The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes r...
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
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BMC
2021
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1893/31737 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 http://dspace.stir.ac.uk/bitstream/1893/31737/1/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf |
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University of Stirling: Stirling Digital Research Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivstirling |
language |
English |
topic |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic: Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities |
spellingShingle |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic: Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V Christensen, Torben R Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Wookey, Philip The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
topic_facet |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic: Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities |
description |
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Torneträsk area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Torneträsk area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Torneträsk area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. Additional co-authors: Jonatan Klaminder, Jan Karlsson, Erik Lundin, Anders Michelsen, David Olefeldt, Andreas Persson, Gareth K. Phoenix, Zofia Raczkowska, Riikka Rinnan, Lena Strom, Jing Tang, Ruth K. Varner, Margareta Johansson |
author2 |
Lund University Geological Survey of Sweden University of Sheffield Aarhus University Umea University Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences University of Lincoln Norwegian Institute for Nature Research Technical University of Denmark Uppsala University Biological and Environmental Sciences orcid:0000-0001-5957-6424 |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V Christensen, Torben R Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Wookey, Philip |
author_facet |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V Christensen, Torben R Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Wookey, Philip |
author_sort |
Pascual, Didac |
title |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_short |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_full |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_fullStr |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_full_unstemmed |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_sort |
missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: a torneträsk case study |
publisher |
BMC |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1893/31737 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 http://dspace.stir.ac.uk/bitstream/1893/31737/1/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-60.729,-60.729,-64.008,-64.008) ENVELOPE(-45.033,-45.033,-60.733,-60.733) ENVELOPE(-58.400,-58.400,-64.200,-64.200) ENVELOPE(12.583,12.583,65.098,65.098) ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) |
geographic |
Andreas Arctic Michelsen Persson Rinnan Torneträsk |
geographic_facet |
Andreas Arctic Michelsen Persson Rinnan Torneträsk |
genre |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
op_relation |
Pascual D, Åkerman J, Becher M, Callaghan TV, Christensen TR, Dorrepaal E, Emanuelsson U, Giesler R, Hammarlund D, Hanna E, Hofgaard A, Jin H, Johansson C, Jonasson C & Wookey P (2021) The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, 50 (2), pp. 375-392. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 http://hdl.handle.net/1893/31737 doi:10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 32920769 WOS:000568974700002 2-s2.0-85090978576 1664268 http://dspace.stir.ac.uk/bitstream/1893/31737/1/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf |
op_rights |
This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
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ftunivstirling:oai:dspace.stir.ac.uk:1893/31737 2023-05-15T14:55:44+02:00 The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V Christensen, Torben R Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Wookey, Philip Lund University Geological Survey of Sweden University of Sheffield Aarhus University Umea University Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences University of Lincoln Norwegian Institute for Nature Research Technical University of Denmark Uppsala University Biological and Environmental Sciences orcid:0000-0001-5957-6424 2021-02 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/1893/31737 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 http://dspace.stir.ac.uk/bitstream/1893/31737/1/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf en eng BMC Pascual D, Åkerman J, Becher M, Callaghan TV, Christensen TR, Dorrepaal E, Emanuelsson U, Giesler R, Hammarlund D, Hanna E, Hofgaard A, Jin H, Johansson C, Jonasson C & Wookey P (2021) The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, 50 (2), pp. 375-392. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 http://hdl.handle.net/1893/31737 doi:10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 32920769 WOS:000568974700002 2-s2.0-85090978576 1664268 http://dspace.stir.ac.uk/bitstream/1893/31737/1/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ CC-BY Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic: Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Journal Article VoR - Version of Record 2021 ftunivstirling https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 2022-06-13T18:43:53Z Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Torneträsk area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Torneträsk area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Torneträsk area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. Additional co-authors: Jonatan Klaminder, Jan Karlsson, Erik Lundin, Anders Michelsen, David Olefeldt, Andreas Persson, Gareth K. Phoenix, Zofia Raczkowska, Riikka Rinnan, Lena Strom, Jing Tang, Ruth K. Varner, Margareta Johansson Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic University of Stirling: Stirling Digital Research Repository Andreas ENVELOPE(-60.729,-60.729,-64.008,-64.008) Arctic Michelsen ENVELOPE(-45.033,-45.033,-60.733,-60.733) Persson ENVELOPE(-58.400,-58.400,-64.200,-64.200) Rinnan ENVELOPE(12.583,12.583,65.098,65.098) Torneträsk ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) Ambio 50 2 375 392 |