Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems
Climate change modulates both energy demand and wind and solar energy supply but a globally synthetic analysis of supply–demand match (SDM) is lacking. Here, we use 12 state-of-the-art climate models to assess climate change impacts on SDM, quantified by the fraction of demand met by local wind or s...
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ftunivsthongkong:oai:repository.hkust.edu.hk:1783.1-132374 2023-12-31T10:00:31+01:00 Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems Liu, Laibao He, Gang Wu, Mengxi Liu, Gang Zhang, Haoran Chen, Ying Shen, Jiashu Li, Shuangcheng 2023 https://repository.hkust.edu.hk/ir/Record/1783.1-132374 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w http://lbdiscover.ust.hk/uresolver?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rfr_id=info:sid/HKUST:SPI&rft.genre=article&rft.issn=2058-7546&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=8&rft.date=2023&rft.spage=870&rft.aulast=Liu&rft.aufirst=Laibao&rft.atitle=Climate+change+impacts+on+planned+supply%E2%80%93demand+match+in+global+wind+and+solar+energy+systems&rft.title=Nature+Energy http://www.scopus.com/record/display.url?eid=2-s2.0-85165460211&origin=inward http://gateway.isiknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS&KeyUT=001034458400001 English eng Nature Research https://repository.hkust.edu.hk/ir/Record/1783.1-132374 Nature Energy, v. 8, (8), July 2023, p. 870-880 2058-7546 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w http://lbdiscover.ust.hk/uresolver?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rfr_id=info:sid/HKUST:SPI&rft.genre=article&rft.issn=2058-7546&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=8&rft.date=2023&rft.spage=870&rft.aulast=Liu&rft.aufirst=Laibao&rft.atitle=Climate+change+impacts+on+planned+supply%E2%80%93demand+match+in+global+wind+and+solar+energy+systems&rft.title=Nature+Energy http://www.scopus.com/record/display.url?eid=2-s2.0-85165460211&origin=inward http://gateway.isiknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS&KeyUT=001034458400001 Article 2023 ftunivsthongkong https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w 2023-12-01T01:13:33Z Climate change modulates both energy demand and wind and solar energy supply but a globally synthetic analysis of supply–demand match (SDM) is lacking. Here, we use 12 state-of-the-art climate models to assess climate change impacts on SDM, quantified by the fraction of demand met by local wind or solar supply. For energy systems with varying dependence on wind or solar supply, up to 32% or 44% of non-Antarctic land areas, respectively, are projected to experience robust SDM reductions by the end of this century under an intermediate emission scenario. Smaller and more variable supply reduces SDM at northern middle-to-high latitudes, whereas reduced heating demand alleviates or reverses SDM reductions remarkably. By contrast, despite supply increases at low latitudes, raised cooling demand reduces SDM substantially. Changes in climate extremes and climate mean make size-comparable contributions. Our results provide early warnings for energy sectors in climate change adaptation. © 2023, The Author(s). Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology: HKUST Institutional Repository Nature Energy 8 8 870 880 |
institution |
Open Polar |
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The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology: HKUST Institutional Repository |
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ftunivsthongkong |
language |
English |
description |
Climate change modulates both energy demand and wind and solar energy supply but a globally synthetic analysis of supply–demand match (SDM) is lacking. Here, we use 12 state-of-the-art climate models to assess climate change impacts on SDM, quantified by the fraction of demand met by local wind or solar supply. For energy systems with varying dependence on wind or solar supply, up to 32% or 44% of non-Antarctic land areas, respectively, are projected to experience robust SDM reductions by the end of this century under an intermediate emission scenario. Smaller and more variable supply reduces SDM at northern middle-to-high latitudes, whereas reduced heating demand alleviates or reverses SDM reductions remarkably. By contrast, despite supply increases at low latitudes, raised cooling demand reduces SDM substantially. Changes in climate extremes and climate mean make size-comparable contributions. Our results provide early warnings for energy sectors in climate change adaptation. © 2023, The Author(s). |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Liu, Laibao He, Gang Wu, Mengxi Liu, Gang Zhang, Haoran Chen, Ying Shen, Jiashu Li, Shuangcheng |
spellingShingle |
Liu, Laibao He, Gang Wu, Mengxi Liu, Gang Zhang, Haoran Chen, Ying Shen, Jiashu Li, Shuangcheng Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
author_facet |
Liu, Laibao He, Gang Wu, Mengxi Liu, Gang Zhang, Haoran Chen, Ying Shen, Jiashu Li, Shuangcheng |
author_sort |
Liu, Laibao |
title |
Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
title_short |
Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
title_full |
Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
title_fullStr |
Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
title_sort |
climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems |
publisher |
Nature Research |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://repository.hkust.edu.hk/ir/Record/1783.1-132374 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w http://lbdiscover.ust.hk/uresolver?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rfr_id=info:sid/HKUST:SPI&rft.genre=article&rft.issn=2058-7546&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=8&rft.date=2023&rft.spage=870&rft.aulast=Liu&rft.aufirst=Laibao&rft.atitle=Climate+change+impacts+on+planned+supply%E2%80%93demand+match+in+global+wind+and+solar+energy+systems&rft.title=Nature+Energy http://www.scopus.com/record/display.url?eid=2-s2.0-85165460211&origin=inward http://gateway.isiknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS&KeyUT=001034458400001 |
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Antarc* Antarctic |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic |
op_relation |
https://repository.hkust.edu.hk/ir/Record/1783.1-132374 Nature Energy, v. 8, (8), July 2023, p. 870-880 2058-7546 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w http://lbdiscover.ust.hk/uresolver?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rfr_id=info:sid/HKUST:SPI&rft.genre=article&rft.issn=2058-7546&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=8&rft.date=2023&rft.spage=870&rft.aulast=Liu&rft.aufirst=Laibao&rft.atitle=Climate+change+impacts+on+planned+supply%E2%80%93demand+match+in+global+wind+and+solar+energy+systems&rft.title=Nature+Energy http://www.scopus.com/record/display.url?eid=2-s2.0-85165460211&origin=inward http://gateway.isiknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS&KeyUT=001034458400001 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01304-w |
container_title |
Nature Energy |
container_volume |
8 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
870 |
op_container_end_page |
880 |
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1786850819228827648 |