Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish
Recruitment success in marine species is mostly driven by the high and variable mortality of first life stages, and the relationships between stock and recruitment are then largely dominated by residual variability. We show that analysing the residual variability may provide insights on the density-...
Published in: | ICES Journal of Marine Science |
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-01123122 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 |
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ftunivtoulouse2:oai:HAL:hal-01123122v1 2024-05-19T07:45:50+00:00 Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish Archambault, Benoit Le Pape, Olivier Bousquet, Nicolas Rivot, Etienne Écologie et santé des écosystèmes (ESE) Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse UMR5219 (IMT) Université Toulouse Capitole (UT Capitole) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut National des Sciences Appliquées - Toulouse (INSA Toulouse) Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA)-Université Toulouse - Jean Jaurès (UT2J) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) UE European Project: 2014 https://hal.science/hal-01123122 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 en eng HAL CCSD Oxford University Press info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 hal-01123122 https://hal.science/hal-01123122 doi:10.1093/icesjms/fst203 PRODINRA: 281000 WOS: 000343317100014 ISSN: 1054-3139 EISSN: 1095-9289 ICES Journal of Marine Science https://hal.science/hal-01123122 ICES Journal of Marine Science, 2014, 71 (8), pp.2127-2140. ⟨10.1093/icesjms/fst203⟩ northeast atlantic marine fishes concentration hypothesis population-dynamics measurement errors juvenile flatfish sole solea-solea maximum reproductive rate stock-recruitment meta-analysis model hierarchical Bayesian heteroscedasticity flatfish density-dependence reference points nursery grounds [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2014 ftunivtoulouse2 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 2024-04-29T00:03:22Z Recruitment success in marine species is mostly driven by the high and variable mortality of first life stages, and the relationships between stock and recruitment are then largely dominated by residual variability. We show that analysing the residual variability may provide insights on the density-dependence process occurring during the recruitment. Following the seminal formulation of Minto et al. (Survival variability and population density in fish populations. Nature, 2008), we show that when recruitment is considered as a sequence of a pelagic stage with stochastic density-independent mortality followed by a second stage with stochastic density-dependent mortality, then the variability of the recruitment rate per spawning biomass (RPSB) should be a decreasing function of the spawning biomass. Using stock-recruit data of 148 stocks from the RAM legacy database, we provide a test of this hypothesis by showing that the variability of RPSB is lower for fish species with the higher concentration during juvenile stages. Second, a hierarchical Bayesian model (HBM) is built to derive a meta-analysis of stock-recruit data for 39 flatfish stocks, characterized by a high concentration of juveniles in coastal nursery habitats. Results of the HBM show that the variance of the RPSB decreases with the spawning biomass for almost all stocks, thus providing strong evidence of density-dependence during the recruitment process. Finally, we attempt to relate patterns in recruitment variance to relevant life-history traits of flatfish species. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northeast Atlantic Université Toulouse 2 - Jean Jaurès: HAL ICES Journal of Marine Science 71 8 2127 2140 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université Toulouse 2 - Jean Jaurès: HAL |
op_collection_id |
ftunivtoulouse2 |
language |
English |
topic |
northeast atlantic marine fishes concentration hypothesis population-dynamics measurement errors juvenile flatfish sole solea-solea maximum reproductive rate stock-recruitment meta-analysis model hierarchical Bayesian heteroscedasticity flatfish density-dependence reference points nursery grounds [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] |
spellingShingle |
northeast atlantic marine fishes concentration hypothesis population-dynamics measurement errors juvenile flatfish sole solea-solea maximum reproductive rate stock-recruitment meta-analysis model hierarchical Bayesian heteroscedasticity flatfish density-dependence reference points nursery grounds [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] Archambault, Benoit Le Pape, Olivier Bousquet, Nicolas Rivot, Etienne Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
topic_facet |
northeast atlantic marine fishes concentration hypothesis population-dynamics measurement errors juvenile flatfish sole solea-solea maximum reproductive rate stock-recruitment meta-analysis model hierarchical Bayesian heteroscedasticity flatfish density-dependence reference points nursery grounds [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] |
description |
Recruitment success in marine species is mostly driven by the high and variable mortality of first life stages, and the relationships between stock and recruitment are then largely dominated by residual variability. We show that analysing the residual variability may provide insights on the density-dependence process occurring during the recruitment. Following the seminal formulation of Minto et al. (Survival variability and population density in fish populations. Nature, 2008), we show that when recruitment is considered as a sequence of a pelagic stage with stochastic density-independent mortality followed by a second stage with stochastic density-dependent mortality, then the variability of the recruitment rate per spawning biomass (RPSB) should be a decreasing function of the spawning biomass. Using stock-recruit data of 148 stocks from the RAM legacy database, we provide a test of this hypothesis by showing that the variability of RPSB is lower for fish species with the higher concentration during juvenile stages. Second, a hierarchical Bayesian model (HBM) is built to derive a meta-analysis of stock-recruit data for 39 flatfish stocks, characterized by a high concentration of juveniles in coastal nursery habitats. Results of the HBM show that the variance of the RPSB decreases with the spawning biomass for almost all stocks, thus providing strong evidence of density-dependence during the recruitment process. Finally, we attempt to relate patterns in recruitment variance to relevant life-history traits of flatfish species. |
author2 |
Écologie et santé des écosystèmes (ESE) Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse UMR5219 (IMT) Université Toulouse Capitole (UT Capitole) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut National des Sciences Appliquées - Toulouse (INSA Toulouse) Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut National des Sciences Appliquées (INSA)-Université Toulouse - Jean Jaurès (UT2J) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) UE European Project: |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Archambault, Benoit Le Pape, Olivier Bousquet, Nicolas Rivot, Etienne |
author_facet |
Archambault, Benoit Le Pape, Olivier Bousquet, Nicolas Rivot, Etienne |
author_sort |
Archambault, Benoit |
title |
Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
title_short |
Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
title_full |
Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
title_fullStr |
Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
title_full_unstemmed |
Density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
title_sort |
density-dependence can be revealed by modelling the variance in the stock-recruitment process: an application to flatfish |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-01123122 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 |
genre |
Northeast Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northeast Atlantic |
op_source |
ISSN: 1054-3139 EISSN: 1095-9289 ICES Journal of Marine Science https://hal.science/hal-01123122 ICES Journal of Marine Science, 2014, 71 (8), pp.2127-2140. ⟨10.1093/icesjms/fst203⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 hal-01123122 https://hal.science/hal-01123122 doi:10.1093/icesjms/fst203 PRODINRA: 281000 WOS: 000343317100014 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst203 |
container_title |
ICES Journal of Marine Science |
container_volume |
71 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
2127 |
op_container_end_page |
2140 |
_version_ |
1799485951149342720 |