Elizabeth Crump, John Dandona, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dargan, Paul das Neves, Jose Davitoiu, Dragos de Courten, Barbora De Steur, Hans Degenhardt, Louisa Deiparine, Selina Deribe, Kebede deveber, Gabrielle Ding, Eric Djalalinia, Shirin Huyen, Phuc Dokova, Klara Doku, David Dorsey, E. Driscoll, Tim Dubey, Manisha Duncan, Bruce Ebel, Beth Ebrahimi, Hedyeh El-Khatib, Ziad Enayati, Ahmadali Endries, Aman Ermakov, Sergey Erskine, Holly Eshrati, Babak Eskandarieh, Sharareh Esteghamati, Alireza Estep, Kara Faraon, Emerito E Sa, Farinha Carla Sofia Faro, Andre Farzadfar, Farshad Fazeli, Mir Feigin, Valery Feigl, Andrea Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad Fernandes, Joao Ferrari, Alize Feyissa, Tesfaye Filip, Irina Fischer, Florian Fitzmaurice, Christina Flaxman, Abraham Foigt, Nataliya Foreman, Kyle Frank, Tahvi Franklin, Richard Friedman, Joseph Frostad, Joseph Furst, Thomas Furtado, Joao Gakidou, Emmanuela Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Geleijnse, Johanna Geleto, Ayele Gemechu, Bikila Gething, Peter Gibney, Katherine Gill, Paramjit Gillum, Richard Giref, Ababi Gishu, Melkamu Giussani, Giorgia Glenn, Scott Godwin, William Goldberg, Ellen Gona, Philimon Goodridge, Amador Gopalani, Sameer Goryakin, Yevgeniy Griswold, Max Gugnani, Harish Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Tanush Gupta, Vipin Hafezi-Nejad, Nima Bidgoli, Hassan Hailu, Gessessew Hamadeh, Randah Hammami, Mouhanad Hankey, Graeme Harb, Hilda Hareri, Habtamu Hassanvand, Mohammad Havmoeller, Rasmus Hawley, Caitlin Hay, Simon He, Jiawei Hendrie, Delia Henry, Nathaniel Beatriz, Heredia-Pi Hoek, Hans Holmberg, Mollie Horita, Nobuyuki Hosgood, H. Hostiuc, Sorin Hoy, Damian Hsairi, Mohamed Htet, Aung Huang, Hsiang Huang, John Huynh, Chantal Iburg, Kim Ikeda, Chad Inoue, Manami Irvine, Caleb Jacobsen, Kathryn Jahanmehr, Nader Jakovljevic, Mihajlo Jauregui, Alejandra Javanbakht, Mehdi Jeemon, Panniyammakal Jha, Vivekanand John, Denny Johnson, Catherine Johnson, Sarah Jonas, Jost Jurisson, Mikk Kabir, Zubair Kadel, Rajendra Kahsay, Amaha Kamal, Ritul Karch, Andre Karema, Corine Kasaeian, Amir Kassebaum, Nicholas Kastor, Anshul Katikireddi, Srinivasa Kawakami, Norito Keiyoro, Peter Kelbore, Sefonias Kemmer, Laura Kengne, Andre Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Khader, Yousef Khalil, Ibrahim Khan, Ejaz Khang, Young-Ho Khosravi, Ardeshir Khubchandani, Jagdish Kieling, Christian Kim, Daniel Kim, Jun Kim, Yun Kimokoti, Ruth Kinfu, Yohannes Kisa, Adnan Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna Kivimaki, Mika Kokubo, Yoshihiro Kopec, Jacek Kosen, Soewarta Koul, Parvaiz Koyanagi, Ai Kravchenko, Michael Krohn, Kristopher Defo, Barthelemy Bicer, Burcu Kulikoff, Xie Kumar, G. Kutz, Michael Kyu, Hmwe Lal, Dharmesh Lalloo, Ratilal Lansingh, Van Larsson, Anders Lazarus, Jeffrey Lee, Paul Leigh, James Leung, Janni Leung, Ricky Levi, Miriam Li, Yongmei Liben, Misgan Linn, Shai Liu, Patrick Liu, Shiwei Lodha, Rakesh Looker, Katharine Lopez, Alan Lorkowski, Stefan Lotufo, Paulo Lozano, Rafael Lucas, Timothy Mackay, Mark Maddison, Emilie Abd, el Hassan Magdy Abd, el Razek Mohammed Magdy Majdan, Marek Majdzadeh, Reza Majeed, Azeem Malekzadeh, Reza Malhotra, Rajesh Malta, Deborah Mamun, Abdullah Manguerra, Helena Mantovani, Lorenzo Manyazewal, Tsegahun Mapoma, Chabila Marks, Guy Martin, Randall Martins-Melo, Francisco Martopullo, Ira Mathur, Manu Mazidi, Mohsen McAlinden, Colm McGaughey, Madeline McGrath, John Mckee, Martin Mehata, Suresh Mehndiratta, Man Meier, Toni Meles, Kidanu Memish, Ziad Mendoza, Walter Mengesha, Melkamu Mengistie, Mubarek Mensah, George Mensink, Gert Mereta, Seid Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo Mezgebe, Haftay Micha, Renata Millear, Anoushka Miller, Ted Minnig, Shawn Mirarefin, Mojde Mirrakhimov, Erkin Misganaw, Awoke Mishra, Shiva Mitchell, Philip Mohammad, Karzan Mohammed, Kedir Mohammed, Shafiu Mohan, Murali Mokdad, Ali Mollenkopf, Sarah Monasta, Lorenzo Montanez, Hernandez Montico, Marcella Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar Moraga, Paula Morawska, Lidia Morrison, Shane Moses, Mark Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff Mueller, Ulrich Muller, Kate Murthy, Gudlavalleti Musa, Kamarul Naghavi, Mohsen Naheed, Aliya Naidoo, Kovin Nangia, Vinay Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan Negoi, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Cuong, Tat Nguyen Grant, Nguyen Minh, Nguyen Quyen, Le Trang, Huyen Nichols, Emma Ningrum, Dina Nomura, Marika Vuong, Minh Norheim, Ole Noubiap, Jean Obermeyer, Carla Ogbo, Felix A. (R18978) Oh, In-Hwan Oladimeji, Olanrewaju Olagunju, Andrew Olagunju, Tinuke Olivares, Pedro Olsen, Helen Olusanya, Bolajoko Olusanya, Jacob Ong, Kanyin Oren, Eyal Ortiz, Alberto Owolabi, Mayowa Pa, Mahesh Pana, Adrian Panda, Basant Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra Papachristou, Christina Park, Eun-Kee Patton, George Paulson, Katherine Pereira, David Perico, David Pesudovs, Konrad Petzold, Max Phillips, Michael Pigott, David Pillay, Julian Pinho, Christine Piradov, Michael Pishgar, Farhad Poulton, Richie Pourmalek, Farshad Qorbani, Mostafa Radfar, Amir Rafay, Anwar Rao, Puja Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa Rahman, Mahfuzar Rahman, Mohammad Rahman, Muhammad Rai, Rajesh Rajsic, Sasa Ram, Usha Ranabhat, Chhabi Rawaf, Salman Reidy, Patrick Reiner, Robert Reinig, Nikolas Reitsma, Marissa Remuzzi, Giuseppe Renzaho, Andre M. N. (R17978) Resnikoff, Serge Rezaei, Satar Rios, Blancas Roba, Kedir Rojas-Rueda, David