Prediction Failure of a Wolf Landscape Model
I compared 101 wolf (Canis lupus) pack territories formed in Wisconsin during 1993–2004 to the logistic regression predictive model of Mladenoff et al. (1995, 1997, 1999). Of these, 60% were located in putative habitat suitabilities 50% remained unoccupied by known packs after 24 years of recoloniza...
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Format: | Text |
Language: | unknown |
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DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln
2006
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Online Access: | https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usgsnpwrc/94 https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/context/usgsnpwrc/article/1101/viewcontent/Mech_WSB_2006_Prediction_failure.pdf |
Summary: | I compared 101 wolf (Canis lupus) pack territories formed in Wisconsin during 1993–2004 to the logistic regression predictive model of Mladenoff et al. (1995, 1997, 1999). Of these, 60% were located in putative habitat suitabilities 50% remained unoccupied by known packs after 24 years of recolonization. This model was a poor predictor of wolf re-colonizing locations in Wisconsin, apparently because it failed to consider the adaptability of wolves. Such models should be used cautiously in wolf-management or restoration plans. |
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