Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting?
In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applic...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Springer
2020
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/1/Hunke_et_al-2020-Current_Climate_Change_Reports.pdf |
id |
ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:94929 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:94929 2024-09-15T18:34:07+00:00 Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? Hunke, E. Allard, R. Blain, P. Blockley, E. Feltham, Danny Fichefet, T. Garric, G. Grumbine, R. Lemieux, J-F Rasmussen, T Ribergaard, M Roberts, A. Schweiger, A. Tietsche, S. Tremblay, B. Vancoppenolle, M. Zhang, J. 2020 text https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/1/Hunke_et_al-2020-Current_Climate_Change_Reports.pdf en eng Springer https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/1/Hunke_et_al-2020-Current_Climate_Change_Reports.pdf Hunke, E., Allard, R., Blain, P., Blockley, E., Feltham, D. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90004991.html> orcid:0000-0003-2289-014X , Fichefet, T., Garric, G., Grumbine, R., Lemieux, J.-F., Rasmussen, T., Ribergaard, M., Roberts, A., Schweiger, A., Tietsche, S., Tremblay, B., Vancoppenolle, M. and Zhang, J. (2020) Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? Current Climate Change Reports, 6. pp. 121-136. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y <https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y> cc_by_4 Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftunivreading 2024-06-25T15:04:04Z In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applications produce output of interest to operational forecast users, such as ice motion, convergence, and internal ice pressure, the relevant spatial and temporal scales may not be sufficiently resolved. For instance, sea-ice research codes are typically run with horizontal resolution of more than 3 km, while mariners need information on scales less than 300 m. Certain sea-ice processes and coupled feedbacks that are critical to simulating the Earth system may not be relevant on these scales; and therefore, the most important model upgrades for improving sea-ice predictions might be made in the atmosphere and ocean components of coupled models or in their coupling mechanisms, rather than in the sea-ice model itself. This paper discusses some of the challenges in applying sea-ice modeling tools developed for research purposes for operational forecasting on short time scales, and highlights promising new directions in sea-ice modeling. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading |
op_collection_id |
ftunivreading |
language |
English |
description |
In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applications produce output of interest to operational forecast users, such as ice motion, convergence, and internal ice pressure, the relevant spatial and temporal scales may not be sufficiently resolved. For instance, sea-ice research codes are typically run with horizontal resolution of more than 3 km, while mariners need information on scales less than 300 m. Certain sea-ice processes and coupled feedbacks that are critical to simulating the Earth system may not be relevant on these scales; and therefore, the most important model upgrades for improving sea-ice predictions might be made in the atmosphere and ocean components of coupled models or in their coupling mechanisms, rather than in the sea-ice model itself. This paper discusses some of the challenges in applying sea-ice modeling tools developed for research purposes for operational forecasting on short time scales, and highlights promising new directions in sea-ice modeling. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hunke, E. Allard, R. Blain, P. Blockley, E. Feltham, Danny Fichefet, T. Garric, G. Grumbine, R. Lemieux, J-F Rasmussen, T Ribergaard, M Roberts, A. Schweiger, A. Tietsche, S. Tremblay, B. Vancoppenolle, M. Zhang, J. |
spellingShingle |
Hunke, E. Allard, R. Blain, P. Blockley, E. Feltham, Danny Fichefet, T. Garric, G. Grumbine, R. Lemieux, J-F Rasmussen, T Ribergaard, M Roberts, A. Schweiger, A. Tietsche, S. Tremblay, B. Vancoppenolle, M. Zhang, J. Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
author_facet |
Hunke, E. Allard, R. Blain, P. Blockley, E. Feltham, Danny Fichefet, T. Garric, G. Grumbine, R. Lemieux, J-F Rasmussen, T Ribergaard, M Roberts, A. Schweiger, A. Tietsche, S. Tremblay, B. Vancoppenolle, M. Zhang, J. |
author_sort |
Hunke, E. |
title |
Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
title_short |
Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
title_full |
Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
title_fullStr |
Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
title_sort |
should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
publisher |
Springer |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/1/Hunke_et_al-2020-Current_Climate_Change_Reports.pdf |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/94929/1/Hunke_et_al-2020-Current_Climate_Change_Reports.pdf Hunke, E., Allard, R., Blain, P., Blockley, E., Feltham, D. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90004991.html> orcid:0000-0003-2289-014X , Fichefet, T., Garric, G., Grumbine, R., Lemieux, J.-F., Rasmussen, T., Ribergaard, M., Roberts, A., Schweiger, A., Tietsche, S., Tremblay, B., Vancoppenolle, M. and Zhang, J. (2020) Should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? Current Climate Change Reports, 6. pp. 121-136. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y <https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y> |
op_rights |
cc_by_4 |
_version_ |
1810475853561200640 |