Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions
Wind energy conversion systems such as wind farms are growing in numbers and capacity all over the globe. The onshore wind energy generation sector witnessed an increase of approximately 144 TWh during 2020, with onshore wind farms capacity addition of 108 GW, which is twice as much as the added cap...
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis |
Language: | English |
Published: |
UiT Norges arktiske universitet
2023
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10037/28610 |
id |
ftunivtroemsoe:oai:munin.uit.no:10037/28610 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive |
op_collection_id |
ftunivtroemsoe |
language |
English |
topic |
VDP::Technology: 500::Industrial and product design: 640 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Industri- og produktdesign: 640 VDP::Technology: 500::Mechanical engineering: 570 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Maskinfag: 570 DOKTOR-004 |
spellingShingle |
VDP::Technology: 500::Industrial and product design: 640 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Industri- og produktdesign: 640 VDP::Technology: 500::Mechanical engineering: 570 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Maskinfag: 570 DOKTOR-004 Mustafa, Albara Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
topic_facet |
VDP::Technology: 500::Industrial and product design: 640 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Industri- og produktdesign: 640 VDP::Technology: 500::Mechanical engineering: 570 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Maskinfag: 570 DOKTOR-004 |
description |
Wind energy conversion systems such as wind farms are growing in numbers and capacity all over the globe. The onshore wind energy generation sector witnessed an increase of approximately 144 TWh during 2020, with onshore wind farms capacity addition of 108 GW, which is twice as much as the added capacity during 2019 (IEA, 2021). This staggering increase in capacity imposes higher needs for improved methodologies and expertise, in measuring the performance of wind farms and improving it. Cold climate regions are known to have an appealing potential for attracting wind farms installation and investments. However, the weather conditions in the cold climate regions impose risks and challenges to the operation and maintenance of wind turbines, and to the workers at the wind farms. Another challenge prevails in the lack of data and expertise related to wind energy projects in cold climate regions, due to the fact that wind farms instalments are relatively new in these regions. In addition, parts of the cold climate regions, such as the Arctic region, are known for their sensitive environment, and industrial projects could impact that sensitivity. The risks and challenges discussed in this thesis can be classified in different ways, there are risks that are induced by the weather conditions that affect the operation and performance of wind turbines, such as the reliability, availability and maintainability of the wind turbines, and there are the risks that are induced by the wind farms that will affect the societal, the economic, and the environmental status of the surroundings of the wind farms. This thesis introduces applicable methodologies that can be used to measure performance-related aspects of wind farms in cold climate regions, on different levels and operating under different scenarios. Moreover, in a performance-related context, a methodology for measuring the resilience of wind farms facing disruptive events is introduced, and lastly the different risks related to the operation of wind farms in cold climate ... |
format |
Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis |
author |
Mustafa, Albara |
author_facet |
Mustafa, Albara |
author_sort |
Mustafa, Albara |
title |
Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
title_short |
Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
title_full |
Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
title_fullStr |
Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions |
title_sort |
risk and resilience assessment of wind farms performance in cold climate regions |
publisher |
UiT Norges arktiske universitet |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10037/28610 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic |
op_relation |
Paper 1: Mustafa, A.M., Barabadi, A., Markeset, T. & Naseri, M. (2021). An overall performance index for wind farms: a case study in Norway Arctic region. International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, 12 , 938–950. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/21394 . Paper 2: Mustafa, A.M. & Barabadi, A. (2021). Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms in the Arctic with the Application of Bayesian Networks. Energies, 14 (15), 4439. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/21897 . Paper 3: Mustafa, A.M. & Barabadi, A. (2022). Criteria-Based Fuzzy Logic Risk Analysis of Wind Farms Operation in Cold Climate Regions. Energies, 15 (4), 1335. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/24587 . Paper 4: Mustafa, A.M., Barabadi, A. & Markeset, T. (2019). Risk assessment of wind farm development in ice proven area. Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic Conditions (POAC), June 9-13, 2019, Delft, The Netherlands . Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/17969 . Paper 5: Mustafa, A., Markeset, T. & Barabadi, A. (2020). Wind Turbine Failures Review and Gearbox Condition Monitoring. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, Venice, Italy . Published version not available in Munin due to publisher’s restrictions. Published version available at https://www.rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/esrel2020/html/5784.xml . Paper 6: Mustafa, A.M., Markeset, T. & Barabadi, A. (2020). Downtime Cost Estimation: A Wind Farm in the Arctic Case Study. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, Venice, Italy . Published version not available in Munin due to publisher’s restrictions. Published version available at https://www.rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/esrel2020/html/5832.xml . 978-82-8236-514-7 - printed version 978-82-8236-515-4 - PDF https://hdl.handle.net/10037/28610 |
