An accident model for arctic shipping
This paper examines historical Arctic marine accidents from 1995-2004. It was seen during this time period that sinking and grounding of (fishing) vessels was the most common type of Arctic marine accident. A comprehensive accident model is presented to describe Arctic shipping accidents and their c...
Published in: | Volume 1: Offshore Technology; Offshore Geotechnics |
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Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Conference Object |
Language: | English |
Published: |
American Society of Mechanical Engineers
2015
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2015-41415 http://ecite.utas.edu.au/120689 |
Summary: | This paper examines historical Arctic marine accidents from 1995-2004. It was seen during this time period that sinking and grounding of (fishing) vessels was the most common type of Arctic marine accident. A comprehensive accident model is presented to describe Arctic shipping accidents and their causation factors. The accident model is based on epidemiological concepts which explain how non-sequential factors result in an unwanted outcome, analogous to disease spreading through a human body. The causation factors are nonsequential and non-linearly dependent. The applicability of the model is demonstrated through examination of two past accidents: the Kolskaya and the Kulluk. Detailed description of how the accident model could be used for predictive accident modelling and risk analysis of Arctic shipping scenarios is also presented. |
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