A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia
International audience The problem of forest fires in Yakutia is not as well studied as in other countries. Two methods of machine learning classifications were implemented to determine the risk of fire: MaxENT and random forest. The initial materials to define fire risk factors were satellite image...
Published in: | Remote Sensing |
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2020
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/document https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/file/remotesensing-12-04157-v2.pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244157 |
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ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-03083192v2 |
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record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES |
op_collection_id |
ftunivnantes |
language |
English |
topic |
Wildfires MaxENT Random Forest Risk Modeling GIS Multi-scale Analysis Yakutia Arctic Siberia [INFO.INFO-TI]Computer Science [cs]/Image Processing [eess.IV] [SHS.STAT]Humanities and Social Sciences/Methods and statistics [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography [INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation |
spellingShingle |
Wildfires MaxENT Random Forest Risk Modeling GIS Multi-scale Analysis Yakutia Arctic Siberia [INFO.INFO-TI]Computer Science [cs]/Image Processing [eess.IV] [SHS.STAT]Humanities and Social Sciences/Methods and statistics [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography [INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation Janiec, Piotr Gadal, Sébastien A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
topic_facet |
Wildfires MaxENT Random Forest Risk Modeling GIS Multi-scale Analysis Yakutia Arctic Siberia [INFO.INFO-TI]Computer Science [cs]/Image Processing [eess.IV] [SHS.STAT]Humanities and Social Sciences/Methods and statistics [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography [INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation |
description |
International audience The problem of forest fires in Yakutia is not as well studied as in other countries. Two methods of machine learning classifications were implemented to determine the risk of fire: MaxENT and random forest. The initial materials to define fire risk factors were satellite images and their products of various spatial and spectral resolution (Landsat TM, Modis TERRA, GMTED2010, VIIRS), vector data (OSM), and bioclimatic variables (WORLDCLIM). The results of the research showed a strong human influence on the risk in this region, despite the low population density. Anthropogenic factors showed a high correlation with the occurrence of wildfires, more than climatic or topographical factors. Other factors affect the risk of fires at the macroscale and microscale, which should be considered when modeling. The random forest method showed better results in the macroscale, however, the maximum entropy model was better in the microscale. The exclusion of variables that do not show a high correlation, does not always improve the modeling results. The random forest presence prediction model is a more accurate method and significantly reduces the risk territory. The reverse is the method of maximum entropy, which is not as accurate and classifies very large areas as endangered. Further study of this topic requires a clearer and conceptually developed approach to the application of remote sensing data. Therefore, this work makes sense to lay the foundations of the future, which is a completely automated fire risk assessment application in the Republic of Sakha. The results can be used in fire prophylactics and planning fire prevention. In the future, to determine the risk well, it is necessary to combine the obtained maps with the seasonal risk determined using indices (for example, the Nesterov index 1949) and the periodic dynamics of forest fires, which Isaev and Utkin studied in 1963. Such actions can help to build an application, with which it will be possible to determine the risk of wildfire and ... |
author2 |
Aix Marseille Université (AMU) Études des Structures, des Processus d’Adaptation et des Changements de l’Espace (ESPACE) Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) (UNS) COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-Avignon Université (AU)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Côte d'Azur (UCA) North-Eastern Federal University CNRS PEPS RICOCHET ANR-15-CE22-0006,PUR,Pôles URbains(2015) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Janiec, Piotr Gadal, Sébastien |
author_facet |
Janiec, Piotr Gadal, Sébastien |
author_sort |
Janiec, Piotr |
title |
A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
title_short |
A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
title_full |
A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
title_fullStr |
A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
title_full_unstemmed |
A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia |
title_sort |
comparison of two machine learning classification methods for remote sensing predictive modeling of the forest fire in the north-eastern siberia |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/document https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/file/remotesensing-12-04157-v2.pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244157 |
geographic |
Arctic Sakha |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Sakha |
genre |
Arctic Republic of Sakha Sakha Yakutia Siberia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Republic of Sakha Sakha Yakutia Siberia |
op_source |
ISSN: 2072-4292 Remote Sensing https://hal.science/hal-03083192 Remote Sensing, 2020, 12 (4157), pp.1-20. ⟨10.3390/rs12244157⟩ https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/24/4157 |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/rs12244157 hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/document https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/file/remotesensing-12-04157-v2.pdf doi:10.3390/rs12244157 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244157 |
container_title |
Remote Sensing |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
24 |
container_start_page |
4157 |
_version_ |
1766349026076131328 |
spelling |
ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-03083192v2 2023-05-15T15:18:51+02:00 A Comparison of Two Machine Learning Classification Methods for Remote Sensing Predictive Modeling of the Forest Fire in the North-Eastern Siberia Janiec, Piotr Gadal, Sébastien Aix Marseille Université (AMU) Études des Structures, des Processus d’Adaptation et des Changements de l’Espace (ESPACE) Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) (UNS) COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-Avignon Université (AU)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Côte d'Azur (UCA) North-Eastern Federal University CNRS PEPS RICOCHET ANR-15-CE22-0006,PUR,Pôles URbains(2015) 2020-12-18 https://hal.science/hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/document https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/file/remotesensing-12-04157-v2.pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244157 en eng HAL CCSD MDPI info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3390/rs12244157 hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192 https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/document https://hal.science/hal-03083192v2/file/remotesensing-12-04157-v2.pdf doi:10.3390/rs12244157 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 2072-4292 Remote Sensing https://hal.science/hal-03083192 Remote Sensing, 2020, 12 (4157), pp.1-20. ⟨10.3390/rs12244157⟩ https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/24/4157 Wildfires MaxENT Random Forest Risk Modeling GIS Multi-scale Analysis Yakutia Arctic Siberia [INFO.INFO-TI]Computer Science [cs]/Image Processing [eess.IV] [SHS.STAT]Humanities and Social Sciences/Methods and statistics [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography [INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftunivnantes https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244157 2023-02-08T05:02:24Z International audience The problem of forest fires in Yakutia is not as well studied as in other countries. Two methods of machine learning classifications were implemented to determine the risk of fire: MaxENT and random forest. The initial materials to define fire risk factors were satellite images and their products of various spatial and spectral resolution (Landsat TM, Modis TERRA, GMTED2010, VIIRS), vector data (OSM), and bioclimatic variables (WORLDCLIM). The results of the research showed a strong human influence on the risk in this region, despite the low population density. Anthropogenic factors showed a high correlation with the occurrence of wildfires, more than climatic or topographical factors. Other factors affect the risk of fires at the macroscale and microscale, which should be considered when modeling. The random forest method showed better results in the macroscale, however, the maximum entropy model was better in the microscale. The exclusion of variables that do not show a high correlation, does not always improve the modeling results. The random forest presence prediction model is a more accurate method and significantly reduces the risk territory. The reverse is the method of maximum entropy, which is not as accurate and classifies very large areas as endangered. Further study of this topic requires a clearer and conceptually developed approach to the application of remote sensing data. Therefore, this work makes sense to lay the foundations of the future, which is a completely automated fire risk assessment application in the Republic of Sakha. The results can be used in fire prophylactics and planning fire prevention. In the future, to determine the risk well, it is necessary to combine the obtained maps with the seasonal risk determined using indices (for example, the Nesterov index 1949) and the periodic dynamics of forest fires, which Isaev and Utkin studied in 1963. Such actions can help to build an application, with which it will be possible to determine the risk of wildfire and ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Republic of Sakha Sakha Yakutia Siberia Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES Arctic Sakha Remote Sensing 12 24 4157 |