Evaluation of the consistency of ECMWF ensemble forecasts

An expected benefit of ensemble forecasts is that a sequence of consecutive forecasts valid for the same time will be more consistent than an equivalent sequence of individual forecasts. Inconsistent (jumpy) forecasts can cause users to lose confidence in the forecasting system. We present a first s...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors: Richardson, David S., Cloke, Hannah L., Pappenberger, Florian
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/17/2020GL087934.pdf
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/2/202004_DRichardson_ensemble_consistency_revised_clean.pdf
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/1/202004_DRichardson_ensemble_consistency_supporting_information.pdf