Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change
Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is one of the largest causes of weather-related aviation incidents. Here we use climate model simulations to study the impact that climate change could have on global CAT by the period 2050–2080. We extend previous work by analyzing eight geographic regions, two flight lev...
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American Geophysical Union
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ftunivreading:oai:centaur.reading.ac.uk:72272 2024-06-23T07:55:06+00:00 Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change Storer, Luke N. Williams, Paul D. Joshi, Manoj M. 2017-10-16 text https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/7/Storer_et_al-2017-Geophysical_Research_Letters%20%281%29.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/1/accepted.pdf en eng American Geophysical Union https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/7/Storer_et_al-2017-Geophysical_Research_Letters%20%281%29.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/1/accepted.pdf Storer, L. N., Williams, P. D. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000894.html> orcid:0000-0002-9713-9820 and Joshi, M. M. (2017) Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (19). pp. 9976-9984. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618 <https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618> Article PeerReviewed 2017 ftunivreading https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618 2024-06-11T15:06:49Z Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is one of the largest causes of weather-related aviation incidents. Here we use climate model simulations to study the impact that climate change could have on global CAT by the period 2050–2080. We extend previous work by analyzing eight geographic regions, two flight levels, five turbulence strength categories, and four seasons. We find large relative increases in CAT, especially in the midlatitudes in both hemispheres, with some regions experiencing several hundred per cent more turbulence. The busiest international airspace experiences the largest increases, with the volume of severe CAT approximately doubling over North America, the North Pacific, and Europe. Over the North Atlantic, severe CAT in future becomes as common as moderate CAT historically. These results highlight the increasing need to improve operational CAT forecasts and to use them effectively in flight planning, to limit discomfort and injuries among passengers and crew. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading Pacific Geophysical Research Letters 44 19 9976 9984 |
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CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading |
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ftunivreading |
language |
English |
description |
Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is one of the largest causes of weather-related aviation incidents. Here we use climate model simulations to study the impact that climate change could have on global CAT by the period 2050–2080. We extend previous work by analyzing eight geographic regions, two flight levels, five turbulence strength categories, and four seasons. We find large relative increases in CAT, especially in the midlatitudes in both hemispheres, with some regions experiencing several hundred per cent more turbulence. The busiest international airspace experiences the largest increases, with the volume of severe CAT approximately doubling over North America, the North Pacific, and Europe. Over the North Atlantic, severe CAT in future becomes as common as moderate CAT historically. These results highlight the increasing need to improve operational CAT forecasts and to use them effectively in flight planning, to limit discomfort and injuries among passengers and crew. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Storer, Luke N. Williams, Paul D. Joshi, Manoj M. |
spellingShingle |
Storer, Luke N. Williams, Paul D. Joshi, Manoj M. Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
author_facet |
Storer, Luke N. Williams, Paul D. Joshi, Manoj M. |
author_sort |
Storer, Luke N. |
title |
Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
title_short |
Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
title_full |
Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
title_fullStr |
Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
title_sort |
global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change |
publisher |
American Geophysical Union |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/ https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/7/Storer_et_al-2017-Geophysical_Research_Letters%20%281%29.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/1/accepted.pdf |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_relation |
https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/7/Storer_et_al-2017-Geophysical_Research_Letters%20%281%29.pdf https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/72272/1/accepted.pdf Storer, L. N., Williams, P. D. <https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000894.html> orcid:0000-0002-9713-9820 and Joshi, M. M. (2017) Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (19). pp. 9976-9984. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618 <https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618> |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074618 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
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44 |
container_issue |
19 |
container_start_page |
9976 |
op_container_end_page |
9984 |
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1802647522424913920 |