A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014
Published version. Source at http://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 . License CC BY 4.0 . Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of...
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10037/10743 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
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ftunivtroemsoe:oai:munin.uit.no:10037/10743 2023-05-15T14:23:21+02:00 A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte-Quesada, Carlos Manuel 2016 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/10743 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 eng eng Springer Nature Scientific Reports Eguíluz et al. A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014. Scientific Reports. 2016;6:30682 FRIDAID 1417205 doi:10.1038/srep30682 2045-2322 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/10743 openAccess Climate-change impacts Environmental impact Scientific data VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Geosciences: 450 Journal article Tidsskriftartikkel Peer reviewed 2016 ftunivtroemsoe https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 2021-06-25T17:55:05Z Published version. Source at http://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 . License CC BY 4.0 . Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011–2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Sea ice University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive Arctic Arctic Ocean Scientific Reports 6 1 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Tromsø: Munin Open Research Archive |
op_collection_id |
ftunivtroemsoe |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate-change impacts Environmental impact Scientific data VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Geosciences: 450 |
spellingShingle |
Climate-change impacts Environmental impact Scientific data VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Geosciences: 450 Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte-Quesada, Carlos Manuel A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
topic_facet |
Climate-change impacts Environmental impact Scientific data VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Geosciences: 450 |
description |
Published version. Source at http://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 . License CC BY 4.0 . Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011–2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte-Quesada, Carlos Manuel |
author_facet |
Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte-Quesada, Carlos Manuel |
author_sort |
Eguíluz, Victor M. |
title |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_short |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_full |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_fullStr |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_full_unstemmed |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_sort |
quantitative assessment of arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
publisher |
Springer Nature |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10037/10743 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Sea ice |
op_relation |
Scientific Reports Eguíluz et al. A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014. Scientific Reports. 2016;6:30682 FRIDAID 1417205 doi:10.1038/srep30682 2045-2322 https://hdl.handle.net/10037/10743 |
op_rights |
openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
container_title |
Scientific Reports |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1766295905736065024 |