Rokni, Mohammad Roshandel, Gholamreza Roth, Gregory Roy, Ambuj Rubagotti, Enrico Sadat, Nafis Safdarian, Mahdi Safi, Sare Safiri, Saeid Sagar, Rajesh Salama, Joseph Salomon, Joshua Samy, Abdallah Ramon, Sanabria Santomauro, Damian Santos, Itamar Santos, Joao Milicevic, Milena Sartorius, Benn Satpathy, Maheswar Sawhney, Monika Saxena, Sonia Saylan, Mete Shirude, Shreya Schmidt, Maria Schneider, Ione Schneider, Matthew Schottker, Ben Schutte, Aletta Schwebel, David Schwendicke, Falk Seedat, Soraya Sepanlou, Sadaf Servan-Mori, Edson Shackelford, Katya Shaheen, Amira Shahraz, Saeid Shaikh, Masood Shamsipour, Mansour Shamsizadeh, Morteza Islam, Sheikh Sharma, Jayendra Sharma, Rajesh She, Jun Shi, Peilin Shibuya, Kenji Shields, Chloe Shiferaw, Mekonnen Shigematsu, Mika Shin, Min-Jeong Shiri, Rahman Shirkoohi, Reza Shishani, Kawkab Shoman, Haitham Shrime, Mark Santos, Silva Silva, Joao Alves, Silveira Singh, Jasvinder Singh, Virendra Sinha, Dhirendra Skiadaresi, Eirini Slepak, Erica Sligar, Amber Smith, Alison Smith, David Smith, Mari Sobaih, Badr Sobngwi, Eugene Soljak, Michael Soneji, Samir Sorensen, Reed Sposato, Luciano Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar Srinivasan, Vinay Stanaway, Jeffrey Stein, Dan Steinke, Sabine Stokes, Mark Strub, Bryan Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Abdulkader, Rizwan Sunguya, Bruno Sur, Patrick Swaminathan, Soumya Sykes, Bryan Sylte, Dillon Szoeke, Cassandra Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael Tadakamadla, Santosh Tandon, Nikhil Tao, Tianchan Tarekegn, Yihunie Tavakkoli, Mohammad Taveira, Nuno Tegegne, Teketo Shifa, Girma Terkawi, Abdullah Tessema, Gizachew Thakur, J. Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Thrift, Amanda Tiruye, Tenaw Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan Topor-Madry, Roman Torre, Anna Tortajada, Miguel Tran, Bach Troeger, Christopher Truelsen, Thomas Tsoi, Derrick Tuem, Kald Tuzcu, Emin Tyrovolas, Stefanos Ukwaja, Kingsley Uneke, Chigozie Updike, Rachel Uthman, Olalekan Boven, Job F. M. van Donkelaar, Aaron van Varughese, Santosh Vasankari, Tommi Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy Vidavalur, Ramesh Violante, Francesco Vladimirov, Sergey Vlassov, Vasiliy Vollset, Stein Vos, Theo Wadilo, Fiseha Wakayo, Tolassa Wallin, Mitchell Wang, Yuanpang Weichenthal, Scott Weiderpass, Elisabete Weintraub, Robert Weiss, Daniel Werdecker, Andrea Westerman, Ronny Whiteford, Harvey Wijeratne, Tissa Wiysonge, Charles Woldeyes, Belete Wolfe, Charles Woodbrook, Rachel Xavier, Denis Xu, Gelin Yadgir, Simon Yakob, Bereket Yan, Lijing Yano, Yuichiro Yaseri, Mehdi Ye, Pengpeng Yimam, Hassen Yip, Paul Yonemoto, Naohiro Yoon, Seokjun Yotebieng, Marcel Younis, Mustafa Zaidi, Zoubida Zaki, Maysaa Zavala-Arciniega, Luis Zhang, Xueying Zipkin, Ben Zodpey, Sanjay Lim, Stephen Murray, Christopher Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
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XXXXXX - Unknown United Nations Sustainable Development Goals public health |
description |
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97.5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56.7 (IQR 31.9-66.8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86.8, 95% uncertainty interval 84.6-88.9), Iceland (86.0, 84.1-87.6), and Sweden (85.6, 81.8-87.8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10.9, 9.6-11.9), the Central African Republic (11.0, 8.8-13.8), and Somalia (11.3, 9.5-13.1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable improvements in the UHC index were achieved by several countries, including Cambodia, Rwanda, Equatorial Guinea, Laos, Turkey, and China; however, a number of countries, such as Lesotho and the Central African Republic, but also high-income countries, such as the USA, showed minimal gains. Based on projections of past trends, the median number of SDG targets attained in 2030 was five (IQR 2-8) of the 24 defined targets currently measured. Globally, projected target attainment considerably varied by SDG indicator, ranging from more than 60% of countries projected to reach targets for under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria, to less than 5% of countries projected to achieve targets linked to 11 indicator targets, including those for childhood overweight, tuberculosis, and road injury mortality. For several of the health-related SDGs, meeting defined targets hinges upon substantially faster progress than what most countries have achieved in the past. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs. Our improved measure of UHC offers a basis to monitor the expansion of health services necessary to meet the SDGs. Based on past rates of progress, many places are facing challenges in meeting defined health-related SDG targets, particularly among countries that are the worst off. In view of the early stages of SDG implementation, however, opportunity remains to take actions to accelerate progress, as shown by the catalytic effects of adopting the Millennium Development Goals after 2000. With the SDGs' broader, bolder development agenda, multisectoral commitments and investments are vital to make the health-related SDGs within reach of all populations. |
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Centre for Health Research (Host institution) School of Social Sciences and Psychology (Host institution) |
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Article in Journal/Newspaper |
