Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe
International audience Abstract. Tree-ring archives are one of the main sources of information to reconstruct climate variations over the last millennium with annual resolution. The links between tree-ring proxies and climate have usually been estimated using statistical approaches, assuming linear...
Published in: | Climate of the Past |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2020
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/file/cp-16-1043-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 |
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Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES |
op_collection_id |
ftunivnantes |
language |
English |
topic |
Tree-ring Width Carbon Allocation Climatic Drivers Temperature Millennium Growth Reconstructions Forests Photosynthesis Responses [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology |
spellingShingle |
Tree-ring Width Carbon Allocation Climatic Drivers Temperature Millennium Growth Reconstructions Forests Photosynthesis Responses [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology Rezsöhazy, Jeanne Goosse, Hugues Guiot, Joël Gennaretti, Fabio Boucher, Etienne André, Frédéric Jonard, Mathieu Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
topic_facet |
Tree-ring Width Carbon Allocation Climatic Drivers Temperature Millennium Growth Reconstructions Forests Photosynthesis Responses [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology |
description |
International audience Abstract. Tree-ring archives are one of the main sources of information to reconstruct climate variations over the last millennium with annual resolution. The links between tree-ring proxies and climate have usually been estimated using statistical approaches, assuming linear and stationary relationships. Both assumptions may be inadequate, but this issue can be overcome by ecophysiological modelling based on mechanistic understanding. In this respect, the model MAIDEN (Modeling and Analysis In DENdroecology) simulating tree-ring growth from daily temperature and precipitation, considering carbon assimilation and allocation in forest stands, may constitute a valuable tool. However, the lack of local meteorological data and the limited characterization of tree species traits can complicate the calibration and validation of such a complex model, which may hamper palaeoclimate applications. The goal of this study is to test the applicability of the MAIDEN model in a palaeoclimate context using as a test case tree-ring observations covering the 20th century from 21 Eastern Canadian taiga sites and 3 European sites. More specifically, we investigate the model sensitivity to parameter calibration and to the quality of climatic inputs, and we evaluate the model performance using a validation procedure. We also examine the added value of using MAIDEN in palaeoclimate applications compared to a simpler tree-growth model, i.e. VS-Lite. A Bayesian calibration of the most sensitive model parameters provides good results at most of the selected sites with high correlations between simulated and observed tree growth. Although MAIDEN is found to be sensitive to the quality of the climatic inputs, simple bias correction and downscaling techniques of these data improve significantly the performance of the model. The split-sample validation of MAIDEN gives encouraging results but requires long tree ring and meteorological series to give robust results. We also highlight a risk of overfitting in the ... |
author2 |
Centre Georges Lemaître for Earth and Climate Research Louvain (TECLIM) Earth and Life Institute Louvain-La-Neuve (ELI) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL)-Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Institut de recherche sur les forêts Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue (UQAT) Centre de recherche sur la dynamique du système Terre (GEOTOP) École Polytechnique de Montréal (EPM)-McGill University = Université McGill Montréal, Canada -Université de Montréal (UdeM)-Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue (UQAT)-Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR)-Concordia University Montreal -Université du Québec à Montréal = University of Québec in Montréal (UQAM) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique - FNRS1.A841.18Laboratory of Excellence OT-Med ANR-11-LABEX-0061Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique - FNRS Fonds de recherche Societe et culture Quebec through the ClimHuNor project R.60.03.18.FLaboratory of Excellence OT-Med (A*MIDEX project) 11-IDEX-0001-02 |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Rezsöhazy, Jeanne Goosse, Hugues Guiot, Joël Gennaretti, Fabio Boucher, Etienne André, Frédéric Jonard, Mathieu |
author_facet |
Rezsöhazy, Jeanne Goosse, Hugues Guiot, Joël Gennaretti, Fabio Boucher, Etienne André, Frédéric Jonard, Mathieu |
author_sort |
Rezsöhazy, Jeanne |
title |
Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
title_short |
Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
title_full |
Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
title_fullStr |
Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe |
