Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild
Interspecific interactions are crucial in determining species occurrence and community assembly. Understanding these interactions is thus essential for correctly predicting species' responses to climate change. We focussed on an avian forest guild of four hole-nesting species with differing sen...
Published in: | Global Change Biology |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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Wiley Blackwell Publishing
2020
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/2434/906218 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14953 |
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ftunivmilanoair:oai:air.unimi.it:2434/906218 2024-02-11T10:09:17+01:00 Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild Brambilla M. Scridel D. Bazzi G. Ilahiane L. Iemma A. Pedrini P. Bassi E. Bionda R. Marchesi L. Genero F. Teufelbauer N. Probst R. Vrezec A. Kmecl P. Mihelic T. Bogliani G. Schmid H. Assandri G. Pontarini R. Braunisch V. Arlettaz R. Chamberlain D. M. Brambilla D. Scridel G. Bazzi L. Ilahiane A. Iemma P. Pedrini E. Bassi R. Bionda L. Marchesi F. Genero N. Teufelbauer R. Probst A. Vrezec P. Kmecl T. Mihelic G. Bogliani H. Schmid G. Assandri R. Pontarini V. Braunisch R. Arlettaz D. Chamberlain 2020-03 http://hdl.handle.net/2434/906218 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14953 eng eng Wiley Blackwell Publishing info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/pmid/31804736 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000506459400001 volume:26 issue:3 firstpage:1212 lastpage:1224 numberofpages:13 journal:GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY http://hdl.handle.net/2434/906218 doi:10.1111/gcb.14953 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85078604834 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess biotic interaction citizen science global warming owl SDM woodpecker Animal Ecosystem Forest Predatory Behavior Climate Change Strigiformes Settore BIO/07 - Ecologia info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2020 ftunivmilanoair https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14953 2024-01-23T23:43:10Z Interspecific interactions are crucial in determining species occurrence and community assembly. Understanding these interactions is thus essential for correctly predicting species' responses to climate change. We focussed on an avian forest guild of four hole-nesting species with differing sensitivities to climate that show a range of well-understood reciprocal interactions, including facilitation, competition and predation. We modelled the potential distributions of black woodpecker and boreal, tawny and Ural owl, and tested whether the spatial patterns of the more widespread species (excluding Ural owl) were shaped by interspecific interactions. We then modelled the potential future distributions of all four species, evaluating how the predicted changes will alter the overlap between the species' ranges, and hence the spatial outcomes of interactions. Forest cover/type and climate were important determinants of habitat suitability for all species. Field data analysed with N-mixture models revealed effects of interspecific interactions on current species abundance, especially in boreal owl (positive effects of black woodpecker, negative effects of tawny owl). Climate change will impact the assemblage both at species and guild levels, as the potential area of range overlap, relevant for species interactions, will change in both proportion and extent in the future. Boreal owl, the most climate-sensitive species in the guild, will retreat, and the range overlap with its main predator, tawny owl, will increase in the remaining suitable area: climate change will thus impact on boreal owl both directly and indirectly. Climate change will cause the geographical alteration or disruption of species interaction networks, with different consequences for the species belonging to the guild and a likely spatial increase of competition and/or intraguild predation. Our work shows significant interactions and important potential changes in the overlap of areas suitable for the interacting species, which reinforce the ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Ural Owl The University of Milan: Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (AIR) Global Change Biology 26 3 1212 1224 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
The University of Milan: Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (AIR) |
op_collection_id |
ftunivmilanoair |
language |
English |
topic |
biotic interaction citizen science global warming owl SDM woodpecker Animal Ecosystem Forest Predatory Behavior Climate Change Strigiformes Settore BIO/07 - Ecologia |
spellingShingle |