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Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan Abajobir, Amanuel Abate, Kalkidan Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur Abera, Semaw Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Adedeji, Isaac Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Aichour, Amani Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Arora, Megha Artaman, Al Aryal, Krishna Asayesh, Hamid Asgedom, Solomon Assadi, Reza Atey, Tesfay Atre, Sachin Avila-Burgos, Leticia Avokpaho, Euripide Awasthi, Ashish Azzopardi, Peter Bacha, Umar Badawi, Alaa Balakrishnan, Kalpana Bannick, Marlena Barac, Aleksandra Barker-Collo, Suzanne Barnighausen, Till Barrero, Lope Basu, Sanjay Battle, Katherine Baune, Bernhard Beardsley, Justin Bedi, Neeraj Bejot, Yannick Bell, Michelle Bennett, Derrick Bennett, James Bensenor, Isabela Berhane, Adugnaw Berhe, Derbew Bernabe, Eduardo Betsu, Balem Beuran, Mircea Beyene, Addisu Bhansali, Anil Bhatt, Samir Bhutta, Zulfiqar Bikbov, Boris Bilal, Arebu Birungi, Charles Biryukov, Stan Bizuayehu, Habtamu Blosser, Christopher Boneya, Dube Bose, Dipan Bou-Orm, Ibrahim Brauer, Michael Breitborde, Nicholas Brugha, Traolach Bulto, Lemma Butt, Zahid Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Cameron, Ewan Cesar, Campuzano Cardenas, Rosario Carrero, Juan Carter, Austin Casey, Daniel Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos Castillo, Rivas Estanislao, Castro Catala-Lopez, Ferran Cercy, Kelly Chang, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Charlson, Fiona Chew, Adrienne Chisumpa, Vesper Chitheer, Abdulaal Christensen, Hanne Christopher, Devasahayam Cirillo, Massimo Cooper, Cyrus Criqui, Michael Cromwell, Elizabeth Crump, John Dandona, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dargan, Paul das Neves, Jose Davitoiu, Dragos de Courten, Barbora De Steur, Hans Degenhardt, Louisa Deiparine, Selina Deribe, Kebede deveber, Gabrielle Ding, Eric Djalalinia, Shirin Huyen, Phuc Dokova, Klara Doku, David Dorsey, E. Driscoll, Tim Dubey, Manisha Duncan, Bruce Ebel, Beth Ebrahimi, Hedyeh El-Khatib, Ziad Enayati, Ahmadali Endries, Aman Ermakov, Sergey Erskine, Holly Eshrati, Babak Eskandarieh, Sharareh Esteghamati, Alireza Estep, Kara Faraon, Emerito E Sa, Farinha Carla Sofia Faro, Andre Farzadfar, Farshad Fazeli, Mir Feigin, Valery Feigl, Andrea Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad Fernandes, Joao Ferrari, Alize Feyissa, Tesfaye Filip, Irina Fischer, Florian Fitzmaurice, Christina Flaxman, Abraham Foigt, Nataliya Foreman, Kyle Frank, Tahvi Franklin, Richard Friedman, Joseph Frostad, Joseph Furst, Thomas Furtado, Joao Gakidou, Emmanuela Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Geleijnse, Johanna Geleto, Ayele Gemechu, Bikila Gething, Peter Gibney, Katherine Gill, Paramjit Gillum, Richard Giref, Ababi Gishu, Melkamu Giussani, Giorgia Glenn, Scott Godwin, William Goldberg, Ellen Gona, Philimon Goodridge, Amador Gopalani, Sameer Goryakin, Yevgeniy Griswold, Max Gugnani, Harish Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Tanush Gupta, Vipin Hafezi-Nejad, Nima Bidgoli, Hassan Hailu, Gessessew Hamadeh, Randah Hammami, Mouhanad Hankey, Graeme Harb, Hilda Hareri, Habtamu Hassanvand, Mohammad Havmoeller, Rasmus Hawley, Caitlin Hay, Simon He, Jiawei Hendrie, Delia Henry, Nathaniel Beatriz, Heredia-Pi Hoek, Hans Holmberg, Mollie Horita, Nobuyuki Hosgood, H. Hostiuc, Sorin Hoy, Damian Hsairi, Mohamed Htet, Aung Huang, Hsiang Huang, John Huynh, Chantal Iburg, Kim Ikeda, Chad Inoue, Manami Irvine, Caleb Jacobsen, Kathryn Jahanmehr, Nader Jakovljevic, Mihajlo Jauregui, Alejandra Javanbakht, Mehdi Jeemon, Panniyammakal Jha, Vivekanand John, Denny Johnson, Catherine Johnson, Sarah Jonas, Jost Jurisson, Mikk Kabir, Zubair Kadel, Rajendra Kahsay, Amaha Kamal, Ritul Karch, Andre Karema, Corine Kasaeian, Amir Kassebaum, Nicholas Kastor, Anshul Katikireddi, Srinivasa Kawakami, Norito Keiyoro, Peter Kelbore, Sefonias Kemmer, Laura Kengne, Andre Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Khader, Yousef Khalil, Ibrahim Khan, Ejaz Khang, Young-Ho Khosravi, Ardeshir Khubchandani, Jagdish Kieling, Christian Kim, Daniel Kim, Jun Kim, Yun Kimokoti, Ruth Kinfu, Yohannes Kisa, Adnan Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna Kivimaki, Mika Kokubo, Yoshihiro Kopec, Jacek Kosen, Soewarta Koul, Parvaiz Koyanagi, Ai Kravchenko, Michael Krohn, Kristopher Defo, Barthelemy Bicer, Burcu Kulikoff, Xie Kumar, G. Kutz, Michael Kyu, Hmwe Lal, Dharmesh Lalloo, Ratilal Lansingh, Van Larsson, Anders Lazarus, Jeffrey Lee, Paul Leigh, James Leung, Janni Leung, Ricky Levi, Miriam Li, Yongmei Liben, Misgan Linn, Shai Liu, Patrick Liu, Shiwei Lodha, Rakesh Looker, Katharine Lopez, Alan Lorkowski, Stefan Lotufo, Paulo Lozano, Rafael Lucas, Timothy Mackay, Mark Maddison, Emilie Abd, el Hassan Magdy Abd, el Razek Mohammed Magdy Majdan, Marek Majdzadeh, Reza Majeed, Azeem Malekzadeh, Reza Malhotra, Rajesh Malta, Deborah Mamun, Abdullah Manguerra, Helena Mantovani, Lorenzo Manyazewal, Tsegahun Mapoma, Chabila Marks, Guy Martin, Randall Martins-Melo, Francisco Martopullo, Ira Mathur, Manu Mazidi, Mohsen McAlinden, Colm McGaughey, Madeline McGrath, John Mckee, Martin Mehata, Suresh Mehndiratta, Man Meier, Toni Meles, Kidanu Memish, Ziad Mendoza, Walter Mengesha, Melkamu Mengistie, Mubarek Mensah, George Mensink, Gert Mereta, Seid Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo Mezgebe, Haftay Micha, Renata Millear, Anoushka Miller, Ted Minnig, Shawn Mirarefin, Mojde Mirrakhimov, Erkin Misganaw, Awoke Mishra, Shiva Mitchell, Philip Mohammad, Karzan Mohammed, Kedir Mohammed, Shafiu Mohan, Murali Mokdad, Ali Mollenkopf, Sarah