Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature
In 2018 Europe experienced the warmest May-October (Northern Hemisphere Warm Season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46,557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with sat...
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ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:89307 2024-06-23T07:52:42+00:00 Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature Woolway, Iestyn Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura 2020 text https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/1/MS_eur_heatwave.pdf en eng Taylor and Francis https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/1/MS_eur_heatwave.pdf Woolway, I. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90006557.html> orcid:0000-0003-0498-7968 , Jennings, E. and Carrea, L. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90005885.html> orcid:0000-0002-3280-2767 (2020) Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature. Inland Waters, 10 (3). ISSN 2044-2041 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 <https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180> Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftunivreading https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 2024-06-11T15:10:14Z In 2018 Europe experienced the warmest May-October (Northern Hemisphere Warm Season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46,557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with satellite-derived lake surface temperatures for 115 lakes from 1995 to 2018. Using the validated model, we demonstrated that, during May-Oct 2018, mean and maximum lake surface temperatures were 1.5°C and 2.4°C warmer than the base-period average (1981-2010). A lake model experiment demonstrated that, on average, the increase in air temperature was the dominant driver of surface water temperature change. However, in some lake regions, other meteorological forcing had a greater influence. Notably, higher than average solar radiation and lower than average wind speed exacerbated the influence of the heatwave on lake surface temperature in many regions, particularly Fennoscandia and Western Europe. To place our results in the context of projected 21st century climate change, we then ran the lake model with input data from state-of-the-art climate model projections under three emissions scenarios. Under the scenario with higher emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5), we demonstrated that by the end of the 21st century, the lake surface temperatures that occurred during the heatwave of 2018 will become increasingly common across many lake regions in Europe. Article in Journal/Newspaper Fennoscandia CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading Inland Waters 10 3 322 332 |
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ftunivreading |
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English |
description |
In 2018 Europe experienced the warmest May-October (Northern Hemisphere Warm Season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46,557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with satellite-derived lake surface temperatures for 115 lakes from 1995 to 2018. Using the validated model, we demonstrated that, during May-Oct 2018, mean and maximum lake surface temperatures were 1.5°C and 2.4°C warmer than the base-period average (1981-2010). A lake model experiment demonstrated that, on average, the increase in air temperature was the dominant driver of surface water temperature change. However, in some lake regions, other meteorological forcing had a greater influence. Notably, higher than average solar radiation and lower than average wind speed exacerbated the influence of the heatwave on lake surface temperature in many regions, particularly Fennoscandia and Western Europe. To place our results in the context of projected 21st century climate change, we then ran the lake model with input data from state-of-the-art climate model projections under three emissions scenarios. Under the scenario with higher emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5), we demonstrated that by the end of the 21st century, the lake surface temperatures that occurred during the heatwave of 2018 will become increasingly common across many lake regions in Europe. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Woolway, Iestyn Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura |
spellingShingle |
Woolway, Iestyn Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
author_facet |
Woolway, Iestyn Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura |
author_sort |
Woolway, Iestyn |
title |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_short |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_full |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_fullStr |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_sort |
impact of the 2018 european heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
publisher |
Taylor and Francis |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/1/MS_eur_heatwave.pdf |
genre |
Fennoscandia |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandia |
op_relation |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/89307/1/MS_eur_heatwave.pdf Woolway, I. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90006557.html> orcid:0000-0003-0498-7968 , Jennings, E. and Carrea, L. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90005885.html> orcid:0000-0002-3280-2767 (2020) Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature. Inland Waters, 10 (3). ISSN 2044-2041 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 <https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180> |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 |
container_title |
Inland Waters |
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10 |
container_issue |
3 |
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322 |
op_container_end_page |
332 |
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1802644080990093312 |