biotic interaction citizen science global warming owl SDM woodpecker Animal Ecosystem Forest Predatory Behavior Climate Change Strigiformes Settore BIO/07 - Ecologia Brambilla M. Scridel D. Bazzi G. Ilahiane L. Iemma A. Pedrini P. Bassi E. Bionda R. Marchesi L. Genero F. Teufelbauer N. Probst R. Vrezec A. Kmecl P. Mihelic T. Bogliani G. Schmid H. Assandri G. Pontarini R. Braunisch V. Arlettaz R. Chamberlain D. Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
topic_facet |
biotic interaction citizen science global warming owl SDM woodpecker Animal Ecosystem Forest Predatory Behavior Climate Change Strigiformes Settore BIO/07 - Ecologia |
description |
Interspecific interactions are crucial in determining species occurrence and community assembly. Understanding these interactions is thus essential for correctly predicting species' responses to climate change. We focussed on an avian forest guild of four hole-nesting species with differing sensitivities to climate that show a range of well-understood reciprocal interactions, including facilitation, competition and predation. We modelled the potential distributions of black woodpecker and boreal, tawny and Ural owl, and tested whether the spatial patterns of the more widespread species (excluding Ural owl) were shaped by interspecific interactions. We then modelled the potential future distributions of all four species, evaluating how the predicted changes will alter the overlap between the species' ranges, and hence the spatial outcomes of interactions. Forest cover/type and climate were important determinants of habitat suitability for all species. Field data analysed with N-mixture models revealed effects of interspecific interactions on current species abundance, especially in boreal owl (positive effects of black woodpecker, negative effects of tawny owl). Climate change will impact the assemblage both at species and guild levels, as the potential area of range overlap, relevant for species interactions, will change in both proportion and extent in the future. Boreal owl, the most climate-sensitive species in the guild, will retreat, and the range overlap with its main predator, tawny owl, will increase in the remaining suitable area: climate change will thus impact on boreal owl both directly and indirectly. Climate change will cause the geographical alteration or disruption of species interaction networks, with different consequences for the species belonging to the guild and a likely spatial increase of competition and/or intraguild predation. Our work shows significant interactions and important potential changes in the overlap of areas suitable for the interacting species, which reinforce the ... |
author2 |
M. Brambilla D. Scridel G. Bazzi L. Ilahiane A. Iemma P. Pedrini E. Bassi R. Bionda L. Marchesi F. Genero N. Teufelbauer R. Probst A. Vrezec P. Kmecl T. Mihelic G. Bogliani H. Schmid G. Assandri R. Pontarini V. Braunisch R. Arlettaz D. Chamberlain |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Brambilla M. Scridel D. Bazzi G. Ilahiane L. Iemma A. Pedrini P. Bassi E. Bionda R. Marchesi L. Genero F. Teufelbauer N. Probst R. Vrezec A. Kmecl P. Mihelic T. Bogliani G. Schmid H. Assandri G. Pontarini R. Braunisch V. Arlettaz R. Chamberlain D. |
author_facet |
Brambilla M. Scridel D. Bazzi G. Ilahiane L. Iemma A. Pedrini P. Bassi E. Bionda R. Marchesi L. Genero F. Teufelbauer N. Probst R. Vrezec A. Kmecl P. Mihelic T. Bogliani G. Schmid H. Assandri G. Pontarini R. Braunisch V. Arlettaz R. Chamberlain D. |
author_sort |
Brambilla M. |
title |
Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
title_short |
Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
title_full |
Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
title_fullStr |
Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
title_full_unstemmed |
Species interactions and climate change: How the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
title_sort |
species interactions and climate change: how the disruption of species co-occurrence will impact on an avian forest guild |
publisher |
Wiley Blackwell Publishing |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2434/906218 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14953 |
genre |
Ural Owl |
genre_facet |
Ural Owl |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/pmid/31804736 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000506459400001 volume:26 issue:3 firstpage:1212 lastpage:1224 numberofpages:13 journal:GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY http://hdl.handle.net/2434/906218 doi:10.1111/gcb.14953 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85078604834 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14953 |
container_title |
Global Change Biology |
container_volume |
26 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
1212 |
op_container_end_page |
1224 |
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1790609110743384064 |