A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change
Highlights • We define cross-border climate impacts and identify challenges they may pose. • We develop a conceptual framework to help understand them and their dynamics. • The framework can organise and offer useful insights into past and projected cases. • To demonstrate we use examples of the 201...
Published in: | Global Environmental Change |
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ftunivhelsihelda:oai:helda.helsinki.fi:10138/332360 2023-08-20T04:04:28+02:00 A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change Carter, Timothy R. Benzie, Magnus Campiglio, Emanuele Carlsen, Henrik Fronzek, Stefan Hildén, Mikael Reyer, Christopher P.O. West, Chris 2021-07-12T08:48:13Z application/pdf video/mpeg http://hdl.handle.net/10138/332360 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 eng eng Elsevier Global Environmental Change 69: 102307 0959-3780 Timothy R. Carter, Magnus Benzie, Emanuele Campiglio, Henrik Carlsen, Stefan Fronzek, Mikael Hildén, Christopher P.O. Reyer, Chris West, A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change, Global Environmental Change, Volume 69, 2021, 102307, ISSN 0959-3780, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 Suomen ympäristökeskus http://hdl.handle.net/10138/332360 CC BY 4.0 openAccess risk propagation adaptation response climate trigger cascading impacts complex system ilmastonmuutokset ilmastovaikutukset rajanylitykset kansainvälinen yhteistyö tapaustutkimus Thaimaa tulvat Ruotsi Norja vesivoimalat Argentiina soijapavut viljely Etiopia padot Arktinen meri jää sulaminen Venäjä Pakistan satovahingot Article 2021 ftunivhelsihelda https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 2023-07-28T06:02:56Z Highlights • We define cross-border climate impacts and identify challenges they may pose. • We develop a conceptual framework to help understand them and their dynamics. • The framework can organise and offer useful insights into past and projected cases. • To demonstrate we use examples of the 2011 Thai floods and Arctic sea ice decline. • The complexity of impact dynamics suggests a need for diverse adaptation responses. Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention to impacts and responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate change impacts that occur remotely from the location of their initial impact and that may severely disrupt societies and livelihoods. We propose a conceptual framework and accompanying nomenclature for describing and analysing such cross-border impacts. The conceptual framework distinguishes an initial impact that is caused by a climate trigger within a specific region. Downstream consequences of that impact propagate through an impact transmission system while adaptation responses to deal with the impact propagate through a response transmission system. A key to understanding cross-border impacts and responses is a recognition of different types of climate triggers, categories of cross-border impacts, the scales and dynamics of impact transmission, the targets and dynamics of responses and the socio-economic and environmental context that also encompasses factors and processes unrelated to climate change. These insights can then provide a basis for identifying relevant causal relationships. We apply the framework to the floods that affected industrial production in Thailand in 2011, and to projected Arctic sea ice decline, and demonstrate that the framework can usefully capture the complex system dynamics of cross-border climate impacts. It also provides a useful mechanism to identify and understand adaptation strategies and their potential consequences in the wider context of ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Sea ice Helsingfors Universitet: HELDA – Helsingin yliopiston digitaalinen arkisto Arctic Ruotsi ENVELOPE(20.545,20.545,69.462,69.462) Global Environmental Change 69 102307 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Helsingfors Universitet: HELDA – Helsingin yliopiston digitaalinen arkisto |
op_collection_id |
ftunivhelsihelda |
language |
English |
topic |
risk propagation adaptation response climate trigger cascading impacts complex system ilmastonmuutokset ilmastovaikutukset rajanylitykset kansainvälinen yhteistyö tapaustutkimus Thaimaa tulvat Ruotsi Norja vesivoimalat Argentiina soijapavut viljely Etiopia padot Arktinen meri jää sulaminen Venäjä Pakistan satovahingot |
spellingShingle |
risk propagation adaptation response climate trigger cascading impacts complex system ilmastonmuutokset ilmastovaikutukset rajanylitykset kansainvälinen yhteistyö tapaustutkimus Thaimaa tulvat Ruotsi Norja vesivoimalat Argentiina soijapavut viljely Etiopia padot Arktinen meri jää sulaminen Venäjä Pakistan satovahingot Carter, Timothy R. Benzie, Magnus Campiglio, Emanuele Carlsen, Henrik Fronzek, Stefan Hildén, Mikael Reyer, Christopher P.O. West, Chris A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
topic_facet |
risk propagation adaptation response climate trigger cascading impacts complex system ilmastonmuutokset ilmastovaikutukset rajanylitykset kansainvälinen yhteistyö tapaustutkimus Thaimaa tulvat Ruotsi Norja vesivoimalat Argentiina soijapavut viljely Etiopia padot Arktinen meri jää sulaminen Venäjä Pakistan satovahingot |
description |
Highlights • We define cross-border climate impacts and identify challenges they may pose. • We develop a conceptual framework to help understand them and their dynamics. • The framework can organise and offer useful insights into past and projected cases. • To demonstrate we use examples of the 2011 Thai floods and Arctic sea ice decline. • The complexity of impact dynamics suggests a need for diverse adaptation responses. Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention to impacts and responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate change impacts that occur remotely from the location of their initial impact and that may severely disrupt societies and livelihoods. We propose a conceptual framework and accompanying nomenclature for describing and analysing such cross-border impacts. The conceptual framework distinguishes an initial impact that is caused by a climate trigger within a specific region. Downstream consequences of that impact propagate through an impact transmission system while adaptation responses to deal with the impact propagate through a response transmission system. A key to understanding cross-border impacts and responses is a recognition of different types of climate triggers, categories of cross-border impacts, the scales and dynamics of impact transmission, the targets and dynamics of responses and the socio-economic and environmental context that also encompasses factors and processes unrelated to climate change. These insights can then provide a basis for identifying relevant causal relationships. We apply the framework to the floods that affected industrial production in Thailand in 2011, and to projected Arctic sea ice decline, and demonstrate that the framework can usefully capture the complex system dynamics of cross-border climate impacts. It also provides a useful mechanism to identify and understand adaptation strategies and their potential consequences in the wider context of ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Carter, Timothy R. Benzie, Magnus Campiglio, Emanuele Carlsen, Henrik Fronzek, Stefan Hildén, Mikael Reyer, Christopher P.O. West, Chris |
author_facet |
Carter, Timothy R. Benzie, Magnus Campiglio, Emanuele Carlsen, Henrik Fronzek, Stefan Hildén, Mikael Reyer, Christopher P.O. West, Chris |
author_sort |
Carter, Timothy R. |
title |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_short |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_full |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_fullStr |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
title_sort |
conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10138/332360 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(20.545,20.545,69.462,69.462) |
geographic |
Arctic Ruotsi |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Ruotsi |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
op_relation |
Global Environmental Change 69: 102307 0959-3780 Timothy R. Carter, Magnus Benzie, Emanuele Campiglio, Henrik Carlsen, Stefan Fronzek, Mikael Hildén, Christopher P.O. Reyer, Chris West, A conceptual framework for cross-border impacts of climate change, Global Environmental Change, Volume 69, 2021, 102307, ISSN 0959-3780, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 Suomen ympäristökeskus http://hdl.handle.net/10138/332360 |
op_rights |
CC BY 4.0 openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102307 |
container_title |
Global Environmental Change |
container_volume |
69 |
container_start_page |
102307 |
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1774714849802059776 |