High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations
Climate sensitivitythe mean global temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 concentrations through radiative forcing and associated feedbacksis estimated at 1.5-4.5 C (ref.1). However, this value incorporates only relatively rapid feedbacks such as changes in atmospheric water vapour c...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo724 http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1752-0894&volume=3&spage=27&epage=30&date=2010&atitle=High+Earth-system+climate+sensitivity+determined+from+Pliocene+carbon+dioxide+concentrations http://hdl.handle.net/10722/124645 |
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ftunivhongkonghu:oai:hub.hku.hk:10722/124645 2023-05-15T16:41:01+02:00 High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations Liu, Z Pagani, M Lariviere, J Ravelo, AC 2010 https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo724 http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1752-0894&volume=3&spage=27&epage=30&date=2010&atitle=High+Earth-system+climate+sensitivity+determined+from+Pliocene+carbon+dioxide+concentrations http://hdl.handle.net/10722/124645 eng eng United Kingdom Nature Geoscience http://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-73449133402&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage Nature Geoscience, 2010, v. 3 n. 1, p. 27-30 6416339 doi:10.1038/ngeo724 1752-0908 30 175747 WOS:000272976200012 1752-0894 1 http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1752-0894&volume=3&spage=27&epage=30&date=2010&atitle=High+Earth-system+climate+sensitivity+determined+from+Pliocene+carbon+dioxide+concentrations eid_2-s2.0-73449133402 27 http://hdl.handle.net/10722/124645 3 Article 2010 ftunivhongkonghu https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo724 2023-01-14T15:33:46Z Climate sensitivitythe mean global temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 concentrations through radiative forcing and associated feedbacksis estimated at 1.5-4.5 C (ref.1). However, this value incorporates only relatively rapid feedbacks such as changes in atmospheric water vapour concentrations, and the distributions of sea ice, clouds and aerosols. Earth-system climate sensitivity, by contrast, additionally includes the effects of long-term feedbacks such as changes in continental ice-sheet extent, terrestrial ecosystems and the production of greenhouse gases other than CO 2. Here we reconstruct atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations for the early and middle Pliocene, when temperatures were about 3-4 C warmer than preindustrial values, to estimate Earth-system climate sensitivity from a fully equilibrated state of the planet. We demonstrate that only a relatively small rise in atmospheric CO 2 levels was associated with substantial global warming about 4.5 million years ago, and that CO 2 levels at peak temperatures were between about 365 and 415 ppm. We conclude that the Earth-system climate sensitivity has been significantly higher over the past five million years than estimated from fast feedbacks alone. © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved. link_to_subscribed_fulltext Article in Journal/Newspaper Ice Sheet Sea ice University of Hong Kong: HKU Scholars Hub Nature Geoscience 3 1 27 30 |
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University of Hong Kong: HKU Scholars Hub |
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ftunivhongkonghu |
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English |
description |
Climate sensitivitythe mean global temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 concentrations through radiative forcing and associated feedbacksis estimated at 1.5-4.5 C (ref.1). However, this value incorporates only relatively rapid feedbacks such as changes in atmospheric water vapour concentrations, and the distributions of sea ice, clouds and aerosols. Earth-system climate sensitivity, by contrast, additionally includes the effects of long-term feedbacks such as changes in continental ice-sheet extent, terrestrial ecosystems and the production of greenhouse gases other than CO 2. Here we reconstruct atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations for the early and middle Pliocene, when temperatures were about 3-4 C warmer than preindustrial values, to estimate Earth-system climate sensitivity from a fully equilibrated state of the planet. We demonstrate that only a relatively small rise in atmospheric CO 2 levels was associated with substantial global warming about 4.5 million years ago, and that CO 2 levels at peak temperatures were between about 365 and 415 ppm. We conclude that the Earth-system climate sensitivity has been significantly higher over the past five million years than estimated from fast feedbacks alone. © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved. link_to_subscribed_fulltext |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Liu, Z Pagani, M Lariviere, J Ravelo, AC |
spellingShingle |
Liu, Z Pagani, M Lariviere, J Ravelo, AC High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
author_facet |
Liu, Z Pagani, M Lariviere, J Ravelo, AC |
author_sort |
Liu, Z |
title |
High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
title_short |
High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
title_full |
High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
title_fullStr |
High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
title_full_unstemmed |
High Earth-system climate sensitivity determined from Pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
title_sort |
high earth-system climate sensitivity determined from pliocene carbon dioxide concentrations |
publisher |
United Kingdom |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo724 http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1752-0894&volume=3&spage=27&epage=30&date=2010&atitle=High+Earth-system+climate+sensitivity+determined+from+Pliocene+carbon+dioxide+concentrations http://hdl.handle.net/10722/124645 |
genre |
Ice Sheet Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Ice Sheet Sea ice |
op_relation |
Nature Geoscience http://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-73449133402&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage Nature Geoscience, 2010, v. 3 n. 1, p. 27-30 6416339 doi:10.1038/ngeo724 1752-0908 30 175747 WOS:000272976200012 1752-0894 1 http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1752-0894&volume=3&spage=27&epage=30&date=2010&atitle=High+Earth-system+climate+sensitivity+determined+from+Pliocene+carbon+dioxide+concentrations eid_2-s2.0-73449133402 27 http://hdl.handle.net/10722/124645 3 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo724 |
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Nature Geoscience |
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3 |
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27 |
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30 |
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