Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Rising sea levels due to climate change can have severe consequences for coastal populations and ecosystems all around the world. Understanding and projecting sea-level rise is especially important for low-lying countries such as the Netherl...
Published in: | Netherlands Journal of Geosciences |
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Language: | English |
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Cambridge University Press (CUP)
2018
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Online Access: | http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/3040393/ https://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2018.7 |
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ftunivliverpool:oai:livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk:3040393 2023-05-15T13:51:53+02:00 Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea Vermeersen, Bert LA Slangen, Aimee BA Gerkema, Theo Baart, Fedor Cohen, Kim M Dangendorf, Sonke Duran-Matute, Matthias Frederikse, Thomas Grinsted, Aslak Hijma, Marc P Jevrejeva, Svetlana Kiden, Patrick Kleinherenbrink, Marcel Meijles, Erik W Palmer, Matthew D Rietbroek, Roelof Riva, Riccardo EM Schulz, Elisabeth Slobbe, D Cornelis Simpson, Matthew JR Sterlini, Paul Stocchi, Paolo van de Wal, Roderik SW van der Wegen, Mick 2018 http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/3040393/ https://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2018.7 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) Collapse authors list. Vermeersen, Bert LA, Slangen, Aimee BA, Gerkema, Theo, Baart, Fedor, Cohen, Kim M, Dangendorf, Sonke, Duran-Matute, Matthias, Frederikse, Thomas, Grinsted, Aslak, Hijma, Marc P et al (show 14 more authors) , Jevrejeva, Svetlana, Kiden, Patrick, Kleinherenbrink, Marcel, Meijles, Erik W, Palmer, Matthew D, Rietbroek, Roelof, Riva, Riccardo EM, Schulz, Elisabeth, Slobbe, D Cornelis, Simpson, Matthew JR, Sterlini, Paul, Stocchi, Paolo, van de Wal, Roderik SW and van der Wegen, Mick (2018) Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea. NETHERLANDS JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES-GEOLOGIE EN MIJNBOUW, 97 (3). pp. 79-127. Article NonPeerReviewed 2018 ftunivliverpool https://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2018.7 2023-01-19T23:40:22Z <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Rising sea levels due to climate change can have severe consequences for coastal populations and ecosystems all around the world. Understanding and projecting sea-level rise is especially important for low-lying countries such as the Netherlands. It is of specific interest for vulnerable ecological and morphodynamic regions, such as the Wadden Sea UNESCO World Heritage region.</jats:p><jats:p>Here we provide an overview of sea-level projections for the 21st century for the Wadden Sea region and a condensed review of the scientific data, understanding and uncertainties underpinning the projections. The sea-level projections are formulated in the framework of the geological history of the Wadden Sea region and are based on the regional sea-level projections published in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5). These IPCC AR5 projections are compared against updates derived from more recent literature and evaluated for the Wadden Sea region. The projections are further put into perspective by including interannual variability based on long-term tide-gauge records from observing stations at Den Helder and Delfzijl.</jats:p><jats:p>We consider three climate scenarios, following the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), as defined in IPCC AR5: the RCP2.6 scenario assumes that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decline after 2020; the RCP4.5 scenario assumes that GHG emissions peak at 2040 and decline thereafter; and the RCP8.5 scenario represents a continued rise of GHG emissions throughout the 21st century. For RCP8.5, we also evaluate several scenarios from recent literature where the mass loss in Antarctica accelerates at rates exceeding those presented in IPCC AR5.</jats:p><jats:p>For the Dutch Wadden Sea, the IPCC AR5-based projected sea-level rise is 0.07±0.06m for the RCP4.5 scenario for the period 2018–30 (uncertainties representing 5–95%), with the RCP2.6 and ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica The University of Liverpool Repository Netherlands Journal of Geosciences 97 3 79 127 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
The University of Liverpool Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivliverpool |
language |
English |
description |
