Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population

• Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
• Main Authors: Jenouvrier, Stéphanie, Caswell, Hal, Barbraud, Christophe, Holland, Marika, Stroeved, Julienne, Weimerskirch, Henri
• Other Authors: Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé (CEBC), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Biology Department (WHOI), Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), Oceanography Section, National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR), National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), University of Colorado Boulder
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2009
• Subjects: bird populations; climate change; quasi-extinction; sea ice; stochastic matrix population models; [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology; [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society; [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes; Antarctic; Terre Adélie; Terre-Adélie; Antarc*; Antarctica; Aptenodytes forsteri; Emperor penguins; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-00360498; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0812940106

International audience Studies have reported important effects of recent climate change on Antarctic species, but there has been to our knowledge no attempt to explicitly link those results to forecasted population responses to climate change. Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) is projected to shrink as...