Evaluation of the consistency of ECMWF ensemble forecasts
An expected benefit of ensemble forecasts is that a sequence of consecutive forecasts valid for the same time will be more consistent than an equivalent sequence of individual forecasts. Inconsistent (jumpy) forecasts can cause users to lose confidence in the forecasting system. We present a first s...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
American Geophysical Union
2020
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/17/2020GL087934.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/2/202004_DRichardson_ensemble_consistency_revised_clean.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/90485/1/202004_DRichardson_ensemble_consistency_supporting_information.pdf |