Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic
International audience Abstract Single species distribution models (SSDMs) are typically used to understand and predict the distribution and abundance of marine fish by fitting distribution models for each species independently to a combination of abiotic environmental variables. However, species ab...
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ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-03813564v1 2023-05-15T17:45:38+02:00 Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic Roberts, Sarah Halpin, Patrick Clark, James Duke University Durham Laboratoire des EcoSystèmes et des Sociétés en Montagne (UR LESSEM) Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) 2022-12 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/file/2022_Roberts_Scientific_Rep.pdf https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 en eng HAL CCSD Nature Publishing Group info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/pmid/34997068 hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/file/2022_Roberts_Scientific_Rep.pdf doi:10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 PUBMED: 34997068 WOS: 000740510500197 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 2045-2322 EISSN: 2045-2322 Scientific Reports https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 Scientific Reports, 2022, 12 (1), pp.132. ⟨10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0⟩ [SDE]Environmental Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2022 ftunivnantes https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 2023-03-08T01:20:26Z International audience Abstract Single species distribution models (SSDMs) are typically used to understand and predict the distribution and abundance of marine fish by fitting distribution models for each species independently to a combination of abiotic environmental variables. However, species abundances and distributions are influenced by abiotic environmental preferences as well as biotic dependencies such as interspecific competition and predation. When species interact, a joint species distribution model (JSDM) will allow for valid inference of environmental effects. We built a joint species distribution model of marine fish and invertebrates of the Northeast US Continental Shelf, providing evidence on species relationships with the environment as well as the likelihood of species to covary. Predictive performance is similar to SSDMs but the Bayesian joint modeling approach provides two main advantages over single species modeling: (1) the JSDM directly estimates the significance of environmental effects; and (2) predicted species richness accounts for species dependencies. An additional value of JSDMs is that the conditional prediction of species distributions can use not only the environmental associations of species, but also the presence and abundance of other species when forecasting future climatic associations. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northwest Atlantic Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES Scientific Reports 12 1 |
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Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES |
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language |
English |
topic |
[SDE]Environmental Sciences |
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[SDE]Environmental Sciences Roberts, Sarah Halpin, Patrick Clark, James Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
topic_facet |
[SDE]Environmental Sciences |
description |
International audience Abstract Single species distribution models (SSDMs) are typically used to understand and predict the distribution and abundance of marine fish by fitting distribution models for each species independently to a combination of abiotic environmental variables. However, species abundances and distributions are influenced by abiotic environmental preferences as well as biotic dependencies such as interspecific competition and predation. When species interact, a joint species distribution model (JSDM) will allow for valid inference of environmental effects. We built a joint species distribution model of marine fish and invertebrates of the Northeast US Continental Shelf, providing evidence on species relationships with the environment as well as the likelihood of species to covary. Predictive performance is similar to SSDMs but the Bayesian joint modeling approach provides two main advantages over single species modeling: (1) the JSDM directly estimates the significance of environmental effects; and (2) predicted species richness accounts for species dependencies. An additional value of JSDMs is that the conditional prediction of species distributions can use not only the environmental associations of species, but also the presence and abundance of other species when forecasting future climatic associations. |
author2 |
Duke University Durham Laboratoire des EcoSystèmes et des Sociétés en Montagne (UR LESSEM) Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Roberts, Sarah Halpin, Patrick Clark, James |
author_facet |
Roberts, Sarah Halpin, Patrick Clark, James |
author_sort |
Roberts, Sarah |
title |
Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
title_short |
Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full |
Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
title_fullStr |
Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic |
title_sort |
jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the northwest atlantic |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/file/2022_Roberts_Scientific_Rep.pdf https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 |
genre |
Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northwest Atlantic |
op_source |
ISSN: 2045-2322 EISSN: 2045-2322 Scientific Reports https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 Scientific Reports, 2022, 12 (1), pp.132. ⟨10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/pmid/34997068 hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03813564/file/2022_Roberts_Scientific_Rep.pdf doi:10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 PUBMED: 34997068 WOS: 000740510500197 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0 |
container_title |
Scientific Reports |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1766148799165628416 |