Monasta, Lorenzo Montanez, Hernandez Montico, Marcella Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar Moraga, Paula Morawska, Lidia Morrison, Shane Moses, Mark Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff Mueller, Ulrich Muller, Kate Murthy, Gudlavalleti Musa, Kamarul Naghavi, Mohsen Naheed, Aliya Naidoo, Kovin Nangia, Vinay Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan Negoi, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Cuong, Tat Nguyen Grant, Nguyen Minh, Nguyen Quyen, Le Trang, Huyen Nichols, Emma Ningrum, Dina Nomura, Marika Vuong, Minh Norheim, Ole Noubiap, Jean Obermeyer, Carla Ogbo, Felix A. (R18978) Oh, In-Hwan Oladimeji, Olanrewaju Olagunju, Andrew Olagunju, Tinuke Olivares, Pedro Olsen, Helen Olusanya, Bolajoko Olusanya, Jacob Ong, Kanyin Oren, Eyal Ortiz, Alberto Owolabi, Mayowa Pa, Mahesh Pana, Adrian Panda, Basant Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra Papachristou, Christina Park, Eun-Kee Patton, George Paulson, Katherine Pereira, David Perico, David Pesudovs, Konrad Petzold, Max Phillips, Michael Pigott, David Pillay, Julian Pinho, Christine Piradov, Michael Pishgar, Farhad Poulton, Richie Pourmalek, Farshad Qorbani, Mostafa Radfar, Amir Rafay, Anwar Rao, Puja Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa Rahman, Mahfuzar Rahman, Mohammad Rahman, Muhammad Rai, Rajesh Rajsic, Sasa Ram, Usha Ranabhat, Chhabi Rawaf, Salman Reidy, Patrick Reiner, Robert Reinig, Nikolas Reitsma, Marissa Remuzzi, Giuseppe Renzaho, Andre M. N. (R17978) Resnikoff, Serge Rezaei, Satar Rios, Blancas Roba, Kedir Rojas-Rueda, David Rokni, Mohammad Roshandel, Gholamreza Roth, Gregory Roy, Ambuj Rubagotti, Enrico Sadat, Nafis Safdarian, Mahdi Safi, Sare Safiri, Saeid Sagar, Rajesh Salama, Joseph Salomon, Joshua Samy, Abdallah Ramon, Sanabria Santomauro, Damian Santos, Itamar Santos, Joao Milicevic, Milena Sartorius, Benn Satpathy, Maheswar Sawhney, Monika Saxena, Sonia Saylan, Mete Shirude, Shreya Schmidt, Maria Schneider, Ione Schneider, Matthew Schottker, Ben Schutte, Aletta Schwebel, David Schwendicke, Falk Seedat, Soraya Sepanlou, Sadaf Servan-Mori, Edson Shackelford, Katya Shaheen, Amira Shahraz, Saeid Shaikh, Masood Shamsipour, Mansour Shamsizadeh, Morteza Islam, Sheikh Sharma, Jayendra Sharma, Rajesh She, Jun Shi, Peilin Shibuya, Kenji Shields, Chloe Shiferaw, Mekonnen Shigematsu, Mika Shin, Min-Jeong Shiri, Rahman Shirkoohi, Reza Shishani, Kawkab Shoman, Haitham Shrime, Mark Santos, Silva Silva, Joao Alves, Silveira Singh, Jasvinder Singh, Virendra Sinha, Dhirendra Skiadaresi, Eirini Slepak, Erica Sligar, Amber Smith, Alison Smith, David Smith, Mari Sobaih, Badr Sobngwi, Eugene Soljak, Michael Soneji, Samir Sorensen, Reed Sposato, Luciano Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar Srinivasan, Vinay Stanaway, Jeffrey Stein, Dan Steinke, Sabine Stokes, Mark Strub, Bryan Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Abdulkader, Rizwan Sunguya, Bruno Sur, Patrick Swaminathan, Soumya Sykes, Bryan Sylte, Dillon Szoeke, Cassandra Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael Tadakamadla, Santosh Tandon, Nikhil Tao, Tianchan Tarekegn, Yihunie Tavakkoli, Mohammad Taveira, Nuno Tegegne, Teketo Shifa, Girma Terkawi, Abdullah Tessema, Gizachew Thakur, J. Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Thrift, Amanda Tiruye, Tenaw Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan Topor-Madry, Roman Torre, Anna Tortajada, Miguel Tran, Bach Troeger, Christopher Truelsen, Thomas Tsoi, Derrick Tuem, Kald Tuzcu, Emin Tyrovolas, Stefanos Ukwaja, Kingsley Uneke, Chigozie Updike, Rachel Uthman, Olalekan Boven, Job F. M. van Donkelaar, Aaron van Varughese, Santosh Vasankari, Tommi Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy Vidavalur, Ramesh Violante, Francesco Vladimirov, Sergey Vlassov, Vasiliy Vollset, Stein Vos, Theo Wadilo, Fiseha Wakayo, Tolassa Wallin, Mitchell Wang, Yuanpang Weichenthal, Scott Weiderpass, Elisabete Weintraub, Robert Weiss, Daniel Werdecker, Andrea Westerman, Ronny Whiteford, Harvey Wijeratne, Tissa Wiysonge, Charles Woldeyes, Belete Wolfe, Charles Woodbrook, Rachel Xavier, Denis Xu, Gelin Yadgir, Simon Yakob, Bereket Yan, Lijing Yano, Yuichiro Yaseri, Mehdi Ye, Pengpeng Yimam, Hassen Yip, Paul Yonemoto, Naohiro Yoon, Seokjun Yotebieng, Marcel Younis, Mustafa Zaidi, Zoubida Zaki, Maysaa Zavala-Arciniega, Luis Zhang, Xueying Zipkin, Ben Zodpey, Sanjay Lim, Stephen Murray, Christopher |
author_facet |
Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan Abajobir, Amanuel Abate, Kalkidan Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur Abera, Semaw Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Adedeji, Isaac Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Aichour, Amani Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Arora, Megha Artaman, Al Aryal, Krishna Asayesh, Hamid Asgedom, Solomon Assadi, Reza Atey, Tesfay Atre, Sachin Avila-Burgos, Leticia Avokpaho, Euripide Awasthi, Ashish Azzopardi, Peter Bacha, Umar Badawi, Alaa Balakrishnan, Kalpana Bannick, Marlena Barac, Aleksandra Barker-Collo, Suzanne Barnighausen, Till Barrero, Lope Basu, Sanjay Battle, Katherine Baune, Bernhard Beardsley, Justin Bedi, Neeraj Bejot, Yannick Bell, Michelle Bennett, Derrick Bennett, James Bensenor, Isabela Berhane, Adugnaw Berhe, Derbew Bernabe, Eduardo Betsu, Balem Beuran, Mircea Beyene, Addisu Bhansali, Anil Bhatt, Samir Bhutta, Zulfiqar Bikbov, Boris Bilal, Arebu Birungi, Charles Biryukov, Stan Bizuayehu, Habtamu Blosser, Christopher Boneya, Dube Bose, Dipan Bou-Orm, Ibrahim Brauer, Michael Breitborde, Nicholas