Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715)
The Late Maunder Minimum (LMM; 1675–1715) delineates a period with marked climate variability within the Little Ice Age in Europe. Gridded monthly mean surface pressure fields were reconstructed for this period for the eastern North Atlantic–European region (25°W–30°E and 35–70°N). These were based...
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ftunivlisboa:oai:repositorio.ul.pt:10451/37082 2023-05-15T16:52:10+02:00 Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) Luterbacher, J. Rickli, R. Tinguely, C. Xoplaki, E. Schüpbach, E. Dietrich, D. Hüsler, J. Ambühl, M. Pfister, C. Beeli, P. Dietrich, U. Dannecker, A. Davies, T.D. Jones, P.D. Slonosky, V. Ogilvie, A.E.J. Maheras, P. Kolyva‐Machera, F. Martin‐Vide, J. Barriendos, M. Alcoforado, Maria Joao Nunes, M.F. Jónsson, T. J Glaser, R. Jacobeit, J. Beck, C. Philipp, A. Beyer, U. Kaas, E. Schmith, T. Bärring, L. Jönsson, P. Rácz, L. Wanner, H. 2019-02-20T16:04:32Z http://hdl.handle.net/10451/37082 eng eng Royal Meteorological Society https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/1097-0088%28200008%2920%3A10%3C1049%3A%3AAID-JOC521%3E3.0.CO%3B2-6 Luterbacher, J., Rickli, R., Tinguely, C. [et al.] (2000). Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum period (AD 1675-1715). International Journal of Climatology, 20(10), PP. 1049–1066. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 1097-0088 http://hdl.handle.net/10451/37082 10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 closedAccess Canonical correlation analysis Europe Maunder Minimum Proxy data Sea level pressure reconstruction article 2019 ftunivlisboa https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 2022-05-25T18:39:23Z The Late Maunder Minimum (LMM; 1675–1715) delineates a period with marked climate variability within the Little Ice Age in Europe. Gridded monthly mean surface pressure fields were reconstructed for this period for the eastern North Atlantic–European region (25°W–30°E and 35–70°N). These were based on continuous information drawn from proxy and instrumental data taken from several European data sites. The data include indexed temperature and rainfall values, sea ice conditions from northern Iceland and the Western Baltic. In addition, limited instrumental data, such as air temperature from central England (CET) and Paris, reduced mean sea level pressure (SLP) at Paris, and monthly mean wind direction in the Øresund (Denmark) are used. The reconstructions are based on a canonical correlation analysis (CCA), with the standardized station data as predictors and the SLP pressure fields as predictand. The CCA-based model was performed using data from the twentieth century. The period 1901–1960 was used to calibrate the statistical model, and the remaining 30 years (1961–1990) for the validation of the reconstructed monthly pressure fields. Assuming stationarity of the statistical relationships, the calibrated CCA model was then used to predict the monthly LMM SLP fields. The verification results illustrated that the regression equations developed for the majority of grid points contain good predictive skill. Nevertheless, there are seasonal and geographical limitations for which valid spatial SLP patterns can be reconstructed. Backward elimination techniques indicated that Paris station air pressure and temperature, CET, and the wind direction in the Øresund are the most important predictors, together sharing more than 65% of the total variance. The reconstructions are compared with additional data and subjectively reconstructed monthly pressure charts for the years 1675–1704. It is shown that there are differences between the two approaches. However, for extreme years the reconstructions are in good agreement. ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland North Atlantic Sea ice Universidade de Lisboa: repositório.UL Øresund ENVELOPE(-18.659,-18.659,76.714,76.714) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Universidade de Lisboa: repositório.UL |
op_collection_id |
ftunivlisboa |
language |
English |
topic |
Canonical correlation analysis Europe Maunder Minimum Proxy data Sea level pressure reconstruction |
spellingShingle |
Canonical correlation analysis Europe Maunder Minimum Proxy data Sea level pressure reconstruction Luterbacher, J. Rickli, R. Tinguely, C. Xoplaki, E. Schüpbach, E. Dietrich, D. Hüsler, J. Ambühl, M. Pfister, C. Beeli, P. Dietrich, U. Dannecker, A. Davies, T.D. Jones, P.D. Slonosky, V. Ogilvie, A.E.J. Maheras, P. Kolyva‐Machera, F. Martin‐Vide, J. Barriendos, M. Alcoforado, Maria Joao Nunes, M.F. Jónsson, T. J Glaser, R. Jacobeit, J. Beck, C. Philipp, A. Beyer, U. Kaas, E. Schmith, T. Bärring, L. Jönsson, P. Rácz, L. Wanner, H. Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
