Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types
Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonisation of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather-sensitivity of the continent’s power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and widespread interest...
Published in: | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Royal Meteorological Society
2020
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/9/Bloomfield_et_al-2019-Meteorological_Applications.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/1/Accepted_Bloomfield_et_al_Met_Apps.pdf |
id |
ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:87135 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:87135 2024-06-23T07:55:14+00:00 Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types Bloomfield, Hannah C. Brayshaw, David J. Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. 2020 text https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/9/Bloomfield_et_al-2019-Meteorological_Applications.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/1/Accepted_Bloomfield_et_al_Met_Apps.pdf en eng Royal Meteorological Society https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/9/Bloomfield_et_al-2019-Meteorological_Applications.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/1/Accepted_Bloomfield_et_al_Met_Apps.pdf Bloomfield, H. C. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90008366.html> orcid:0000-0002-5616-1503 , Brayshaw, D. J. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000618.html> orcid:0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000511.html> orcid:0000-0001-8179-6220 (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 <https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858> cc_by_4 Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftunivreading https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 2024-06-11T15:09:12Z Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonisation of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather-sensitivity of the continent’s power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and widespread interest from both academia and industry, the meteorological drivers of European power systems remain difficult to identify and poorly understood. This study presents a new and generally applicable approach, Targeted Circulation Types (TCTs). TCTs, in contrast to standard meteorological weather-regime or circulation-typing schemes, convolve the weather-sensitivity of an impacted system of interest (in this case, the electricity system) with the intrinsic structures of the atmospheric circulation to identify its meteorological drivers. A new 38-year reconstruction of daily electricity demand and renewable supply across Europe is used to identify the winter time large-scale circulation patterns of most interest to the European electricity grid. TCTs provide greater explanatory power for power system variability and extremes compared to standard meteorological typing. Two new pairs of atmospheric patterns are highlighted, both of which have marked and extensive impacts on the European power system. The first pair resembles the meridional surface pressure dipole of the North Atlantic Oscillation but shifted eastward into Europe and noticeably strengthened, while the second pair is weaker and corresponds to surface pressure anomalies over central southern and eastern Europe. While these gross qualitative patterns are robust features of the present European power systems, the detailed circulation structures are strongly affected by the amount and location of renewables installed. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 74 8 2557 2574 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading |
op_collection_id |
ftunivreading |
language |
English |
description |
Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonisation of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather-sensitivity of the continent’s power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and widespread interest from both academia and industry, the meteorological drivers of European power systems remain difficult to identify and poorly understood. This study presents a new and generally applicable approach, Targeted Circulation Types (TCTs). TCTs, in contrast to standard meteorological weather-regime or circulation-typing schemes, convolve the weather-sensitivity of an impacted system of interest (in this case, the electricity system) with the intrinsic structures of the atmospheric circulation to identify its meteorological drivers. A new 38-year reconstruction of daily electricity demand and renewable supply across Europe is used to identify the winter time large-scale circulation patterns of most interest to the European electricity grid. TCTs provide greater explanatory power for power system variability and extremes compared to standard meteorological typing. Two new pairs of atmospheric patterns are highlighted, both of which have marked and extensive impacts on the European power system. The first pair resembles the meridional surface pressure dipole of the North Atlantic Oscillation but shifted eastward into Europe and noticeably strengthened, while the second pair is weaker and corresponds to surface pressure anomalies over central southern and eastern Europe. While these gross qualitative patterns are robust features of the present European power systems, the detailed circulation structures are strongly affected by the amount and location of renewables installed. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Bloomfield, Hannah C. Brayshaw, David J. Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. |
spellingShingle |
Bloomfield, Hannah C. Brayshaw, David J. Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
author_facet |
Bloomfield, Hannah C. Brayshaw, David J. Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. |
author_sort |
Bloomfield, Hannah C. |
title |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_short |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_full |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_fullStr |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_full_unstemmed |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_sort |
characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the european electricity system using targeted circulation types |
publisher |
Royal Meteorological Society |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/9/Bloomfield_et_al-2019-Meteorological_Applications.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/1/Accepted_Bloomfield_et_al_Met_Apps.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/9/Bloomfield_et_al-2019-Meteorological_Applications.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/87135/1/Accepted_Bloomfield_et_al_Met_Apps.pdf Bloomfield, H. C. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90008366.html> orcid:0000-0002-5616-1503 , Brayshaw, D. J. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000618.html> orcid:0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000511.html> orcid:0000-0001-8179-6220 (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 <https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858> |
op_rights |
cc_by_4 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 |
container_title |
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |
container_volume |
74 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
2557 |
op_container_end_page |
2574 |
_version_ |
1802647718405865472 |