Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments
Ongoing climate change is causing fundamental changes in the Arctic, some of which can be hazardous to nature and human activity. In the context of Earth surface systems, warming climate may lead to rising ground temperatures and thaw of permafrost. This Data Descriptor presents circumpolar permafro...
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ftunivhelsihelda:oai:helda.helsinki.fi:10138/301387 2024-01-07T09:37:54+01:00 Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments Karjalainen, Olli Aalto, Juha Luoto, Miska Westermann, Sebastian Romanovsky, Vladimir E. Nelson, Frederick E. Etzelmueller, Bernd Hjort, Jan Teaching and Learning Services Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science (HELSUS) Department of Geosciences and Geography BioGeoClimate Modelling Lab University Management Division of Urban Geography and Regional Studies 2019-04-30T12:05:01Z 16 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10138/301387 eng eng Nature Publishing Group 10.1038/sdata.2019.37 Academy of Finland (project numbers 285040, 286950 and 315519). NSF USA (grant number ARC-1304271). Ministry of Science and Education (Minobrnauka) of the Russian Federation (grant RFMEFI58718X0048, No. 14.587.21.0048). Karjalainen , O , Aalto , J , Luoto , M , Westermann , S , Romanovsky , V E , Nelson , F E , Etzelmueller , B & Hjort , J 2019 , ' Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments ' , Scientific data , vol. 6 , 190037 . https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2019.37 ORCID: /0000-0001-6203-5143/work/57041729 85062881556 05e28629-c5cf-44ea-94fb-bd13191df115 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/301387 000464192400001 cc_by openAccess info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess ALASKA PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE ACTIVE-LAYER THICKNESS NORTH-CENTRAL ALASKA CLIMATE-CHANGE THERMAL STATE SPATIAL-RESOLUTION DEGRADATION DYNAMICS CMIP5 VARIABILITY 1172 Environmental sciences Article publishedVersion 2019 ftunivhelsihelda 2023-12-14T00:11:46Z Ongoing climate change is causing fundamental changes in the Arctic, some of which can be hazardous to nature and human activity. In the context of Earth surface systems, warming climate may lead to rising ground temperatures and thaw of permafrost. This Data Descriptor presents circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices depicting zones of varying potential for development of hazards related to near-surface permafrost degradation, such as ground subsidence. Statistical models were used to predict ground temperature and the thickness of the seasonally thawed (active) layer using geospatial data on environmental conditions at 30 arc-second resolution. These predictions, together with data on factors (ground ice content, soil grain size and slope gradient) affecting permafrost stability, were used to formulate geohazard indices. Using climate-forcing scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5), permafrost extent and hazard potential were projected for the 2041-2060 and 2061-2080 time periods. The resulting data (seven permafrost and 24 geohazard maps) are relevant to near-future infrastructure risk assessments and for targeting localized geohazard analyses. Peer reviewed Article in Journal/Newspaper Active layer thickness Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Alaska HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository Arctic Scientific Data 6 1 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivhelsihelda |
language |
English |
topic |
ALASKA PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE ACTIVE-LAYER THICKNESS NORTH-CENTRAL ALASKA CLIMATE-CHANGE THERMAL STATE SPATIAL-RESOLUTION DEGRADATION DYNAMICS CMIP5 VARIABILITY 1172 Environmental sciences |
spellingShingle |
ALASKA PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE ACTIVE-LAYER THICKNESS NORTH-CENTRAL ALASKA CLIMATE-CHANGE THERMAL STATE SPATIAL-RESOLUTION DEGRADATION DYNAMICS CMIP5 VARIABILITY 1172 Environmental sciences Karjalainen, Olli Aalto, Juha Luoto, Miska Westermann, Sebastian Romanovsky, Vladimir E. Nelson, Frederick E. Etzelmueller, Bernd Hjort, Jan Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
topic_facet |
ALASKA PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE ACTIVE-LAYER THICKNESS NORTH-CENTRAL ALASKA CLIMATE-CHANGE THERMAL STATE SPATIAL-RESOLUTION DEGRADATION DYNAMICS CMIP5 VARIABILITY 1172 Environmental sciences |
description |
Ongoing climate change is causing fundamental changes in the Arctic, some of which can be hazardous to nature and human activity. In the context of Earth surface systems, warming climate may lead to rising ground temperatures and thaw of permafrost. This Data Descriptor presents circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices depicting zones of varying potential for development of hazards related to near-surface permafrost degradation, such as ground subsidence. Statistical models were used to predict ground temperature and the thickness of the seasonally thawed (active) layer using geospatial data on environmental conditions at 30 arc-second resolution. These predictions, together with data on factors (ground ice content, soil grain size and slope gradient) affecting permafrost stability, were used to formulate geohazard indices. Using climate-forcing scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5), permafrost extent and hazard potential were projected for the 2041-2060 and 2061-2080 time periods. The resulting data (seven permafrost and 24 geohazard maps) are relevant to near-future infrastructure risk assessments and for targeting localized geohazard analyses. Peer reviewed |
author2 |
Teaching and Learning Services Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science (HELSUS) Department of Geosciences and Geography BioGeoClimate Modelling Lab University Management Division of Urban Geography and Regional Studies |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Karjalainen, Olli Aalto, Juha Luoto, Miska Westermann, Sebastian Romanovsky, Vladimir E. Nelson, Frederick E. Etzelmueller, Bernd Hjort, Jan |
author_facet |
Karjalainen, Olli Aalto, Juha Luoto, Miska Westermann, Sebastian Romanovsky, Vladimir E. Nelson, Frederick E. Etzelmueller, Bernd Hjort, Jan |
author_sort |
Karjalainen, Olli |
title |
Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
title_short |
Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
title_full |
Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
title_fullStr |
Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
title_full_unstemmed |
Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
title_sort |
circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10138/301387 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Active layer thickness Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Alaska |
genre_facet |
Active layer thickness Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Alaska |
op_relation |
10.1038/sdata.2019.37 Academy of Finland (project numbers 285040, 286950 and 315519). NSF USA (grant number ARC-1304271). Ministry of Science and Education (Minobrnauka) of the Russian Federation (grant RFMEFI58718X0048, No. 14.587.21.0048). Karjalainen , O , Aalto , J , Luoto , M , Westermann , S , Romanovsky , V E , Nelson , F E , Etzelmueller , B & Hjort , J 2019 , ' Circumpolar permafrost maps and geohazard indices for near-future infrastructure risk assessments ' , Scientific data , vol. 6 , 190037 . https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2019.37 ORCID: /0000-0001-6203-5143/work/57041729 85062881556 05e28629-c5cf-44ea-94fb-bd13191df115 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/301387 000464192400001 |
op_rights |
cc_by openAccess info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
container_title |
Scientific Data |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
1 |
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1787421984817152000 |