Brugha, Traolach Bulto, Lemma Butt, Zahid Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Cameron, Ewan Cesar, Campuzano Cardenas, Rosario Carrero, Juan Carter, Austin Casey, Daniel Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos Castillo, Rivas Estanislao, Castro Catala-Lopez, Ferran Cercy, Kelly Chang, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Charlson, Fiona Chew, Adrienne Chisumpa, Vesper Chitheer, Abdulaal Christensen, Hanne Christopher, Devasahayam Cirillo, Massimo Cooper, Cyrus Criqui, Michael Cromwell, Elizabeth Crump, John Dandona, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dargan, Paul das Neves, Jose Davitoiu, Dragos de Courten, Barbora De Steur, Hans Degenhardt, Louisa Deiparine, Selina Deribe, Kebede deveber, Gabrielle Ding, Eric Djalalinia, Shirin Huyen, Phuc Dokova, Klara Doku, David Dorsey, E. Driscoll, Tim Dubey, Manisha Duncan, Bruce Ebel, Beth Ebrahimi, Hedyeh El-Khatib, Ziad Enayati, Ahmadali Endries, Aman Ermakov, Sergey Erskine, Holly Eshrati, Babak Eskandarieh, Sharareh Esteghamati, Alireza Estep, Kara Faraon, Emerito E Sa, Farinha Carla Sofia Faro, Andre Farzadfar, Farshad Fazeli, Mir Feigin, Valery Feigl, Andrea Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad Fernandes, Joao Ferrari, Alize Feyissa, Tesfaye Filip, Irina Fischer, Florian Fitzmaurice, Christina Flaxman, Abraham Foigt, Nataliya Foreman, Kyle Frank, Tahvi Franklin, Richard Friedman, Joseph Frostad, Joseph Furst, Thomas Furtado, Joao Gakidou, Emmanuela Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Geleijnse, Johanna Geleto, Ayele Gemechu, Bikila Gething, Peter Gibney, Katherine Gill, Paramjit Gillum, Richard Giref, Ababi Gishu, Melkamu Giussani, Giorgia Glenn, Scott Godwin, William Goldberg, Ellen Gona, Philimon Goodridge, Amador Gopalani, Sameer Goryakin, Yevgeniy Griswold, Max Gugnani, Harish Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Tanush Gupta, Vipin Hafezi-Nejad, Nima Bidgoli, Hassan Hailu, Gessessew Hamadeh, Randah Hammami, Mouhanad Hankey, Graeme Harb, Hilda Hareri, Habtamu Hassanvand, Mohammad Havmoeller, Rasmus Hawley, Caitlin Hay, Simon He, Jiawei Hendrie, Delia Henry, Nathaniel Beatriz, Heredia-Pi Hoek, Hans Holmberg, Mollie Horita, Nobuyuki Hosgood, H. Hostiuc, Sorin Hoy, Damian Hsairi, Mohamed Htet, Aung Huang, Hsiang Huang, John Huynh, Chantal Iburg, Kim Ikeda, Chad Inoue, Manami Irvine, Caleb Jacobsen, Kathryn Jahanmehr, Nader Jakovljevic, Mihajlo Jauregui, Alejandra Javanbakht, Mehdi Jeemon, Panniyammakal Jha, Vivekanand John, Denny Johnson, Catherine Johnson, Sarah Jonas, Jost Jurisson, Mikk Kabir, Zubair Kadel, Rajendra Kahsay, Amaha Kamal, Ritul Karch, Andre Karema, Corine Kasaeian, Amir Kassebaum, Nicholas Kastor, Anshul Katikireddi, Srinivasa Kawakami, Norito Keiyoro, Peter Kelbore, Sefonias Kemmer, Laura Kengne, Andre Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Khader, Yousef Khalil, Ibrahim Khan, Ejaz Khang, Young-Ho Khosravi, Ardeshir Khubchandani, Jagdish Kieling, Christian Kim, Daniel Kim, Jun Kim, Yun Kimokoti, Ruth Kinfu, Yohannes Kisa, Adnan Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna Kivimaki, Mika Kokubo, Yoshihiro Kopec, Jacek Kosen, Soewarta Koul, Parvaiz Koyanagi, Ai Kravchenko, Michael Krohn, Kristopher Defo, Barthelemy Bicer, Burcu Kulikoff, Xie Kumar, G. Kutz, Michael Kyu, Hmwe Lal, Dharmesh Lalloo, Ratilal Lansingh, Van Larsson, Anders Lazarus, Jeffrey Lee, Paul Leigh, James Leung, Janni Leung, Ricky Levi, Miriam Li, Yongmei Liben, Misgan Linn, Shai Liu, Patrick Liu, Shiwei Lodha, Rakesh Looker, Katharine Lopez, Alan Lorkowski, Stefan Lotufo, Paulo Lozano, Rafael Lucas, Timothy Mackay, Mark Maddison, Emilie Abd, el Hassan Magdy Abd, el Razek Mohammed Magdy Majdan, Marek Majdzadeh, Reza Majeed, Azeem Malekzadeh, Reza Malhotra, Rajesh Malta, Deborah Mamun, Abdullah Manguerra, Helena Mantovani, Lorenzo Manyazewal, Tsegahun Mapoma, Chabila Marks, Guy Martin, Randall Martins-Melo, Francisco Martopullo, Ira Mathur, Manu Mazidi, Mohsen McAlinden, Colm McGaughey, Madeline McGrath, John Mckee, Martin Mehata, Suresh Mehndiratta, Man Meier, Toni Meles, Kidanu Memish, Ziad Mendoza, Walter Mengesha, Melkamu Mengistie, Mubarek Mensah, George Mensink, Gert Mereta, Seid Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo Mezgebe, Haftay Micha, Renata Millear, Anoushka Miller, Ted Minnig, Shawn Mirarefin, Mojde Mirrakhimov, Erkin Misganaw, Awoke Mishra, Shiva Mitchell, Philip Mohammad, Karzan Mohammed, Kedir Mohammed, Shafiu Mohan, Murali Mokdad, Ali Mollenkopf, Sarah Monasta, Lorenzo Montanez, Hernandez Montico, Marcella Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar Moraga, Paula Morawska, Lidia Morrison, Shane Moses, Mark Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff Mueller, Ulrich Muller, Kate Murthy, Gudlavalleti Musa, Kamarul Naghavi, Mohsen Naheed, Aliya Naidoo, Kovin Nangia, Vinay Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan Negoi, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Cuong, Tat Nguyen Grant, Nguyen Minh, Nguyen Quyen, Le Trang, Huyen Nichols, Emma Ningrum, Dina Nomura, Marika Vuong, Minh Norheim, Ole Noubiap, Jean Obermeyer, Carla Ogbo, Felix A. (R18978) Oh, In-Hwan Oladimeji, Olanrewaju Olagunju, Andrew Olagunju, Tinuke Olivares, Pedro Olsen, Helen Olusanya, Bolajoko Olusanya, Jacob Ong, Kanyin Oren, Eyal Ortiz, Alberto Owolabi, Mayowa Pa, Mahesh Pana, Adrian Panda, Basant Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra Papachristou, Christina Park, Eun-Kee Patton, George Paulson, Katherine Pereira, David Perico, David Pesudovs, Konrad Petzold, Max