The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean
Management and conservation of components of the Anthropocene Ocean are becoming significantly more challenging by ever increasing complexity, as the number and types of ocean users increase in synchrony with growing interdependencies between the ecosystem and human well-being. In addition, climate...
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ftunivtasecite:oai:ecite.utas.edu.au:124558 2023-05-15T17:51:13+02:00 The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean Plaganyi, E Fulton, EA 2017 https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/124558 en eng Academic Press http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 Plaganyi, E and Fulton, EA, The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean, Conservation for the Anthropocene Ocean: Interdisciplinary Science in Support of Nature and People, Academic Press, PS Levin, MR Poe (ed), London, United Kingdom, pp. 423-446. ISBN 9780128053751 (2017) [Research Book Chapter] 9780128053751 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/124558 Environmental Sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified Research Book Chapter NonPeerReviewed 2017 ftunivtasecite https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 2022-12-26T23:17:08Z Management and conservation of components of the Anthropocene Ocean are becoming significantly more challenging by ever increasing complexity, as the number and types of ocean users increase in synchrony with growing interdependencies between the ecosystem and human well-being. In addition, climate change and ocean acidification are fundamentally changing ocean conditions. Effective conservation will entail synthesizing information across a broad range of disciplines, dealing with nonstationary complexity and a high degree of uncertainty. Modeling is a valuable tool for synthesizing and analyzing this complexity, as well as simulating alternative scenarios that would be impossible to test empirically. We provide several examples of how socioecological frameworks and two-way dynamic feedbacks can be incorporated into marine conservation models and decision support. Modeling provides a means for initiating and supporting discussions around potential future threats and responses, of identifying risks and trade-offs in meeting multiple and potentially conflicting objectives, and informing on ways to avoid undesirable tipping points. Book Part Ocean acidification eCite UTAS (University of Tasmania) 423 445 |
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English |
topic |
Environmental Sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified |
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Environmental Sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified Plaganyi, E Fulton, EA The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
topic_facet |
Environmental Sciences Climate change impacts and adaptation Climate change impacts and adaptation not elsewhere classified |
description |
Management and conservation of components of the Anthropocene Ocean are becoming significantly more challenging by ever increasing complexity, as the number and types of ocean users increase in synchrony with growing interdependencies between the ecosystem and human well-being. In addition, climate change and ocean acidification are fundamentally changing ocean conditions. Effective conservation will entail synthesizing information across a broad range of disciplines, dealing with nonstationary complexity and a high degree of uncertainty. Modeling is a valuable tool for synthesizing and analyzing this complexity, as well as simulating alternative scenarios that would be impossible to test empirically. We provide several examples of how socioecological frameworks and two-way dynamic feedbacks can be incorporated into marine conservation models and decision support. Modeling provides a means for initiating and supporting discussions around potential future threats and responses, of identifying risks and trade-offs in meeting multiple and potentially conflicting objectives, and informing on ways to avoid undesirable tipping points. |
format |
Book Part |
author |
Plaganyi, E Fulton, EA |
author_facet |
Plaganyi, E Fulton, EA |
author_sort |
Plaganyi, E |
title |
The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
title_short |
The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
title_full |
The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
title_fullStr |
The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean |
title_sort |
future of modeling to support conservation decisions in the anthropocene ocean |
publisher |
Academic Press |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/124558 |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_relation |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 Plaganyi, E and Fulton, EA, The Future of Modeling to Support Conservation Decisions in the Anthropocene Ocean, Conservation for the Anthropocene Ocean: Interdisciplinary Science in Support of Nature and People, Academic Press, PS Levin, MR Poe (ed), London, United Kingdom, pp. 423-446. ISBN 9780128053751 (2017) [Research Book Chapter] 9780128053751 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/124558 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-805375-1.00020-9 |
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423 |
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445 |
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1766158306594783232 |