On the coupling between polar and tropical regions during springtime: variability of tropical intrusion and Frozen In Anticyclones

• Main Authors: Huret, Nathalie, Thiéblemont, Rémi, Hauchecorne, Alain, Orsolini, Yvan J., Matthes, K.
• Other Authors: Laboratoire de Physique et Chimie de l'Environnement et de l'Espace (LPC2E), Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers en région Centre (OSUC), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris, Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université d'Orléans (UO)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris, Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université d'Orléans (UO)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National d’Études Spatiales Paris (CNES), Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR), STRATO - LATMOS, Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
• Format: Conference Object
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2015
• Subjects: [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph]; Climate change
• Online Access: https://insu.hal.science/insu-01183236

International audience Recent observational and modeling transport studies of Arctic stratospheric final warming have shown that tropical/subtropical air masses can be transported to high latitudes and remain confined within a long-lived “frozen- in” anticyclone (FriaC), embedded in the summer easterlies for several months.We first present a climatology of these sporadic events over the period 1960-2011 using era-40 and era interim reanalyses. this study highlights stratospheric favorable preconditioning for FrIACs occurrence, that is: i) early and abrupt final warming, ii) no stratospheric major warming during the previous winter, and iii) east phase of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. We will present in detail the FriaC in spring 2011, which was the largest ever recorded. Our climatology further suggests that the frequency of occurrence of FriaCs has increased over the last decade (among the nine cases detected over the period 1960- 2011, five occurred between 2002 and 2011).A chemistry climate model is then used for the first time to investigate FriaCs characteristics and variability. simulations were performed with the nCar’s Community earth system Model (CesM, version 1.0.2), a coupled model system including the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM). FrIACs characteristics (i.e. spatial extent and duration), are overall consistent by comparing with FriaCs detected era-40 meteorological reanalyses. Dynamical analysis reveals that FriaCs are associated with an abrupt and early winter-to-summer stratospheric circulation transition, characterized by an amplification of planetary wave activity. Furthermore, our model results confirm that FrIACs occur preferentially under the easterly phase of the QBO and in absence of MSW during the preceding winter. Finally, we notice that extreme climate change conditions (RCP8.5 scenario) do not influence FriaCs frequency.