op_rights |
embargoedAccess Copyright 2023 The Author(s) |
_version_ |
1766300627810385920 |
spelling |
ftunivtroemsoe:oai:munin.uit.no:10037/28610 2023-05-15T14:27:03+02:00 Risk and Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms Performance in Cold Climate Regions Mustafa, Albara 2023-03-13 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/28610 eng eng UiT Norges arktiske universitet UiT The Arctic University of Norway Paper 1: Mustafa, A.M., Barabadi, A., Markeset, T. & Naseri, M. (2021). An overall performance index for wind farms: a case study in Norway Arctic region. International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, 12 , 938–950. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/21394 . Paper 2: Mustafa, A.M. & Barabadi, A. (2021). Resilience Assessment of Wind Farms in the Arctic with the Application of Bayesian Networks. Energies, 14 (15), 4439. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/21897 . Paper 3: Mustafa, A.M. & Barabadi, A. (2022). Criteria-Based Fuzzy Logic Risk Analysis of Wind Farms Operation in Cold Climate Regions. Energies, 15 (4), 1335. Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/24587 . Paper 4: Mustafa, A.M., Barabadi, A. & Markeset, T. (2019). Risk assessment of wind farm development in ice proven area. Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic Conditions (POAC), June 9-13, 2019, Delft, The Netherlands . Also available in Munin at https://hdl.handle.net/10037/17969 . Paper 5: Mustafa, A., Markeset, T. & Barabadi, A. (2020). Wind Turbine Failures Review and Gearbox Condition Monitoring. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, Venice, Italy . Published version not available in Munin due to publisher’s restrictions. Published version available at https://www.rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/esrel2020/html/5784.xml . Paper 6: Mustafa, A.M., Markeset, T. & Barabadi, A. (2020). Downtime Cost Estimation: A Wind Farm in the Arctic Case Study. Proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, Venice, Italy . Published version not available in Munin due to publisher’s restrictions. Published version available at https://www.rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/esrel2020/html/5832.xml . 978-82-8236-514-7 - printed version 978-82-8236-515-4 - PDF https://hdl.handle.net/10037/28610 embargoedAccess Copyright 2023 The Author(s) VDP::Technology: 500::Industrial and product design: 640 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Industri- og produktdesign: 640 VDP::Technology: 500::Mechanical engineering: 570 VDP::Teknologi: 500::Maskinfag: 570 DOKTOR-004 Doctoral thesis Doktorgradsavhandling 2023 ftunivtroemsoe 2023-03-02T00:04:23Z Wind energy conversion systems such as wind farms are growing in numbers and capacity all over the globe. The onshore wind energy generation sector witnessed an increase of approximately 144 TWh during 2020, with onshore wind farms capacity addition of 108 GW, which is twice as much as the added capacity during 2019 (IEA, 2021). This staggering increase in capacity imposes higher needs for improved methodologies and expertise, in measuring the performance of wind farms and improving it. Cold climate regions are known to have an appealing potential for attracting wind farms installation and investments. However, the weather conditions in the cold climate regions impose risks and challenges to the operation and maintenance of wind turbines, and to the workers at the wind farms. Another challenge prevails in the lack of data and expertise related to wind energy projects in cold climate regions, due to the fact that wind farms instalments are relatively new in these regions. In addition, parts of the cold climate regions, such as the Arctic region, are known for their sensitive environment, and industrial projects could impact that sensitivity. The risks and challenges discussed in this thesis can be classified in different ways, there are risks that are induced by the weather conditions that affect the operation and performance of wind turbines, such as the reliability, availability and maintainability of the wind turbines, and there are the risks that are induced by the wind farms that will affect the societal, the economic, and the environmental status of the surroundings of the wind farms. This thesis introduces applicable methodologies that can be used to measure performance-related aspects of wind farms in cold climate regions, on different levels and operating under different scenarios. Moreover, in a performance-related context, a methodology for measuring the resilience of wind farms facing disruptive events is introduced, and lastly the different risks related to the operation of wind farms in cold climate ... Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis Arctic Arctic University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive Arctic |