Phillips, Michael Pigott, David Pillay, Julian Pinho, Christine Piradov, Michael Pishgar, Farhad Poulton, Richie Pourmalek, Farshad Qorbani, Mostafa Radfar, Amir Rafay, Anwar Rao, Puja Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa Rahman, Mahfuzar Rahman, Mohammad Rahman, Muhammad Rai, Rajesh Rajsic, Sasa Ram, Usha Ranabhat, Chhabi Rawaf, Salman Reidy, Patrick Reiner, Robert Reinig, Nikolas Reitsma, Marissa Remuzzi, Giuseppe Renzaho, Andre M. N. (R17978) Resnikoff, Serge Rezaei, Satar Rios, Blancas Roba, Kedir Rojas-Rueda, David Rokni, Mohammad Roshandel, Gholamreza Roth, Gregory Roy, Ambuj Rubagotti, Enrico Sadat, Nafis Safdarian, Mahdi Safi, Sare Safiri, Saeid Sagar, Rajesh Salama, Joseph Salomon, Joshua Samy, Abdallah Ramon, Sanabria Santomauro, Damian Santos, Itamar Santos, Joao Milicevic, Milena Sartorius, Benn Satpathy, Maheswar Sawhney, Monika Saxena, Sonia Saylan, Mete Shirude, Shreya Schmidt, Maria Schneider, Ione Schneider, Matthew Schottker, Ben Schutte, Aletta Schwebel, David Schwendicke, Falk Seedat, Soraya Sepanlou, Sadaf Servan-Mori, Edson Shackelford, Katya Shaheen, Amira Shahraz, Saeid Shaikh, Masood Shamsipour, Mansour Shamsizadeh, Morteza Islam, Sheikh Sharma, Jayendra Sharma, Rajesh She, Jun Shi, Peilin Shibuya, Kenji Shields, Chloe Shiferaw, Mekonnen Shigematsu, Mika Shin, Min-Jeong Shiri, Rahman Shirkoohi, Reza Shishani, Kawkab Shoman, Haitham Shrime, Mark Santos, Silva Silva, Joao Alves, Silveira Singh, Jasvinder Singh, Virendra Sinha, Dhirendra Skiadaresi, Eirini Slepak, Erica Sligar, Amber Smith, Alison Smith, David Smith, Mari Sobaih, Badr Sobngwi, Eugene Soljak, Michael Soneji, Samir Sorensen, Reed Sposato, Luciano Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar Srinivasan, Vinay Stanaway, Jeffrey Stein, Dan Steinke, Sabine Stokes, Mark Strub, Bryan Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Abdulkader, Rizwan Sunguya, Bruno Sur, Patrick Swaminathan, Soumya Sykes, Bryan Sylte, Dillon Szoeke, Cassandra Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael Tadakamadla, Santosh Tandon, Nikhil Tao, Tianchan Tarekegn, Yihunie Tavakkoli, Mohammad Taveira, Nuno Tegegne, Teketo Shifa, Girma Terkawi, Abdullah Tessema, Gizachew Thakur, J. Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Thrift, Amanda Tiruye, Tenaw Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan Topor-Madry, Roman Torre, Anna Tortajada, Miguel Tran, Bach Troeger, Christopher Truelsen, Thomas Tsoi, Derrick Tuem, Kald Tuzcu, Emin Tyrovolas, Stefanos Ukwaja, Kingsley Uneke, Chigozie Updike, Rachel Uthman, Olalekan Boven, Job F. M. van Donkelaar, Aaron van Varughese, Santosh Vasankari, Tommi Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy Vidavalur, Ramesh Violante, Francesco Vladimirov, Sergey Vlassov, Vasiliy Vollset, Stein Vos, Theo Wadilo, Fiseha Wakayo, Tolassa Wallin, Mitchell Wang, Yuanpang Weichenthal, Scott Weiderpass, Elisabete Weintraub, Robert Weiss, Daniel Werdecker, Andrea Westerman, Ronny Whiteford, Harvey Wijeratne, Tissa Wiysonge, Charles Woldeyes, Belete Wolfe, Charles Woodbrook, Rachel Xavier, Denis Xu, Gelin Yadgir, Simon Yakob, Bereket Yan, Lijing Yano, Yuichiro Yaseri, Mehdi Ye, Pengpeng Yimam, Hassen Yip, Paul Yonemoto, Naohiro Yoon, Seokjun Yotebieng, Marcel Younis, Mustafa Zaidi, Zoubida Zaki, Maysaa Zavala-Arciniega, Luis Zhang, Xueying Zipkin, Ben Zodpey, Sanjay Lim, Stephen Murray, Christopher |
author_sort |
Fullman, Nancy |
title |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_short |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_fullStr |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_sort |
measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related sustainable development goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2016 |
publisher |
U.K., Lancet Publishing Group |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X http://handle.westernsydney.edu.au:8081/1959.7/uws:44251 |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_relation |
The Lancet--0140-6736--1474-547X Vol. 390 Issue. 10100 No. pp: 1423-1459 |
op_rights |
Copyright The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article published under the CC BY 4.0 license. |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X |
container_title |
The Lancet |
container_volume |
390 |
container_issue |
10100 |
container_start_page |
1423 |
op_container_end_page |
1459 |
_version_ |
1766043844376264704 |
spelling |
ftunivwestsyd:oai:researchdirect.westernsydney.edu.au:uws_44251 2023-05-15T16:53:19+02:00 Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan Abajobir, Amanuel Abate, Kalkidan Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur Abera, Semaw Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen Adedeji, Isaac Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Aichour, Amani Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Arora, Megha Artaman, Al Aryal, Krishna Asayesh, Hamid Asgedom, Solomon Assadi, Reza Atey, Tesfay Atre, Sachin Avila-Burgos, Leticia Avokpaho, Euripide Awasthi, Ashish Azzopardi, Peter Bacha, Umar Badawi, Alaa Balakrishnan, Kalpana Bannick, Marlena Barac, Aleksandra Barker-Collo, Suzanne Barnighausen, Till Barrero, Lope Basu, Sanjay Battle, Katherine Baune, Bernhard Beardsley, Justin Bedi, Neeraj Bejot, Yannick Bell, Michelle Bennett, Derrick Bennett, James Bensenor, Isabela Berhane, Adugnaw Berhe, Derbew Bernabe, Eduardo Betsu, Balem Beuran, Mircea Beyene, Addisu Bhansali, Anil Bhatt, Samir Bhutta, Zulfiqar Bikbov, Boris Bilal, Arebu Birungi, Charles Biryukov, Stan Bizuayehu, Habtamu Blosser, Christopher Boneya, Dube