Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections
East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) mass balance is largely driven by snowfall. Recently, increased snowfall in Queen Maud Land led to years of EAIS mass gain. It is difficult to determine whether these years of enhanced snowfall are anomalous or part of a longer-term trend, reducing our ability to asse...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | , |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2018
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/363485 |
id |
ftunivutrecht:oai:dspace.library.uu.nl:1874/363485 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunivutrecht:oai:dspace.library.uu.nl:1874/363485 2023-12-10T09:42:44+01:00 Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections Medley, B. McConnell, Joseph R. Neumann, T. A. Reijmer, C. H. Chellman, N. Sigl, M. Kipfstuhl, Sepp Sub Dynamics Meteorology Marine and Atmospheric Research 2018-02-16 image/pdf https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/363485 eng eng https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/363485 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess 2018 ftunivutrecht 2023-11-15T23:13:47Z East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) mass balance is largely driven by snowfall. Recently, increased snowfall in Queen Maud Land led to years of EAIS mass gain. It is difficult to determine whether these years of enhanced snowfall are anomalous or part of a longer-term trend, reducing our ability to assess the mitigating impact of snowfall on sea level rise. We determine that the recent snowfall increases in western Queen Maud Land (QML) are part of a long-term trend (+5.2 ± 3.7% decade-1) and are unprecedented over the past two millennia. Warming between 1998 and 2016 is significant and rapid (+1.1 ± 0.7°C decade-1). Using these observations, we determine that the current accumulation and temperature increases in QML from an ensemble of global climate simulations are too low, which suggests that projections of the QML contribution to sea level rise are potentially overestimated with a reduced mitigating impact of enhanced snowfall in a warming world. Other/Unknown Material Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land Utrecht University Repository Antarctic East Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land ENVELOPE(12.000,12.000,-72.500,-72.500) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Utrecht University Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivutrecht |
language |
English |
description |
East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) mass balance is largely driven by snowfall. Recently, increased snowfall in Queen Maud Land led to years of EAIS mass gain. It is difficult to determine whether these years of enhanced snowfall are anomalous or part of a longer-term trend, reducing our ability to assess the mitigating impact of snowfall on sea level rise. We determine that the recent snowfall increases in western Queen Maud Land (QML) are part of a long-term trend (+5.2 ± 3.7% decade-1) and are unprecedented over the past two millennia. Warming between 1998 and 2016 is significant and rapid (+1.1 ± 0.7°C decade-1). Using these observations, we determine that the current accumulation and temperature increases in QML from an ensemble of global climate simulations are too low, which suggests that projections of the QML contribution to sea level rise are potentially overestimated with a reduced mitigating impact of enhanced snowfall in a warming world. |
author2 |
Sub Dynamics Meteorology Marine and Atmospheric Research |
author |
Medley, B. McConnell, Joseph R. Neumann, T. A. Reijmer, C. H. Chellman, N. Sigl, M. Kipfstuhl, Sepp |
spellingShingle |
Medley, B. McConnell, Joseph R. Neumann, T. A. Reijmer, C. H. Chellman, N. Sigl, M. Kipfstuhl, Sepp Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
author_facet |
Medley, B. McConnell, Joseph R. Neumann, T. A. Reijmer, C. H. Chellman, N. Sigl, M. Kipfstuhl, Sepp |
author_sort |
Medley, B. |
title |
Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
title_short |
Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
title_full |
Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
title_fullStr |
Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
title_full_unstemmed |
Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections |
title_sort |
temperature and snowfall in western queen maud land increasing faster than climate model projections |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/363485 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(12.000,12.000,-72.500,-72.500) |
geographic |
Antarctic East Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic East Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Queen Maud Land |
op_relation |
https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/363485 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
_version_ |
1784885691742683136 |