Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture
Aquaculture managers and industry must take into account the impact of climate change on production and environmental quality to ensure that sector growth is sustainable over the coming decades, a key requirement for food security. The potential effects of climate change on aquaculture range from ch...
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ftunivwagenin:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/582110 2024-04-28T08:13:47+00:00 Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture Cubillo, Alhambra Martínez Ferreira, João G. Lencart-Silva, João Taylor, Nick G.H. Kennerley, Adam Guilder, James Kay, Susan Kamermans, Pauline 2021 application/pdf https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/direct-effects-of-climate-change-on-productivity-of-european-aqua https://doi.org/10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 en eng https://edepot.wur.nl/546335 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/direct-effects-of-climate-change-on-productivity-of-european-aqua doi:10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 Wageningen University & Research Aquaculture International 29 (2021) 4 ISSN: 0967-6120 Aquaculture Climate change IPCC Management Modelling Productivity Article/Letter to editor 2021 ftunivwagenin https://doi.org/10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 2024-04-03T15:08:08Z Aquaculture managers and industry must take into account the impact of climate change on production and environmental quality to ensure that sector growth is sustainable over the coming decades, a key requirement for food security. The potential effects of climate change on aquaculture range from changes to production capacity in existing cultivation areas to changes in the areas themselves, which may become unsuitable for particular species, but also suitable for new species. The prediction of where and how such changes may occur is challenging, not least because the cultivated species may themselves exhibit plasticity, which makes it difficult to forecast the degree to which different locations and culture types may be affected. This work presents a modelling approach used to predict the potential effects of climate change on aquaculture, considering six key finfish and shellfish species of economic importance in Europe: Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), gilthead seabream (Sparus aurata), sea bass (Dicentrarchus labrax), Pacific oyster (Crassostrea gigas), blue mussel (Mytilus edulis) and Mediterranean mussel (Mytilus galloprovincialis). The focus is on effects on physiology, growth performance and environmental footprint, and the resultant economic impact at the farm scale. Climate projections for present-day conditions; mid-century (2040–2060) and end-of-century (2080–2100) were extracted from regionally downscaled global climate models and used to force bioenergetic models. For each of those time periods, two different carbon concentration scenarios were considered: a moderate situation (IPCC RCP 4.5) and an extreme situation (IPCC RCP 8.5). Projected temperature changes will have variable effects on growth depending on the species and geographic region. From the case studies analysed, gilthead bream farmed in sea cages in the western Mediterranean was the most vulnerable, whereas offshore-suspended mussel culture in SW Portugal was least affected. Most of the marine finfish simulated were projected to have ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Atlantic salmon Crassostrea gigas Pacific oyster Salmo salar Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library Aquaculture International |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library |
op_collection_id |
ftunivwagenin |
language |
English |
topic |
Aquaculture Climate change IPCC Management Modelling Productivity |
spellingShingle |
Aquaculture Climate change IPCC Management Modelling Productivity Cubillo, Alhambra Martínez Ferreira, João G. Lencart-Silva, João Taylor, Nick G.H. Kennerley, Adam Guilder, James Kay, Susan Kamermans, Pauline Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
topic_facet |
Aquaculture Climate change IPCC Management Modelling Productivity |
description |
Aquaculture managers and industry must take into account the impact of climate change on production and environmental quality to ensure that sector growth is sustainable over the coming decades, a key requirement for food security. The potential effects of climate change on aquaculture range from changes to production capacity in existing cultivation areas to changes in the areas themselves, which may become unsuitable for particular species, but also suitable for new species. The prediction of where and how such changes may occur is challenging, not least because the cultivated species may themselves exhibit plasticity, which makes it difficult to forecast the degree to which different locations and culture types may be affected. This work presents a modelling approach used to predict the potential effects of climate change on aquaculture, considering six key finfish and shellfish species of economic importance in Europe: Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), gilthead seabream (Sparus aurata), sea bass (Dicentrarchus labrax), Pacific oyster (Crassostrea gigas), blue mussel (Mytilus edulis) and Mediterranean mussel (Mytilus galloprovincialis). The focus is on effects on physiology, growth performance and environmental footprint, and the resultant economic impact at the farm scale. Climate projections for present-day conditions; mid-century (2040–2060) and end-of-century (2080–2100) were extracted from regionally downscaled global climate models and used to force bioenergetic models. For each of those time periods, two different carbon concentration scenarios were considered: a moderate situation (IPCC RCP 4.5) and an extreme situation (IPCC RCP 8.5). Projected temperature changes will have variable effects on growth depending on the species and geographic region. From the case studies analysed, gilthead bream farmed in sea cages in the western Mediterranean was the most vulnerable, whereas offshore-suspended mussel culture in SW Portugal was least affected. Most of the marine finfish simulated were projected to have ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cubillo, Alhambra Martínez Ferreira, João G. Lencart-Silva, João Taylor, Nick G.H. Kennerley, Adam Guilder, James Kay, Susan Kamermans, Pauline |
author_facet |
Cubillo, Alhambra Martínez Ferreira, João G. Lencart-Silva, João Taylor, Nick G.H. Kennerley, Adam Guilder, James Kay, Susan Kamermans, Pauline |
author_sort |
Cubillo, Alhambra Martínez |
title |
Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
title_short |
Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
title_full |
Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
title_fullStr |
Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
title_full_unstemmed |
Direct effects of climate change on productivity of European aquaculture |
title_sort |
direct effects of climate change on productivity of european aquaculture |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/direct-effects-of-climate-change-on-productivity-of-european-aqua https://doi.org/10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 |
genre |
Atlantic salmon Crassostrea gigas Pacific oyster Salmo salar |
genre_facet |
Atlantic salmon Crassostrea gigas Pacific oyster Salmo salar |
op_source |
Aquaculture International 29 (2021) 4 ISSN: 0967-6120 |
op_relation |
https://edepot.wur.nl/546335 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/direct-effects-of-climate-change-on-productivity-of-european-aqua doi:10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 |
op_rights |
Wageningen University & Research |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10499-021-00694-6 |
container_title |
Aquaculture International |
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1797580125272801280 |