topic_facet |
Canonical correlation analysis Europe Maunder Minimum Proxy data Sea level pressure reconstruction |
description |
The Late Maunder Minimum (LMM; 1675–1715) delineates a period with marked climate variability within the Little Ice Age in Europe. Gridded monthly mean surface pressure fields were reconstructed for this period for the eastern North Atlantic–European region (25°W–30°E and 35–70°N). These were based on continuous information drawn from proxy and instrumental data taken from several European data sites. The data include indexed temperature and rainfall values, sea ice conditions from northern Iceland and the Western Baltic. In addition, limited instrumental data, such as air temperature from central England (CET) and Paris, reduced mean sea level pressure (SLP) at Paris, and monthly mean wind direction in the Øresund (Denmark) are used. The reconstructions are based on a canonical correlation analysis (CCA), with the standardized station data as predictors and the SLP pressure fields as predictand. The CCA-based model was performed using data from the twentieth century. The period 1901–1960 was used to calibrate the statistical model, and the remaining 30 years (1961–1990) for the validation of the reconstructed monthly pressure fields. Assuming stationarity of the statistical relationships, the calibrated CCA model was then used to predict the monthly LMM SLP fields. The verification results illustrated that the regression equations developed for the majority of grid points contain good predictive skill. Nevertheless, there are seasonal and geographical limitations for which valid spatial SLP patterns can be reconstructed. Backward elimination techniques indicated that Paris station air pressure and temperature, CET, and the wind direction in the Øresund are the most important predictors, together sharing more than 65% of the total variance. The reconstructions are compared with additional data and subjectively reconstructed monthly pressure charts for the years 1675–1704. It is shown that there are differences between the two approaches. However, for extreme years the reconstructions are in good agreement. ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Luterbacher, J. Rickli, R. Tinguely, C. Xoplaki, E. Schüpbach, E. Dietrich, D. Hüsler, J. Ambühl, M. Pfister, C. Beeli, P. Dietrich, U. Dannecker, A. Davies, T.D. Jones, P.D. Slonosky, V. Ogilvie, A.E.J. Maheras, P. Kolyva‐Machera, F. Martin‐Vide, J. Barriendos, M. Alcoforado, Maria Joao Nunes, M.F. Jónsson, T. J Glaser, R. Jacobeit, J. Beck, C. Philipp, A. Beyer, U. Kaas, E. Schmith, T. Bärring, L. Jönsson, P. Rácz, L. Wanner, H. |
author_facet |
Luterbacher, J. Rickli, R. Tinguely, C. Xoplaki, E. Schüpbach, E. Dietrich, D. Hüsler, J. Ambühl, M. Pfister, C. Beeli, P. Dietrich, U. Dannecker, A. Davies, T.D. Jones, P.D. Slonosky, V. Ogilvie, A.E.J. Maheras, P. Kolyva‐Machera, F. Martin‐Vide, J. Barriendos, M. Alcoforado, Maria Joao Nunes, M.F. Jónsson, T. J Glaser, R. Jacobeit, J. Beck, C. Philipp, A. Beyer, U. Kaas, E. Schmith, T. Bärring, L. Jönsson, P. Rácz, L. Wanner, H. |
author_sort |
Luterbacher, J. |
title |
Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
title_short |
Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
title_full |
Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
title_fullStr |
Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum Period (AD 1675–1715) |
title_sort |
monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the late maunder minimum period (ad 1675–1715) |
publisher |
Royal Meteorological Society |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10451/37082 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-18.659,-18.659,76.714,76.714) |
geographic |
Øresund |
geographic_facet |
Øresund |
genre |
Iceland North Atlantic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Iceland North Atlantic Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/1097-0088%28200008%2920%3A10%3C1049%3A%3AAID-JOC521%3E3.0.CO%3B2-6 Luterbacher, J., Rickli, R., Tinguely, C. [et al.] (2000). Monthly mean pressure reconstruction for the Late Maunder Minimum period (AD 1675-1715). International Journal of Climatology, 20(10), PP. 1049–1066. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 1097-0088 http://hdl.handle.net/10451/37082 10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 |
op_rights |
closedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0088(200008)20:10<1049::AID-JOC521>3.0.CO;2-6 |
_version_ |
1766042312786313216 |