Bose, Dipan Bou-Orm, Ibrahim Brauer, Michael Breitborde, Nicholas Brugha, Traolach Bulto, Lemma Butt, Zahid Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Cameron, Ewan Cesar, Campuzano Cardenas, Rosario Carrero, Juan Carter, Austin Casey, Daniel Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos Castillo, Rivas Estanislao, Castro Catala-Lopez, Ferran Cercy, Kelly Chang, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Charlson, Fiona Chew, Adrienne Chisumpa, Vesper Chitheer, Abdulaal Christensen, Hanne Christopher, Devasahayam Cirillo, Massimo Cooper, Cyrus Criqui, Michael Cromwell, Elizabeth Crump, John Dandona, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dargan, Paul das Neves, Jose Davitoiu, Dragos de Courten, Barbora De Steur, Hans Degenhardt, Louisa Deiparine, Selina Deribe, Kebede deveber, Gabrielle Ding, Eric Djalalinia, Shirin Huyen, Phuc Dokova, Klara Doku, David Dorsey, E. Driscoll, Tim Dubey, Manisha Duncan, Bruce Ebel, Beth Ebrahimi, Hedyeh El-Khatib, Ziad Enayati, Ahmadali Endries, Aman Ermakov, Sergey Erskine, Holly Eshrati, Babak Eskandarieh, Sharareh Esteghamati, Alireza Estep, Kara Faraon, Emerito E Sa, Farinha Carla Sofia Faro, Andre Farzadfar, Farshad Fazeli, Mir Feigin, Valery Feigl, Andrea Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad Fernandes, Joao Ferrari, Alize Feyissa, Tesfaye Filip, Irina Fischer, Florian Fitzmaurice, Christina Flaxman, Abraham Foigt, Nataliya Foreman, Kyle Frank, Tahvi Franklin, Richard Friedman, Joseph Frostad, Joseph Furst, Thomas Furtado, Joao Gakidou, Emmanuela Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Geleijnse, Johanna Geleto, Ayele Gemechu, Bikila Gething, Peter Gibney, Katherine Gill, Paramjit Gillum, Richard Giref, Ababi Gishu, Melkamu Giussani, Giorgia Glenn, Scott Godwin, William Goldberg, Ellen Gona, Philimon Goodridge, Amador Gopalani, Sameer Goryakin, Yevgeniy Griswold, Max Gugnani, Harish Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Tanush Gupta, Vipin Hafezi-Nejad, Nima Bidgoli, Hassan Hailu, Gessessew Hamadeh, Randah Hammami, Mouhanad Hankey, Graeme Harb, Hilda Hareri, Habtamu Hassanvand, Mohammad Havmoeller, Rasmus Hawley, Caitlin Hay, Simon He, Jiawei Hendrie, Delia Henry, Nathaniel Beatriz, Heredia-Pi Hoek, Hans Holmberg, Mollie Horita, Nobuyuki Hosgood, H. Hostiuc, Sorin Hoy, Damian Hsairi, Mohamed Htet, Aung Huang, Hsiang Huang, John Huynh, Chantal Iburg, Kim Ikeda, Chad Inoue, Manami Irvine, Caleb Jacobsen, Kathryn Jahanmehr, Nader Jakovljevic, Mihajlo Jauregui, Alejandra Javanbakht, Mehdi Jeemon, Panniyammakal Jha, Vivekanand John, Denny Johnson, Catherine Johnson, Sarah Jonas, Jost Jurisson, Mikk Kabir, Zubair Kadel, Rajendra Kahsay, Amaha Kamal, Ritul Karch, Andre Karema, Corine Kasaeian, Amir Kassebaum, Nicholas Kastor, Anshul Katikireddi, Srinivasa Kawakami, Norito Keiyoro, Peter Kelbore, Sefonias Kemmer, Laura Kengne, Andre Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Khader, Yousef Khalil, Ibrahim Khan, Ejaz Khang, Young-Ho Khosravi, Ardeshir Khubchandani, Jagdish Kieling, Christian Kim, Daniel Kim, Jun Kim, Yun Kimokoti, Ruth Kinfu, Yohannes Kisa, Adnan Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna Kivimaki, Mika Kokubo, Yoshihiro Kopec, Jacek Kosen, Soewarta Koul, Parvaiz Koyanagi, Ai Kravchenko, Michael Krohn, Kristopher Defo, Barthelemy Bicer, Burcu Kulikoff, Xie Kumar, G. Kutz, Michael Kyu, Hmwe Lal, Dharmesh Lalloo, Ratilal Lansingh, Van Larsson, Anders Lazarus, Jeffrey Lee, Paul Leigh, James Leung, Janni Leung, Ricky Levi, Miriam Li, Yongmei Liben, Misgan Linn, Shai Liu, Patrick Liu, Shiwei Lodha, Rakesh Looker, Katharine Lopez, Alan Lorkowski, Stefan Lotufo, Paulo Lozano, Rafael Lucas, Timothy Mackay, Mark Maddison, Emilie Abd, el Hassan Magdy Abd, el Razek Mohammed Magdy Majdan, Marek Majdzadeh, Reza Majeed, Azeem Malekzadeh, Reza Malhotra, Rajesh Malta, Deborah Mamun, Abdullah Manguerra, Helena Mantovani, Lorenzo Manyazewal, Tsegahun Mapoma, Chabila Marks, Guy Martin, Randall Martins-Melo, Francisco Martopullo, Ira Mathur, Manu Mazidi, Mohsen McAlinden, Colm McGaughey, Madeline McGrath, John Mckee, Martin Mehata, Suresh Mehndiratta, Man Meier, Toni Meles, Kidanu Memish, Ziad Mendoza, Walter Mengesha, Melkamu Mengistie, Mubarek Mensah, George Mensink, Gert Mereta, Seid Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo Mezgebe, Haftay Micha, Renata Millear, Anoushka Miller, Ted Minnig, Shawn Mirarefin, Mojde Mirrakhimov, Erkin Misganaw, Awoke Mishra, Shiva Mitchell, Philip Mohammad, Karzan Mohammed, Kedir Mohammed, Shafiu Mohan, Murali Mokdad, Ali Mollenkopf, Sarah Monasta, Lorenzo Montanez, Hernandez Montico, Marcella Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar Moraga, Paula Morawska, Lidia Morrison, Shane Moses, Mark Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff Mueller, Ulrich Muller, Kate Murthy, Gudlavalleti Musa, Kamarul Naghavi, Mohsen Naheed, Aliya Naidoo, Kovin Nangia, Vinay Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan Negoi, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Cuong, Tat Nguyen Grant, Nguyen Minh, Nguyen Quyen, Le Trang, Huyen Nichols, Emma Ningrum, Dina Nomura, Marika Vuong, Minh Norheim, Ole Noubiap, Jean Obermeyer, Carla Ogbo, Felix A. 