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Rising sea levels due to climate change can have severe consequences for coastal populations and ecosystems all around the world. Understanding and projecting sea-level rise is especially important for low-lying countries such as the Netherlands. It is of specific interest for vulnerable ecological and morphodynamic regions, such as the Wadden Sea UNESCO World Heritage region.</jats:p><jats:p>Here we provide an overview of sea-level projections for the 21st century for the Wadden Sea region and a condensed review of the scientific data, understanding and uncertainties underpinning the projections. The sea-level projections are formulated in the framework of the geological history of the Wadden Sea region and are based on the regional sea-level projections published in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5). These IPCC AR5 projections are compared against updates derived from more recent literature and evaluated for the Wadden Sea region. The projections are further put into perspective by including interannual variability based on long-term tide-gauge records from observing stations at Den Helder and Delfzijl.</jats:p><jats:p>We consider three climate scenarios, following the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), as defined in IPCC AR5: the RCP2.6 scenario assumes that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decline after 2020; the RCP4.5 scenario assumes that GHG emissions peak at 2040 and decline thereafter; and the RCP8.5 scenario represents a continued rise of GHG emissions throughout the 21st century. For RCP8.5, we also evaluate several scenarios from recent literature where the mass loss in Antarctica accelerates at rates exceeding those presented in IPCC AR5.</jats:p><jats:p>For the Dutch Wadden Sea, the IPCC AR5-based projected sea-level rise is 0.07±0.06m for the RCP4.5 scenario for the period 2018–30 (uncertainties representing 5–95%), with the RCP2.6 and ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Vermeersen, Bert LA Slangen, Aimee BA Gerkema, Theo Baart, Fedor Cohen, Kim M Dangendorf, Sonke Duran-Matute, Matthias Frederikse, Thomas Grinsted, Aslak Hijma, Marc P Jevrejeva, Svetlana Kiden, Patrick Kleinherenbrink, Marcel Meijles, Erik W Palmer, Matthew D Rietbroek, Roelof Riva, Riccardo EM Schulz, Elisabeth Slobbe, D Cornelis Simpson, Matthew JR Sterlini, Paul Stocchi, Paolo van de Wal, Roderik SW van der Wegen, Mick |
spellingShingle |
Vermeersen, Bert LA Slangen, Aimee BA Gerkema, Theo Baart, Fedor Cohen, Kim M Dangendorf, Sonke Duran-Matute, Matthias Frederikse, Thomas Grinsted, Aslak Hijma, Marc P Jevrejeva, Svetlana Kiden, Patrick Kleinherenbrink, Marcel Meijles, Erik W Palmer, Matthew D Rietbroek, Roelof Riva, Riccardo EM Schulz, Elisabeth Slobbe, D Cornelis Simpson, Matthew JR Sterlini, Paul Stocchi, Paolo van de Wal, Roderik SW van der Wegen, Mick Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
author_facet |
Vermeersen, Bert LA Slangen, Aimee BA Gerkema, Theo Baart, Fedor Cohen, Kim M Dangendorf, Sonke Duran-Matute, Matthias Frederikse, Thomas Grinsted, Aslak Hijma, Marc P Jevrejeva, Svetlana Kiden, Patrick Kleinherenbrink, Marcel Meijles, Erik W Palmer, Matthew D Rietbroek, Roelof Riva, Riccardo EM Schulz, Elisabeth Slobbe, D Cornelis Simpson, Matthew JR Sterlini, Paul Stocchi, Paolo van de Wal, Roderik SW van der Wegen, Mick |
author_sort |
Vermeersen, Bert LA |
title |
Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
title_short |
Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
title_full |
Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
title_fullStr |
Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
title_full_unstemmed |
Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea |
title_sort |
sea-level change in the dutch wadden sea |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/3040393/ https://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2018.7 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_relation |
Collapse authors list. Vermeersen, Bert LA, Slangen, Aimee BA, Gerkema, Theo, Baart, Fedor, Cohen, Kim M, Dangendorf, Sonke, Duran-Matute, Matthias, Frederikse, Thomas, Grinsted, Aslak, Hijma, Marc P et al (show 14 more authors) , Jevrejeva, Svetlana, Kiden, Patrick, Kleinherenbrink, Marcel, Meijles, Erik W, Palmer, Matthew D, Rietbroek, Roelof, Riva, Riccardo EM, Schulz, Elisabeth, Slobbe, D Cornelis, Simpson, Matthew JR, Sterlini, Paul, Stocchi, Paolo, van de Wal, Roderik SW and van der Wegen, Mick (2018) Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea. NETHERLANDS JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES-GEOLOGIE EN MIJNBOUW, 97 (3). pp. 79-127. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2018.7 |
container_title |
Netherlands Journal of Geosciences |
container_volume |
97 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
79 |
op_container_end_page |
127 |
_version_ |
1766255931534868480 |