The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction?
The Halloween effect as described by Bouman & Jacobsen (2002) means that stock returns of the year are significantly higher during the November to April (winter) period than during the May to October (summer) period. In the context of efficient market theory the effect should not exist. This stu...
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ftunivvaasa:oai:osuva.uwasa.fi:10024/1252 2023-05-15T16:52:14+02:00 The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? Kaikkonen, Henri Vaasan yliopisto fi=Kauppatieteellinen tiedekunta|en=Faculty of Business Studies| 2015-04-28 69 true http://osuva.uwasa.fi/handle/10024/1252 eng eng http://osuva.uwasa.fi/handle/10024/1252 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 fi=Kokoteksti luettavissa vain Tritonian asiakaskoneilla.|en=Full text can be read only on Tritonia's computers.|sv=Fulltext kan läsas enbart på Tritonias datorer.| restrictedAccess CC-BY-NC-ND Halloween effect anomalies stock returns fi=Master's Degree Programme in Finance| fi=Laskentatoimi ja rahoitus|en=Accounting and Finance| fi=Pro gradu - tutkielma |en=Master's thesis|sv=Pro gradu -avhandling| 2015 ftunivvaasa 2023-01-18T23:59:12Z The Halloween effect as described by Bouman & Jacobsen (2002) means that stock returns of the year are significantly higher during the November to April (winter) period than during the May to October (summer) period. In the context of efficient market theory the effect should not exist. This study researches the existence of the Halloween effect seasonal stock market anomaly in Nordic stock markets (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden) and the pan regional OMX40 index by running OLS regression on stock returns data. The purpose of the study is to see if the Halloween effect first formally investigated by Bouman & Jacobsen (2002) holds in the five Nordic stock markets both at country index levels and in factor portfolios. The main contribution of the study shows how the Halloween effect manifests itself in Fama & French factor portfolios using OLS regression on their portfolio returns. These portfolios are constructed and divided into value and growth portfolios based on other well documented anomalies: book to market, earnings to price, cash flow to price and dividend to price ratios. Therefore, this research paper looks at a stock market anomaly inside other anomalies. The study finds a statistically significant Halloween effect in 5/5 Nordic stock markets but does not find evidence for the effect in the OMX40 pan regional index. The results for the Fama & French factor portfolios are found in general slightly more significant than those of the individual stock market indices. A statistically significant Halloween effect is found in 3/4 countries for all value portfolios. For the majority of growth portfolios a statistically significant Halloween effect is also found in these three countries. fi=Opinnäytetyö kokotekstinä PDF-muodossa.|en=Thesis fulltext in PDF format.|sv=Lärdomsprov tillgängligt som fulltext i PDF-format| Other/Unknown Material Iceland Osuva (University of Vaasa) Norway |
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Osuva (University of Vaasa) |
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ftunivvaasa |
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English |
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Halloween effect anomalies stock returns fi=Master's Degree Programme in Finance| fi=Laskentatoimi ja rahoitus|en=Accounting and Finance| |
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Halloween effect anomalies stock returns fi=Master's Degree Programme in Finance| fi=Laskentatoimi ja rahoitus|en=Accounting and Finance| Kaikkonen, Henri The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
topic_facet |
Halloween effect anomalies stock returns fi=Master's Degree Programme in Finance| fi=Laskentatoimi ja rahoitus|en=Accounting and Finance| |
description |
The Halloween effect as described by Bouman & Jacobsen (2002) means that stock returns of the year are significantly higher during the November to April (winter) period than during the May to October (summer) period. In the context of efficient market theory the effect should not exist. This study researches the existence of the Halloween effect seasonal stock market anomaly in Nordic stock markets (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden) and the pan regional OMX40 index by running OLS regression on stock returns data. The purpose of the study is to see if the Halloween effect first formally investigated by Bouman & Jacobsen (2002) holds in the five Nordic stock markets both at country index levels and in factor portfolios. The main contribution of the study shows how the Halloween effect manifests itself in Fama & French factor portfolios using OLS regression on their portfolio returns. These portfolios are constructed and divided into value and growth portfolios based on other well documented anomalies: book to market, earnings to price, cash flow to price and dividend to price ratios. Therefore, this research paper looks at a stock market anomaly inside other anomalies. The study finds a statistically significant Halloween effect in 5/5 Nordic stock markets but does not find evidence for the effect in the OMX40 pan regional index. The results for the Fama & French factor portfolios are found in general slightly more significant than those of the individual stock market indices. A statistically significant Halloween effect is found in 3/4 countries for all value portfolios. For the majority of growth portfolios a statistically significant Halloween effect is also found in these three countries. fi=Opinnäytetyö kokotekstinä PDF-muodossa.|en=Thesis fulltext in PDF format.|sv=Lärdomsprov tillgängligt som fulltext i PDF-format| |
author2 |
Vaasan yliopisto fi=Kauppatieteellinen tiedekunta|en=Faculty of Business Studies| |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Kaikkonen, Henri |
author_facet |
Kaikkonen, Henri |
author_sort |
Kaikkonen, Henri |
title |
The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
title_short |
The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
title_full |
The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
title_fullStr |
The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Halloween Effect and Nordic Equity Markets: Fact or Fiction? |
title_sort |
halloween effect and nordic equity markets: fact or fiction? |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://osuva.uwasa.fi/handle/10024/1252 |
geographic |
Norway |
geographic_facet |
Norway |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_relation |
http://osuva.uwasa.fi/handle/10024/1252 |
op_rights |
CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 fi=Kokoteksti luettavissa vain Tritonian asiakaskoneilla.|en=Full text can be read only on Tritonia's computers.|sv=Fulltext kan läsas enbart på Tritonias datorer.| restrictedAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY-NC-ND |
_version_ |
1766042390315925504 |