Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years
With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses-such as shifts in phenology-are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High...
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ftunivhelsihelda:oai:helda.helsinki.fi:10138/584438 2024-09-15T17:51:58+00:00 Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S. L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sorine Hoye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Pena-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas Department of Agricultural Sciences Spatial Foodweb Ecology Group Plant Production Sciences Environmental Sciences Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme 2024-08-06T22:24:50Z 10 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10138/584438 eng eng Cell Press 10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring is thanked for providing access to ecosystem data. We thank the many field assistants, the Danish Environmental Protection Agency for supporting Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring over the years, and the Kvantum Institute at the University of Oulu for their support. T.R. was funded by Academy of Finland (grant no. 322266) , the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, and the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement no. 856506; ERC-synergy project LIFEPLAN) . Schmidt , N M , Kankaanpää , T , Tiusanen , M , Reneerkens , J , Versluijs , T S L , Hansen , L H , Hansen , J , Gerlich , H S , Hoye , T T , Cirtwill , A R , Zhemchuzhnikov , M K , Pena-Aguilera , P & Roslin , T 2023 , ' Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years ' , Current Biology , vol. 33 , no. 15 , pp. 3244-3249 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 ORCID: /0000-0002-9361-0777/work/142860048 ORCID: /0000-0002-2957-4791/work/142860748 ORCID: /0000-0002-1772-3868/work/142860973 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/584438 d11ea0db-f2f6-4f6a-8a35-4b3d8c0484d1 37499666 001058914200001 cc_by_nc_nd info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess openAccess Climate Greenland Environmental sciences Article acceptedVersion 2024 ftunivhelsihelda 2024-08-07T23:38:58Z With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses-such as shifts in phenology-are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change.1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996-2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual variability. Additionally, some taxa appear to have reached the limits of their phenological responses, resulting in a leveling off in their phenological responses in warm years. Our findings demonstrate the importance of long-term monitoring of taxa from across trophic levels within the community, allowing for detecting shifts in sensitivities and responses and thus for updated inference in the light of added information. Peer reviewed Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Greenland Zackenberg HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivhelsihelda |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate Greenland Environmental sciences |
spellingShingle |
Climate Greenland Environmental sciences Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S. L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sorine Hoye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Pena-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
topic_facet |
Climate Greenland Environmental sciences |
description |
With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses-such as shifts in phenology-are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change.1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996-2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual variability. Additionally, some taxa appear to have reached the limits of their phenological responses, resulting in a leveling off in their phenological responses in warm years. Our findings demonstrate the importance of long-term monitoring of taxa from across trophic levels within the community, allowing for detecting shifts in sensitivities and responses and thus for updated inference in the light of added information. Peer reviewed |
author2 |
Department of Agricultural Sciences Spatial Foodweb Ecology Group Plant Production Sciences Environmental Sciences Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S. L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sorine Hoye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Pena-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas |
author_facet |
Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S. L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sorine Hoye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Pena-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas |
author_sort |
Schmidt, Niels Martin |
title |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_short |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_full |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_fullStr |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_full_unstemmed |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_sort |
little directional change in the timing of arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
publisher |
Cell Press |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10138/584438 |
genre |
Arctic Greenland Zackenberg |
genre_facet |
Arctic Greenland Zackenberg |
op_relation |
10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring is thanked for providing access to ecosystem data. We thank the many field assistants, the Danish Environmental Protection Agency for supporting Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring over the years, and the Kvantum Institute at the University of Oulu for their support. T.R. was funded by Academy of Finland (grant no. 322266) , the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, and the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement no. 856506; ERC-synergy project LIFEPLAN) . Schmidt , N M , Kankaanpää , T , Tiusanen , M , Reneerkens , J , Versluijs , T S L , Hansen , L H , Hansen , J , Gerlich , H S , Hoye , T T , Cirtwill , A R , Zhemchuzhnikov , M K , Pena-Aguilera , P & Roslin , T 2023 , ' Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years ' , Current Biology , vol. 33 , no. 15 , pp. 3244-3249 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 ORCID: /0000-0002-9361-0777/work/142860048 ORCID: /0000-0002-2957-4791/work/142860748 ORCID: /0000-0002-1772-3868/work/142860973 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/584438 d11ea0db-f2f6-4f6a-8a35-4b3d8c0484d1 37499666 001058914200001 |
op_rights |
cc_by_nc_nd info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess openAccess |
_version_ |
1810294022894256128 |