Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of...
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EXCERPTA MEDICA INC-ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
2017
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10138/225128 |
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DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA 3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational health 3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicine |
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DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA 3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational health 3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicine Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan M. Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja M. Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur M. Abera, Semaw Ferede Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith J. Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E. Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Aichour, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Addis Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid A. Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw T. Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Kivimaki, Mika Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J. Weiderpass, Elisabete GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
topic_facet |
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA 3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational health 3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicine |
description |
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97.5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56.7 (IQR 31.9-66.8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86.8, 95% uncertainty interval 84.6-88.9), Iceland (86.0, 84.1-87.6), and Sweden (85.6, 81.8-87.8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10.9, 9.6-11.9), the Central African Republic (11.0, 8.8-13.8), and Somalia (11.3, 9.5-13.1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable ... |
author2 |
Clinicum University of Helsinki Department of Public Health Department of Neurosciences Neurologian yksikkö Department of Surgery Department of Oncology HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center HUS Neurocenter |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan M. Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja M. Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur M. Abera, Semaw Ferede Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith J. Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E. Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Aichour, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Addis Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid A. Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw T. Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Kivimaki, Mika Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J. Weiderpass, Elisabete GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators |
author_facet |
Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan M. Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja M. Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur M. Abera, Semaw Ferede Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith J. Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E. Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Aichour, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Addis Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid A. Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw T. Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Kivimaki, Mika Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J. Weiderpass, Elisabete GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators |
author_sort |
Fullman, Nancy |
title |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_short |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_fullStr |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_sort |
measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related sustainable development goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2016 |
publisher |
EXCERPTA MEDICA INC-ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10138/225128 |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_relation |
10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Fullman , N , Barber , R M , Abajobir , A A , Abate , K H , Abbafati , C , Abbas , K M , Abd-Allah , F , Abdulle , A M , Abera , S F , Aboyans , V , Abu-Raddad , L J , Abu-Rmeileh , N M E , Adedeji , I A , Adetokunboh , O , Afshin , A , Agrawal , A , Agrawal , S , Kiadaliri , A A , Ahmadieh , H , Ahmed , M B , Aichour , A N , Aichour , I , Aichour , M T E , Aiyar , S , Akinyemi , R O , Akseer , N , Al-Aly , Z , Alam , K , Alam , N , Alasfoor , D , Alene , K A , Alizadeh-Navaei , R , Alkerwi , A , Alla , F , Allebeck , P , Allen , C , Al-Raddadi , R , Alsharif , U , Altirkawi , K A , Alvis-Guzman , N , Amare , A T , Amini , E , Ammar , W , Antonio , C A T , Ansari , H , Anwari , P , Kivimaki , M , Meretoja , A , Meretoja , T J , Weiderpass , E & GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators 2017 , ' Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 ' , Lancet , vol. 390 , no. 10100 , pp. 1423-1459 . https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X ORCID: /0000-0001-6433-1931/work/39205403 ORCID: /0000-0002-2691-0710/work/37442076 85029166308 9e03d6f5-1594-4b67-9cec-bff198f7163d http://hdl.handle.net/10138/225128 000410630000007 |
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cc_by openAccess info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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The Lancet |
container_volume |
390 |
container_issue |
10100 |
container_start_page |
1423 |
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1459 |
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1787425715995541504 |
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ftunivhelsihelda:oai:helda.helsinki.fi:10138/225128 2024-01-07T09:44:21+01:00 Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 Fullman, Nancy Barber, Ryan M. Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja M. Abd-Allah, Foad Abdulle, Abdishakur M. Abera, Semaw Ferede Aboyans, Victor Abu-Raddad, Laith J. Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. E. Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adetokunboh, Olatunji Afshin, Ashkan Agrawal, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Aichour, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aiyar, Sneha Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akseer, Nadia Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alasfoor, Deena Alene, Kefyalew Addis Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza Alkerwi, Ala'a Alla, Francois Allebeck, Peter Allen, Christine Al-Raddadi, Rajaa Alsharif, Ubai Altirkawi, Khalid A. Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Amare, Azmeraw T. Amini, Erfan Ammar, Walid Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. Ansari, Hossein Anwari, Palwasha Kivimaki, Mika Meretoja, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J. Weiderpass, Elisabete GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators Clinicum University of Helsinki Department of Public Health Department of Neurosciences Neurologian yksikkö Department of Surgery Department of Oncology HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center HUS Neurocenter 2017-10-05T11:20:04Z 37 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10138/225128 eng eng EXCERPTA MEDICA INC-ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Fullman , N , Barber , R M , Abajobir , A A , Abate , K H , Abbafati , C , Abbas , K M , Abd-Allah , F , Abdulle , A M , Abera , S F , Aboyans , V , Abu-Raddad , L J , Abu-Rmeileh , N M E , Adedeji , I A , Adetokunboh , O , Afshin , A , Agrawal , A , Agrawal , S , Kiadaliri , A A , Ahmadieh , H , Ahmed , M B , Aichour , A N , Aichour , I , Aichour , M T E , Aiyar , S , Akinyemi , R O , Akseer , N , Al-Aly , Z , Alam , K , Alam , N , Alasfoor , D , Alene , K A , Alizadeh-Navaei , R , Alkerwi , A , Alla , F , Allebeck , P , Allen , C , Al-Raddadi , R , Alsharif , U , Altirkawi , K A , Alvis-Guzman , N , Amare , A T , Amini , E , Ammar , W , Antonio , C A T , Ansari , H , Anwari , P , Kivimaki , M , Meretoja , A , Meretoja , T J , Weiderpass , E & GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators 2017 , ' Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries : an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 ' , Lancet , vol. 390 , no. 10100 , pp. 1423-1459 . https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X ORCID: /0000-0001-6433-1931/work/39205403 ORCID: /0000-0002-2691-0710/work/37442076 85029166308 9e03d6f5-1594-4b67-9cec-bff198f7163d http://hdl.handle.net/10138/225128 000410630000007 cc_by openAccess info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA 3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational health 3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicine Article publishedVersion 2017 ftunivhelsihelda 2023-12-14T00:11:55Z Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2.5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97.5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56.7 (IQR 31.9-66.8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86.8, 95% uncertainty interval 84.6-88.9), Iceland (86.0, 84.1-87.6), and Sweden (85.6, 81.8-87.8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10.9, 9.6-11.9), the Central African Republic (11.0, 8.8-13.8), and Somalia (11.3, 9.5-13.1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository The Lancet 390 10100 1423 1459 |