Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis
Springer et al. (2003) proposed a sequential megafauna collapse hypothesis to explain the decline of pinniped species and northern sea otters in the North Pacific. This hypothesis has been critiqued at length by DeMaster et al. (2006), Mizroch and Rice (2006), Trites et al. (2007), and Wade et al. (...
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ftunivnebraskali:oai:digitalcommons.unl.edu:usdeptcommercepub-1204 2023-11-12T04:15:21+01:00 Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis Wade, P. R. Ver Hoef, J. M. Demaster, D. P. 2009-07-01T07:00:00Z application/pdf https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usdeptcommercepub/180 https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/context/usdeptcommercepub/article/1204/viewcontent/Ver_Hoef_MMS_2009_Mammal_eating_killer_whales.pdf unknown DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usdeptcommercepub/180 https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/context/usdeptcommercepub/article/1204/viewcontent/Ver_Hoef_MMS_2009_Mammal_eating_killer_whales.pdf Publications, Agencies and Staff of the U.S. Department of Commerce Environmental Sciences text 2009 ftunivnebraskali 2023-10-30T10:43:04Z Springer et al. (2003) proposed a sequential megafauna collapse hypothesis to explain the decline of pinniped species and northern sea otters in the North Pacific. This hypothesis has been critiqued at length by DeMaster et al. (2006), Mizroch and Rice (2006), Trites et al. (2007), and Wade et al. (2007). At the core of the sequential megafauna collapse (SMC) hypothesis is the idea that predation by killer whales caused the sequential declines of four prey species (Springer et al. 2003) in the vicinity of the Aleutian Islands, Bering Sea, and Gulf of Alaska. Wade et al. (2007) plotted trends regionally and argued that the declines of pinnipeds appeared to be concurrent rather than sequential. DeMaster et al. (2006) statistically analyzed the available data and concluded that the data did not support the hypothesis that the declines of populations of northern fur seals (Callorhinus ursinus), Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), and harbor seals (Phoca vitulina) were sequential. In response, Springer et al. (2008) have fit a model similar to that used in DeMaster et al. (2006) and noted that the midpoints of the declines (the inflection points, representing the year in which 50% of the decline had occurred) are, in many cases, significantly different by their calculations. From this they conclude that the pinniped declines are sequential. The objectives of this letter are to clarify issues of statistical modeling in DeMaster et al. (2006) and Springer et al. (2008) and include further data and analyses. Springer et al. (2008) extended their work by selecting and analyzing several subseries of the Steller sea lion and sea otter (Enhydra lutris) count data. To respond to Point 2 of Springer et al. (2008), here we reanalyze subseries of the same Steller sea lion and sea otter data and show that the full results are not in agreement with the SMC hypothesis; it should be noted that this letter is solely focused on the new analysis presented in Point 2 and does not discuss the other points raised by Springer et al. ... Text Bering Sea Phoca vitulina Alaska Aleutian Islands Callorhinus ursinus University of Nebraska-Lincoln: DigitalCommons@UNL Bering Sea Gulf of Alaska Pacific |
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Open Polar |
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University of Nebraska-Lincoln: DigitalCommons@UNL |
op_collection_id |
ftunivnebraskali |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Environmental Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Environmental Sciences Wade, P. R. Ver Hoef, J. M. Demaster, D. P. Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
topic_facet |
Environmental Sciences |
description |
Springer et al. (2003) proposed a sequential megafauna collapse hypothesis to explain the decline of pinniped species and northern sea otters in the North Pacific. This hypothesis has been critiqued at length by DeMaster et al. (2006), Mizroch and Rice (2006), Trites et al. (2007), and Wade et al. (2007). At the core of the sequential megafauna collapse (SMC) hypothesis is the idea that predation by killer whales caused the sequential declines of four prey species (Springer et al. 2003) in the vicinity of the Aleutian Islands, Bering Sea, and Gulf of Alaska. Wade et al. (2007) plotted trends regionally and argued that the declines of pinnipeds appeared to be concurrent rather than sequential. DeMaster et al. (2006) statistically analyzed the available data and concluded that the data did not support the hypothesis that the declines of populations of northern fur seals (Callorhinus ursinus), Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), and harbor seals (Phoca vitulina) were sequential. In response, Springer et al. (2008) have fit a model similar to that used in DeMaster et al. (2006) and noted that the midpoints of the declines (the inflection points, representing the year in which 50% of the decline had occurred) are, in many cases, significantly different by their calculations. From this they conclude that the pinniped declines are sequential. The objectives of this letter are to clarify issues of statistical modeling in DeMaster et al. (2006) and Springer et al. (2008) and include further data and analyses. Springer et al. (2008) extended their work by selecting and analyzing several subseries of the Steller sea lion and sea otter (Enhydra lutris) count data. To respond to Point 2 of Springer et al. (2008), here we reanalyze subseries of the same Steller sea lion and sea otter data and show that the full results are not in agreement with the SMC hypothesis; it should be noted that this letter is solely focused on the new analysis presented in Point 2 and does not discuss the other points raised by Springer et al. ... |
format |
Text |
author |
Wade, P. R. Ver Hoef, J. M. Demaster, D. P. |
author_facet |
Wade, P. R. Ver Hoef, J. M. Demaster, D. P. |
author_sort |
Wade, P. R. |
title |
Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
title_short |
Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
title_full |
Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
title_fullStr |
Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
title_sort |
mammal-eating killer whales and their prey—trend data for pinnipeds and sea otters in the north pacific ocean do not support the sequential megafaunal collapse hypothesis |
publisher |
DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln |
publishDate |
2009 |
url |
https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usdeptcommercepub/180 https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/context/usdeptcommercepub/article/1204/viewcontent/Ver_Hoef_MMS_2009_Mammal_eating_killer_whales.pdf |
geographic |
Bering Sea Gulf of Alaska Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Bering Sea Gulf of Alaska Pacific |
genre |
Bering Sea Phoca vitulina Alaska Aleutian Islands Callorhinus ursinus |
genre_facet |
Bering Sea Phoca vitulina Alaska Aleutian Islands Callorhinus ursinus |
op_source |
Publications, Agencies and Staff of the U.S. Department of Commerce |
op_relation |
https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/usdeptcommercepub/180 https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/context/usdeptcommercepub/article/1204/viewcontent/Ver_Hoef_MMS_2009_Mammal_eating_killer_whales.pdf |
_version_ |
1782332655487942656 |