Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure
Climate change has the potential to impose severe stress on coastal environments. Alaskan coastlines are especially vulnerable to erosion and other changes that have led to significant damage and threats to infrastructure, human health and safety, and economic prosperity. This paper describes an int...
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ftunivmassboston:oai:works.bepress.com:jeffrey_keisler-1041 2023-05-15T17:57:40+02:00 Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure Karvetski, Chris Lambert, James Keisler, Jeffrey Linkov, Igor Sexhauer, Bruce 2011-08-01T07:00:00Z https://works.bepress.com/jeffrey_keisler/24 http://www.inderscience.com/search/index.php?action=record&rec_id=42120 unknown SelectedWorks https://works.bepress.com/jeffrey_keisler/24 http://www.inderscience.com/search/index.php?action=record&rec_id=42120 Jeffrey Keisler text 2011 ftunivmassboston 2022-05-02T16:37:57Z Climate change has the potential to impose severe stress on coastal environments. Alaskan coastlines are especially vulnerable to erosion and other changes that have led to significant damage and threats to infrastructure, human health and safety, and economic prosperity. This paper describes an integration of scenario analysis with multi-criteria decision analysis to prioritise the vulnerability of communities for the development of infrastructure protection and other actions. The approach allows stakeholders to account for uncertainty in the prioritisation and also includes value judgements of the multiple relevant stakeholders. We present a case study that evaluates several climate change scenarios and formulates metrics for finding scenarios that most impact priorities. Scenarios including sea-level rise, increased frequency of forest fires, permafrost melting, and others are used. We find the increased frequency of forest fires to be the most upsetting scenario along with four communities that are identified as highly vulnerable and not sensitive to the scenarios. Text permafrost Alaska University of Massachusetts Boston: ScholarWorks at UMass |
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University of Massachusetts Boston: ScholarWorks at UMass |
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ftunivmassboston |
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description |
Climate change has the potential to impose severe stress on coastal environments. Alaskan coastlines are especially vulnerable to erosion and other changes that have led to significant damage and threats to infrastructure, human health and safety, and economic prosperity. This paper describes an integration of scenario analysis with multi-criteria decision analysis to prioritise the vulnerability of communities for the development of infrastructure protection and other actions. The approach allows stakeholders to account for uncertainty in the prioritisation and also includes value judgements of the multiple relevant stakeholders. We present a case study that evaluates several climate change scenarios and formulates metrics for finding scenarios that most impact priorities. Scenarios including sea-level rise, increased frequency of forest fires, permafrost melting, and others are used. We find the increased frequency of forest fires to be the most upsetting scenario along with four communities that are identified as highly vulnerable and not sensitive to the scenarios. |
format |
Text |
author |
Karvetski, Chris Lambert, James Keisler, Jeffrey Linkov, Igor Sexhauer, Bruce |
spellingShingle |
Karvetski, Chris Lambert, James Keisler, Jeffrey Linkov, Igor Sexhauer, Bruce Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
author_facet |
Karvetski, Chris Lambert, James Keisler, Jeffrey Linkov, Igor Sexhauer, Bruce |
author_sort |
Karvetski, Chris |
title |
Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
title_short |
Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
title_full |
Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
title_fullStr |
Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risk and Impact Analysis of Climate Change Scenarios for Alaska Coastal Infrastructure |
title_sort |
risk and impact analysis of climate change scenarios for alaska coastal infrastructure |
publisher |
SelectedWorks |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://works.bepress.com/jeffrey_keisler/24 http://www.inderscience.com/search/index.php?action=record&rec_id=42120 |
genre |
permafrost Alaska |
genre_facet |
permafrost Alaska |
op_source |
Jeffrey Keisler |
op_relation |
https://works.bepress.com/jeffrey_keisler/24 http://www.inderscience.com/search/index.php?action=record&rec_id=42120 |
_version_ |
1766166146767126528 |