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(R17978) Resnikoff, Serge Rezaei, Satar Rios, Blancas Roba, Kedir Rojas-Rueda, David Rokni, Mohammad Roshandel, Gholamreza Roth, Gregory Roy, Ambuj Rubagotti, Enrico Sadat, Nafis Safdarian, Mahdi Safi, Sare Safiri, Saeid Sagar, Rajesh Salama, Joseph Salomon, Joshua Samy, Abdallah Ramon, Sanabria Santomauro, Damian Santos, Itamar Santos, Joao Milicevic, Milena Sartorius, Benn Satpathy, Maheswar Sawhney, Monika Saxena, Sonia Saylan, Mete Shirude, Shreya Schmidt, Maria Schneider, Ione Schneider, Matthew Schottker, Ben Schutte, Aletta Schwebel, David Schwendicke, Falk Seedat, Soraya Sepanlou, Sadaf Servan-Mori, Edson Shackelford, Katya Shaheen, Amira Shahraz, Saeid Shaikh, Masood Shamsipour, Mansour Shamsizadeh, Morteza Islam, Sheikh Sharma, Jayendra Sharma, Rajesh She, Jun Shi, Peilin Shibuya, Kenji Shields, Chloe Shiferaw, Mekonnen Shigematsu, Mika Shin, Min-Jeong Shiri, Rahman Shirkoohi, Reza Shishani, Kawkab Shoman, Haitham Shrime, Mark Santos, Silva Silva, Joao Alves, Silveira Singh, Jasvinder Singh, Virendra Sinha, Dhirendra Skiadaresi, Eirini Slepak, Erica Sligar, Amber Smith, Alison Smith, David Smith, Mari Sobaih, Badr Sobngwi, Eugene Soljak, Michael Soneji, Samir Sorensen, Reed Sposato, Luciano Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar Srinivasan, Vinay Stanaway, Jeffrey Stein, Dan Steinke, Sabine Stokes, Mark Strub, Bryan Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Abdulkader, Rizwan Sunguya, Bruno Sur, Patrick Swaminathan, Soumya Sykes, Bryan Sylte, Dillon Szoeke, Cassandra Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael Tadakamadla, Santosh Tandon, Nikhil Tao, Tianchan Tarekegn, Yihunie Tavakkoli, Mohammad Taveira, Nuno Tegegne, Teketo Shifa, Girma Terkawi, Abdullah Tessema, Gizachew Thakur, J. Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Thrift, Amanda Tiruye, Tenaw Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan Topor-Madry, Roman Torre, Anna Tortajada, Miguel Tran, Bach Troeger, Christopher Truelsen, Thomas Tsoi, Derrick Tuem, Kald Tuzcu, Emin Tyrovolas, Stefanos Ukwaja, Kingsley Uneke, Chigozie Updike, Rachel Uthman, Olalekan Boven, Job F. M. van Donkelaar, Aaron van Varughese, Santosh Vasankari, Tommi Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy Vidavalur, Ramesh Violante, Francesco Vladimirov, Sergey Vlassov, Vasiliy Vollset, Stein Vos, Theo Wadilo, Fiseha Wakayo, Tolassa Wallin, Mitchell Wang, Yuanpang Weichenthal, Scott Weiderpass, Elisabete Weintraub, Robert Weiss, Daniel Werdecker, Andrea Westerman, Ronny Whiteford, Harvey Wijeratne, Tissa Wiysonge, Charles Woldeyes, Belete Wolfe, Charles Woodbrook, Rachel Xavier, Denis Xu, Gelin Yadgir, Simon Yakob, Bereket Yan, Lijing Yano, Yuichiro Yaseri, Mehdi Ye, Pengpeng Yimam, Hassen Yip, Paul Yonemoto, Naohiro Yoon, Seokjun Yotebieng, Marcel Younis, Mustafa Zaidi, Zoubida Zaki, Maysaa Zavala-Arciniega, Luis Zhang, Xueying Zipkin, Ben Zodpey, Sanjay Lim, Stephen Murray, Christopher Centre for Health Research (Host institution) School of Social Sciences and Psychology (Host institution) 2017 print 37 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X http://handle.westernsydney.edu.au:8081/1959.7/uws:44251 eng eng U.K., Lancet Publishing Group The Lancet--0140-6736--1474-547X Vol. 390 Issue. 10100 No. pp: 1423-1459 Copyright The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article published under the CC BY 4.0 license. CC-BY XXXXXX - Unknown United Nations Sustainable Development Goals public health journal article 2017 ftunivwestsyd https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X 2020-12-05T17:35:18Z Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97.5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56.7 (IQR 31.9-66.8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86.8, 95% uncertainty interval 84.6-88.9), Iceland (86.0, 84.1-87.6), and Sweden (85.6, 81.8-87.8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10.9, 9.6-11.9), the Central African Republic (11.0, 8.8-13.8), and Somalia (11.3, 9.5-13.1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable improvements in the UHC index were achieved by several countries, including Cambodia, Rwanda, Equatorial Guinea, Laos, Turkey, and China; however, a number of countries, such as Lesotho and the Central African Republic, but also high-income countries, such as the USA, showed minimal gains. Based on projections of past trends, the median number of SDG targets attained in 2030 was five (IQR 2-8) of the 24 defined targets currently measured. Globally, projected target attainment considerably varied by SDG indicator, ranging from more than 60% of countries projected to reach targets for under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria, to less than 5% of countries projected to achieve targets linked to 11 indicator targets, including those for childhood overweight, tuberculosis, and road injury mortality. For several of the health-related SDGs, meeting defined targets hinges upon substantially faster progress than what most countries have achieved in the past. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs. Our improved measure of UHC offers a basis to monitor the expansion of health services necessary to meet the SDGs. Based on past rates of progress, many places are facing challenges in meeting defined health-related SDG targets, particularly among countries that are the worst off. In view of the early stages of SDG implementation, however, opportunity remains to take actions to accelerate progress, as shown by the catalytic effects of adopting the Millennium Development Goals after 2000. With the SDGs' broader, bolder development agenda, multisectoral commitments and investments are vital to make the health-related SDGs within reach of all populations. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland University of Western Sydney (UWS): Research Direct The Lancet 390 10100 1423 1459 |