An Evaluation on Diverse Machine Learning Algorithms for Hourly Univariate Wind Power Prediction in the Arctic

Wind power forecasting is crucial for wind power systems, grid load balance, maintenance, and grid operation optimization. The utilization of wind energy in the Arctic regions helps reduce greenhouse gas emissions in this environmentally vulnerable area. In the present study, eight various models, s...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Physics: Conference Series
Main Authors: Chen, Hao, Birkelund, Yngve
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10037/24257
https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2141/1/012016
Description
Summary:Wind power forecasting is crucial for wind power systems, grid load balance, maintenance, and grid operation optimization. The utilization of wind energy in the Arctic regions helps reduce greenhouse gas emissions in this environmentally vulnerable area. In the present study, eight various models, seven of which are representative machine learning algorithms, are used to make 1, 2, and 3 step hourly wind power predictions for five wind parks inside the Norwegian Arctic regions, and their performance is compared. Consequently, we recommend the persistence model, multilayer perceptron, and support vector regression for univariate time-series wind power forecasting within the time horizon of 3 hours.