Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans
Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult,especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individualbasedapproaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmentalchanges on wintering and staging coas...
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ftunivwagenin:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/498576 2024-02-04T09:59:58+01:00 Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans Nolet, Bart A. Gyimesi, Abel Van Krimpen, Roderick R.D. de Boer, Fred Stillman, Richard A. Green, Andy J. 2016 application/pdf https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/predicting-effects-of-water-regime-changes-on-waterbirds-insights https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 en eng https://edepot.wur.nl/375458 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/predicting-effects-of-water-regime-changes-on-waterbirds-insights doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Wageningen University & Research PLoS ONE 11 (2016) 2 ISSN: 1932-6203 Life Science info:eu-repo/semantics/article Article/Letter to editor info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2016 ftunivwagenin https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 2024-01-10T23:18:28Z Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult,especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individualbasedapproaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmentalchanges on wintering and staging coastal bird populations. How many birds make use ofstaging sites is mostly determined by food availability and accessibility, which in the case ofmany waterbirds in turn is affected by water level. Many water systems are regulated andwater levels are maintained at target levels, set by management authorities. We used anindividual-based modelling framework (MORPH) to analyse how different target water levelsaffect the number of migratory Bewick’s swans Cygnus columbianus bewickii staging ata shallow freshwater lake (Lauwersmeer, the Netherlands) in autumn. As an emerging propertyof the model, we found strong non-linear responses of swan usage to changes in waterlevel, with a sudden drop in peak numbers as well as bird-days with a 0.20 m rise above thecurrent target water level. Such strong non-linear responses are probably common andshould be taken into account in environmental impact assessments Article in Journal/Newspaper Cygnus columbianus Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library PLOS ONE 11 2 e0147340 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library |
op_collection_id |
ftunivwagenin |
language |
English |
topic |
Life Science |
spellingShingle |
Life Science Nolet, Bart A. Gyimesi, Abel Van Krimpen, Roderick R.D. de Boer, Fred Stillman, Richard A. Green, Andy J. Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
topic_facet |
Life Science |
description |
Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult,especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individualbasedapproaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmentalchanges on wintering and staging coastal bird populations. How many birds make use ofstaging sites is mostly determined by food availability and accessibility, which in the case ofmany waterbirds in turn is affected by water level. Many water systems are regulated andwater levels are maintained at target levels, set by management authorities. We used anindividual-based modelling framework (MORPH) to analyse how different target water levelsaffect the number of migratory Bewick’s swans Cygnus columbianus bewickii staging ata shallow freshwater lake (Lauwersmeer, the Netherlands) in autumn. As an emerging propertyof the model, we found strong non-linear responses of swan usage to changes in waterlevel, with a sudden drop in peak numbers as well as bird-days with a 0.20 m rise above thecurrent target water level. Such strong non-linear responses are probably common andshould be taken into account in environmental impact assessments |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Nolet, Bart A. Gyimesi, Abel Van Krimpen, Roderick R.D. de Boer, Fred Stillman, Richard A. Green, Andy J. |
author_facet |
Nolet, Bart A. Gyimesi, Abel Van Krimpen, Roderick R.D. de Boer, Fred Stillman, Richard A. Green, Andy J. |
author_sort |
Nolet, Bart A. |
title |
Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
title_short |
Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
title_full |
Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
title_fullStr |
Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predicting Effects of Water Regime Changes on Waterbirds: Insights from Staging Swans |
title_sort |
predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/predicting-effects-of-water-regime-changes-on-waterbirds-insights https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 |
genre |
Cygnus columbianus |
genre_facet |
Cygnus columbianus |
op_source |
PLoS ONE 11 (2016) 2 ISSN: 1932-6203 |
op_relation |
https://edepot.wur.nl/375458 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/predicting-effects-of-water-regime-changes-on-waterbirds-insights doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Wageningen University & Research |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 |
container_title |
PLOS ONE |
container_volume |
11 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
e0147340 |
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1789965030159024128 |