title_sort |
application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model maiden during the last century in canada and europe |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/file/cp-16-1043-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 |
geographic |
Canada |
geographic_facet |
Canada |
genre |
taiga |
genre_facet |
taiga |
op_source |
ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 Climate of the Past, 2020, 16 (3), pp.1043-1059. ⟨10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/file/cp-16-1043-2020.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 WOS: 000541906500001 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
1043 |
op_container_end_page |
1059 |
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1766214747761410048 |
spelling |
ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-03215100v1 2023-05-15T18:31:05+02:00 Application and evaluation of the dendroclimatic process-based model MAIDEN during the last century in Canada and Europe Rezsöhazy, Jeanne Goosse, Hugues Guiot, Joël Gennaretti, Fabio Boucher, Etienne André, Frédéric Jonard, Mathieu Centre Georges Lemaître for Earth and Climate Research Louvain (TECLIM) Earth and Life Institute Louvain-La-Neuve (ELI) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL)-Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Institut de recherche sur les forêts Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue (UQAT) Centre de recherche sur la dynamique du système Terre (GEOTOP) École Polytechnique de Montréal (EPM)-McGill University = Université McGill Montréal, Canada -Université de Montréal (UdeM)-Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue (UQAT)-Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR)-Concordia University Montreal -Université du Québec à Montréal = University of Québec in Montréal (UQAM) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique - FNRS1.A841.18Laboratory of Excellence OT-Med ANR-11-LABEX-0061Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique - FNRS Fonds de recherche Societe et culture Quebec through the ClimHuNor project R.60.03.18.FLaboratory of Excellence OT-Med (A*MIDEX project) 11-IDEX-0001-02 2020 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/file/cp-16-1043-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 en eng HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union (EGU) info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/document https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100/file/cp-16-1043-2020.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 WOS: 000541906500001 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03215100 Climate of the Past, 2020, 16 (3), pp.1043-1059. ⟨10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020⟩ Tree-ring Width Carbon Allocation Climatic Drivers Temperature Millennium Growth Reconstructions Forests Photosynthesis Responses [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftunivnantes https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1043-2020 2023-03-08T03:04:11Z International audience Abstract. Tree-ring archives are one of the main sources of information to reconstruct climate variations over the last millennium with annual resolution. The links between tree-ring proxies and climate have usually been estimated using statistical approaches, assuming linear and stationary relationships. Both assumptions may be inadequate, but this issue can be overcome by ecophysiological modelling based on mechanistic understanding. In this respect, the model MAIDEN (Modeling and Analysis In DENdroecology) simulating tree-ring growth from daily temperature and precipitation, considering carbon assimilation and allocation in forest stands, may constitute a valuable tool. However, the lack of local meteorological data and the limited characterization of tree species traits can complicate the calibration and validation of such a complex model, which may hamper palaeoclimate applications. The goal of this study is to test the applicability of the MAIDEN model in a palaeoclimate context using as a test case tree-ring observations covering the 20th century from 21 Eastern Canadian taiga sites and 3 European sites. More specifically, we investigate the model sensitivity to parameter calibration and to the quality of climatic inputs, and we evaluate the model performance using a validation procedure. We also examine the added value of using MAIDEN in palaeoclimate applications compared to a simpler tree-growth model, i.e. VS-Lite. A Bayesian calibration of the most sensitive model parameters provides good results at most of the selected sites with high correlations between simulated and observed tree growth. Although MAIDEN is found to be sensitive to the quality of the climatic inputs, simple bias correction and downscaling techniques of these data improve significantly the performance of the model. The split-sample validation of MAIDEN gives encouraging results but requires long tree ring and meteorological series to give robust results. We also highlight a risk of overfitting in the ... Article in Journal/Newspaper taiga Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES Canada Climate of the Past 16 3 1043 1059 |