Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago
Aim: Anticipated changes in the global ocean climate will affect the vulnerability of marine ecosystems to the negative effects of non-indigenous species (NIS). In the Arctic, there is a need to better characterize present and future marine biological introduction patterns and processes. We use a ve...
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Blackwell Science Ltd.
2013
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10037/5784 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 |
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ftunivtroemsoe:oai:munin.uit.no:10037/5784 2023-05-15T14:28:47+02:00 Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago Ware, Christopher Berge, Jørgen Sundet, Jan Henry Kirkpatrick, JB Coutts, A.D.M. Jelmert, Anders Olsen, SM Floerl, O Wisz, Mary S. Alsos, Inger Greve 2013 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/5784 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 eng eng Blackwell Science Ltd. Diversity & distributions: A journal of biological invasions and biodiversity 20(2013) nr. 1 s. 10-19 FRIDAID 1085872 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 1366-9516 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/5784 URN:NBN:no-uit_munin_5481 openAccess VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Marine biology: 497 VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Marinbiologi: 497 Journal article Tidsskriftartikkel Peer reviewed 2013 ftunivtroemsoe https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 2021-06-25T17:53:44Z Aim: Anticipated changes in the global ocean climate will affect the vulnerability of marine ecosystems to the negative effects of non-indigenous species (NIS). In the Arctic, there is a need to better characterize present and future marine biological introduction patterns and processes. We use a vector-based assessment to estimate changes in the vulnerability of a high-Arctic archipelago to marine NIS introduction and establishment. Location: Global, with a case study of Svalbard, Norway. Methods: We base our assessment on the level of connectedness to global NIS pools through the regional shipping network and predicted changes in ocean climates. Environmental match of ports connected to Svalbard was evaluated under present and future environmental conditions (2050 and 2100 predicted under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario). Risk of NIS introduction was then estimated based on the potential for known NIS to be transported (in ballast water or as biofouling), environmental match, and a qualitative estimate of propagule pressure. Results: We show that Svalbard will become increasingly vulnerable to marine NIS introduction and establishment. Over the coming century, sea surface warming at high latitudes is estimated to increase the level of environmental match to nearly one-third of ports previously visited by vessels travelling to Svalbard in 2011 (n = 136). The shipping network will then likely connect Svalbard to a much greater pool of known NIS, under conditions more favourable for their establishment. Research and fishing vessels were estimated to pose the highest risk of NIS introduction through biofouling, while ballast water discharge is estimated to pose an increased risk by the end of the century. Main conclusions: In the absence of focused preventative management, the risk of NIS introduction and establishment in Svalbard, and the wider Arctic, will increase over coming decades, prompting a need to respond in policy and action. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Archipelago Arctic Climate change Svalbard University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive Arctic Svalbard Norway Diversity and Distributions 20 1 10 19 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive |
op_collection_id |
ftunivtroemsoe |
language |
English |
topic |
VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Marine biology: 497 VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Marinbiologi: 497 |
spellingShingle |
VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Marine biology: 497 VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Marinbiologi: 497 Ware, Christopher Berge, Jørgen Sundet, Jan Henry Kirkpatrick, JB Coutts, A.D.M. Jelmert, Anders Olsen, SM Floerl, O Wisz, Mary S. Alsos, Inger Greve Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
topic_facet |
VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Marine biology: 497 VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Marinbiologi: 497 |
description |
Aim: Anticipated changes in the global ocean climate will affect the vulnerability of marine ecosystems to the negative effects of non-indigenous species (NIS). In the Arctic, there is a need to better characterize present and future marine biological introduction patterns and processes. We use a vector-based assessment to estimate changes in the vulnerability of a high-Arctic archipelago to marine NIS introduction and establishment. Location: Global, with a case study of Svalbard, Norway. Methods: We base our assessment on the level of connectedness to global NIS pools through the regional shipping network and predicted changes in ocean climates. Environmental match of ports connected to Svalbard was evaluated under present and future environmental conditions (2050 and 2100 predicted under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario). Risk of NIS introduction was then estimated based on the potential for known NIS to be transported (in ballast water or as biofouling), environmental match, and a qualitative estimate of propagule pressure. Results: We show that Svalbard will become increasingly vulnerable to marine NIS introduction and establishment. Over the coming century, sea surface warming at high latitudes is estimated to increase the level of environmental match to nearly one-third of ports previously visited by vessels travelling to Svalbard in 2011 (n = 136). The shipping network will then likely connect Svalbard to a much greater pool of known NIS, under conditions more favourable for their establishment. Research and fishing vessels were estimated to pose the highest risk of NIS introduction through biofouling, while ballast water discharge is estimated to pose an increased risk by the end of the century. Main conclusions: In the absence of focused preventative management, the risk of NIS introduction and establishment in Svalbard, and the wider Arctic, will increase over coming decades, prompting a need to respond in policy and action. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ware, Christopher Berge, Jørgen Sundet, Jan Henry Kirkpatrick, JB Coutts, A.D.M. Jelmert, Anders Olsen, SM Floerl, O Wisz, Mary S. Alsos, Inger Greve |
author_facet |
Ware, Christopher Berge, Jørgen Sundet, Jan Henry Kirkpatrick, JB Coutts, A.D.M. Jelmert, Anders Olsen, SM Floerl, O Wisz, Mary S. Alsos, Inger Greve |
author_sort |
Ware, Christopher |
title |
Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
title_short |
Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
title_full |
Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
title_fullStr |
Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-Arctic archipelago |
title_sort |
climate change, non-indigenous species and shipping: assessing the risk of species introduction to a high-arctic archipelago |
publisher |
Blackwell Science Ltd. |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10037/5784 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 |
geographic |
Arctic Svalbard Norway |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Svalbard Norway |
genre |
Arctic Archipelago Arctic Climate change Svalbard |
genre_facet |
Arctic Archipelago Arctic Climate change Svalbard |
op_relation |
Diversity & distributions: A journal of biological invasions and biodiversity 20(2013) nr. 1 s. 10-19 FRIDAID 1085872 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 1366-9516 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/5784 URN:NBN:no-uit_munin_5481 |
op_rights |
openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12117 |
container_title |
Diversity and Distributions |
container_volume |
20 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
10 |
op_container_end_page |
19 |
_version_ |
1766302945904689152 |