Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling
Antarctica attracts tourists who want to explore its unique nature and landscapes. Antarctic tourism has rapidly grown since 1991 and is currently picking up again after the recent global economic downturn. Tourism activities are subject to the rules of the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) and the deci...
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ftunivwagenin:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/496043 2024-01-28T10:01:11+01:00 Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling Student, J.R. Amelung, B. Lamers, M.A.J. 2016 application/pdf https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/towards-a-tipping-point-exploring-the-capacity-to-self-regulate-a https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 en eng https://edepot.wur.nl/372406 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/towards-a-tipping-point-exploring-the-capacity-to-self-regulate-a doi:10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Wageningen University & Research Journal of Sustainable Tourism 24 (2016) 3 ISSN: 0966-9582 Antarctic tourism IAATO agent-based modelling (ABM) scenario analysis self-regulation simulation info:eu-repo/semantics/article Article/Letter to editor info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2016 ftunivwagenin https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 2024-01-03T23:16:03Z Antarctica attracts tourists who want to explore its unique nature and landscapes. Antarctic tourism has rapidly grown since 1991 and is currently picking up again after the recent global economic downturn. Tourism activities are subject to the rules of the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) and the decisions made by the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (ATCPs), but within this context, the industry has considerable freedom to self-organise. The industry is self-regulated by a voluntary member-basedgroup, the International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators (IAATO). Researchers and policy-makers express concern about IAATO’s ability to deal with further tourism development and the environmental consequences. This study applies a new approach to understand what affects self-regulation, consisting of a literature review and agent-based modelling (ABM). The review identifies four challenges for self-regulation: operator commitment, tourism growth, operator diversification, andaccidents. The ABM simulations help conceptualise the complex concepts and theories surrounding self-regulation. Self-regulation is measured by the capacity of the simulated self-regulatory system to maintain a majority membership at the end of 20 years. The model suggests that a number of the challenges are nonlinear and have tipping points. This approach provides insights that industry officials and policy-makers can use to proactively regulate Antarctic tourism. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library Antarctic The Antarctic Journal of Sustainable Tourism 24 3 412 429 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Wageningen UR (University & Research Centre): Digital Library |
op_collection_id |
ftunivwagenin |
language |
English |
topic |
Antarctic tourism IAATO agent-based modelling (ABM) scenario analysis self-regulation simulation |
spellingShingle |
Antarctic tourism IAATO agent-based modelling (ABM) scenario analysis self-regulation simulation Student, J.R. Amelung, B. Lamers, M.A.J. Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
topic_facet |
Antarctic tourism IAATO agent-based modelling (ABM) scenario analysis self-regulation simulation |
description |
Antarctica attracts tourists who want to explore its unique nature and landscapes. Antarctic tourism has rapidly grown since 1991 and is currently picking up again after the recent global economic downturn. Tourism activities are subject to the rules of the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) and the decisions made by the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (ATCPs), but within this context, the industry has considerable freedom to self-organise. The industry is self-regulated by a voluntary member-basedgroup, the International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators (IAATO). Researchers and policy-makers express concern about IAATO’s ability to deal with further tourism development and the environmental consequences. This study applies a new approach to understand what affects self-regulation, consisting of a literature review and agent-based modelling (ABM). The review identifies four challenges for self-regulation: operator commitment, tourism growth, operator diversification, andaccidents. The ABM simulations help conceptualise the complex concepts and theories surrounding self-regulation. Self-regulation is measured by the capacity of the simulated self-regulatory system to maintain a majority membership at the end of 20 years. The model suggests that a number of the challenges are nonlinear and have tipping points. This approach provides insights that industry officials and policy-makers can use to proactively regulate Antarctic tourism. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Student, J.R. Amelung, B. Lamers, M.A.J. |
author_facet |
Student, J.R. Amelung, B. Lamers, M.A.J. |
author_sort |
Student, J.R. |
title |
Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
title_short |
Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
title_full |
Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
title_fullStr |
Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
title_full_unstemmed |
Towards a tipping point? Exploring the capacity to self-regulate Antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
title_sort |
towards a tipping point? exploring the capacity to self-regulate antarctic tourism using agent-based modelling |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/towards-a-tipping-point-exploring-the-capacity-to-self-regulate-a https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 |
geographic |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
op_source |
Journal of Sustainable Tourism 24 (2016) 3 ISSN: 0966-9582 |
op_relation |
https://edepot.wur.nl/372406 https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/towards-a-tipping-point-exploring-the-capacity-to-self-regulate-a doi:10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Wageningen University & Research |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2015.1107079 |
container_title |
Journal of Sustainable Tourism |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
412 |
op_container_end_page |
429 |
_version_ |
1789325950066884608 |