Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean
The continued decline in the small breeding population of southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at Gough Island (40°19′S, 9°57′W) over a period of 46 years (1973–2019) signals the likely extirpation of the species at the northernmost extent of its breeding range in the Southern Ocean. The estimat...
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ftunivpretoria:oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/77193 2023-05-15T16:05:35+02:00 Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean Jones, Christopher W. Risi, Michelle M. Bester, Marthan Nieuwoudt 2020-11-30T07:52:30Z http://hdl.handle.net/2263/77193 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 en eng Springer http://hdl.handle.net/2263/77193 Jones, C.W., Risi, M.M. & Bester, M.N. Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island—South Atlantic Ocean. Polar Biology 43, 893–897 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2. 0722-4060 (print) 1432-2056 (online) doi:10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020. The original publication is available at : http://link.springer.comjournal/300. Pinniped Tristan da Cunha Population decline Local extinction Range shift Climate change Southern elephant seals (Mirounga leonina) Postprint Article 2020 ftunivpretoria https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 2022-05-31T13:25:38Z The continued decline in the small breeding population of southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at Gough Island (40°19′S, 9°57′W) over a period of 46 years (1973–2019) signals the likely extirpation of the species at the northernmost extent of its breeding range in the Southern Ocean. The estimated number of births declined from a high (n = 38) in 1975 to a low (n = 2) in 2019, a 95% reduction at an average decrease of 2.15% per annum. The estimated mean time to extinction of this population from a linear regression model is 2 years (95% CI: 0–23 years). This decline is consistent with observed or forecasted population trends of some other marine top predators at the northern extent of their breeding ranges in the Southern Ocean; adding to the prevailing evidence that environmental change is the most plausible hypothesis explaining the range reduction of these marine species limited by a paucity of breeding grounds. http://link.springer.com/journal/300 2021-05-18 hj2020 Mammal Research Institute Zoology and Entomology Article in Journal/Newspaper Elephant Seals Mirounga leonina Polar Biology South Atlantic Ocean Southern Elephant Seals Southern Ocean University of Pretoria: UPSpace Southern Ocean Tristan ENVELOPE(140.900,140.900,-66.735,-66.735) Gough ENVELOPE(159.367,159.367,-81.633,-81.633) Polar Biology 43 7 893 897 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Pretoria: UPSpace |
op_collection_id |
ftunivpretoria |
language |
English |
topic |
Pinniped Tristan da Cunha Population decline Local extinction Range shift Climate change Southern elephant seals (Mirounga leonina) |
spellingShingle |
Pinniped Tristan da Cunha Population decline Local extinction Range shift Climate change Southern elephant seals (Mirounga leonina) Jones, Christopher W. Risi, Michelle M. Bester, Marthan Nieuwoudt Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
topic_facet |
Pinniped Tristan da Cunha Population decline Local extinction Range shift Climate change Southern elephant seals (Mirounga leonina) |
description |
The continued decline in the small breeding population of southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at Gough Island (40°19′S, 9°57′W) over a period of 46 years (1973–2019) signals the likely extirpation of the species at the northernmost extent of its breeding range in the Southern Ocean. The estimated number of births declined from a high (n = 38) in 1975 to a low (n = 2) in 2019, a 95% reduction at an average decrease of 2.15% per annum. The estimated mean time to extinction of this population from a linear regression model is 2 years (95% CI: 0–23 years). This decline is consistent with observed or forecasted population trends of some other marine top predators at the northern extent of their breeding ranges in the Southern Ocean; adding to the prevailing evidence that environmental change is the most plausible hypothesis explaining the range reduction of these marine species limited by a paucity of breeding grounds. http://link.springer.com/journal/300 2021-05-18 hj2020 Mammal Research Institute Zoology and Entomology |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jones, Christopher W. Risi, Michelle M. Bester, Marthan Nieuwoudt |
author_facet |
Jones, Christopher W. Risi, Michelle M. Bester, Marthan Nieuwoudt |
author_sort |
Jones, Christopher W. |
title |
Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
title_short |
Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
title_full |
Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
title_fullStr |
Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
title_full_unstemmed |
Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island-South Atlantic Ocean |
title_sort |
local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, gough island-south atlantic ocean |
publisher |
Springer |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2263/77193 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(140.900,140.900,-66.735,-66.735) ENVELOPE(159.367,159.367,-81.633,-81.633) |
geographic |
Southern Ocean Tristan Gough |
geographic_facet |
Southern Ocean Tristan Gough |
genre |
Elephant Seals Mirounga leonina Polar Biology South Atlantic Ocean Southern Elephant Seals Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Elephant Seals Mirounga leonina Polar Biology South Atlantic Ocean Southern Elephant Seals Southern Ocean |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/2263/77193 Jones, C.W., Risi, M.M. & Bester, M.N. Local extinction imminent for southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina at their northernmost breeding site, Gough Island—South Atlantic Ocean. Polar Biology 43, 893–897 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2. 0722-4060 (print) 1432-2056 (online) doi:10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 |
op_rights |
© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020. The original publication is available at : http://link.springer.comjournal/300. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02679-2 |
container_title |
Polar Biology |
container_volume |
43 |
container_issue |
7 |
container_start_page |
893 |
op_container_end_page |
897 |
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1766401484673515520 |