Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird
International audience Deciphering the effects of climatic conditions on population dynamics is of major importance in understanding how organisms are likely to be affected by climate changes. Using data from broad-scale annual censuses between 1990 and 2007, we show that winter and summer North Atl...
Published in: | Journal of Ornithology |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643/document https://hal.science/hal-00652643/file/PEER_stage2_10.1007%252Fs10336-010-0623-8.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 |
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ftunivnantes:oai:HAL:hal-00652643v1 2023-05-15T17:30:54+02:00 Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird Barnagaud, Jean-Yves Crochet, Pierre André Magnani, Yann Bernard Laurent, Ariane Menoni, Emmanuel Novoa, Claude Gimenez, Olivier Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage 2010-12-16 https://hal.science/hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643/document https://hal.science/hal-00652643/file/PEER_stage2_10.1007%252Fs10336-010-0623-8.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 en eng HAL CCSD Springer Verlag info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643/document https://hal.science/hal-00652643/file/PEER_stage2_10.1007%252Fs10336-010-0623-8.pdf doi:10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0021-8375 EISSN: 1439-0361 Journal für Ornithologie = Journal of Ornithology https://hal.science/hal-00652643 Journal für Ornithologie = Journal of Ornithology, 2010, 152 (3), pp.631-641. ⟨10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8⟩ Climate packages Galliforms Mountain avifauna NAO Reproductive success info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2010 ftunivnantes https://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 2023-03-01T00:23:20Z International audience Deciphering the effects of climatic conditions on population dynamics is of major importance in understanding how organisms are likely to be affected by climate changes. Using data from broad-scale annual censuses between 1990 and 2007, we show that winter and summer North Atlantic Oscillations affect several breeding success indicators of the Black Grouse () in the French Alps. We did not find any trend in hen counts or breeding indexes over the study period. Surprisingly for a bird specialised in cold climates, we show that Black Grouse optimise their reproductive output for positive values of the winter NAO corresponding to the average NAO index of the last 30 years. Extreme NAO values lead to lower breeding success, indicating that the grouse may be more able to track trends in climate than an increase in the frequency of extreme years. Our result show that, at least from a short-term perspective, Black Grouse productivity is not threatened by a trend towards warmer climatic conditions in the Alps, but may be affected by an increased frequency of extreme years. We advocate the use of the NAO as a climate proxy rather than using heavily noised and biased local climate descriptors in studies focusing on the global response to climate over a large spatial scale. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES Journal of Ornithology 152 3 631 641 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université de Nantes: HAL-UNIV-NANTES |
op_collection_id |
ftunivnantes |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate packages Galliforms Mountain avifauna NAO Reproductive success |
spellingShingle |
Climate packages Galliforms Mountain avifauna NAO Reproductive success Barnagaud, Jean-Yves Crochet, Pierre André Magnani, Yann Bernard Laurent, Ariane Menoni, Emmanuel Novoa, Claude Gimenez, Olivier Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
topic_facet |
Climate packages Galliforms Mountain avifauna NAO Reproductive success |
description |
International audience Deciphering the effects of climatic conditions on population dynamics is of major importance in understanding how organisms are likely to be affected by climate changes. Using data from broad-scale annual censuses between 1990 and 2007, we show that winter and summer North Atlantic Oscillations affect several breeding success indicators of the Black Grouse () in the French Alps. We did not find any trend in hen counts or breeding indexes over the study period. Surprisingly for a bird specialised in cold climates, we show that Black Grouse optimise their reproductive output for positive values of the winter NAO corresponding to the average NAO index of the last 30 years. Extreme NAO values lead to lower breeding success, indicating that the grouse may be more able to track trends in climate than an increase in the frequency of extreme years. Our result show that, at least from a short-term perspective, Black Grouse productivity is not threatened by a trend towards warmer climatic conditions in the Alps, but may be affected by an increased frequency of extreme years. We advocate the use of the NAO as a climate proxy rather than using heavily noised and biased local climate descriptors in studies focusing on the global response to climate over a large spatial scale. |
author2 |
Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Barnagaud, Jean-Yves Crochet, Pierre André Magnani, Yann Bernard Laurent, Ariane Menoni, Emmanuel Novoa, Claude Gimenez, Olivier |
author_facet |
Barnagaud, Jean-Yves Crochet, Pierre André Magnani, Yann Bernard Laurent, Ariane Menoni, Emmanuel Novoa, Claude Gimenez, Olivier |
author_sort |
Barnagaud, Jean-Yves |
title |
Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
title_short |
Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
title_full |
Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
title_fullStr |
Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
title_full_unstemmed |
Short-term response to the North Atlantic Oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
title_sort |
short-term response to the north atlantic oscillation but no long-term effects of climate change on the reproductive success of an alpine bird |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643/document https://hal.science/hal-00652643/file/PEER_stage2_10.1007%252Fs10336-010-0623-8.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
ISSN: 0021-8375 EISSN: 1439-0361 Journal für Ornithologie = Journal of Ornithology https://hal.science/hal-00652643 Journal für Ornithologie = Journal of Ornithology, 2010, 152 (3), pp.631-641. ⟨10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643 https://hal.science/hal-00652643/document https://hal.science/hal-00652643/file/PEER_stage2_10.1007%252Fs10336-010-0623-8.pdf doi:10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-010-0623-8 |
container_title |
Journal of Ornithology |
container_volume |
152 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
631 |
op_container_end_page |
641 |
_version_ |
1766128031322079232 |