The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward
Background Climatic warming predicts that species move their entire distribution poleward. Poleward movement of the ‘cold’ side of the distribution of species is empirically supported, but evidence of poleward movement at the ‘warm’ distributional side is relatively scarce. Methodology/Principal Fin...
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ftunivhelsihelda:oai:helda.helsinki.fi:10138/165845 2024-04-28T08:04:46+00:00 The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward Brommer, Jon Lehikoinen, Aleksi Valkama, Jari Finnish Museum of Natural History Zoology Biosciences Ecology and Evolutionary Biology 2016-08-16T10:44:01Z 7 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10138/165845 eng eng PUBLIC LIBRARY OF SCIENCE 10.1371/journal.pone.0043648 This work was supported by Academy of Finland (JEB). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Brommer , J , Lehikoinen , A & Valkama , J 2012 , ' The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward ' , PLoS One , vol. 7 , no. 9 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0043648 ORCID: /0000-0002-1989-277X/work/42687560 ORCID: /0000-0002-0393-7320/work/30208107 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/165845 4960ad44-5d09-42c3-82d7-4e241f77c1e2 84866696987 000309388900004 cc_by info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess openAccess BOREAL PROTECTED AREAS CLIMATE-CHANGE NORTHERN BIRDS SHIFTS VARIABILITY BOUNDARIES RESPONSES 1181 Ecology evolutionary biology Article publishedVersion 2016 ftunivhelsihelda 2024-04-09T23:59:54Z Background Climatic warming predicts that species move their entire distribution poleward. Poleward movement of the ‘cold’ side of the distribution of species is empirically supported, but evidence of poleward movement at the ‘warm’ distributional side is relatively scarce. Methodology/Principal Finding Finland has, as the first country in the world, completed three national atlas surveys of breeding birds, which we here use to calculate the sizes and weighted mean latitudes of the national range of 114 southern and 34 northern bird species during three periods (1974–1979; 1986–1989; 2006–2010), each denoting species presence in approximately 3 800 10×10 km2 squares. We find strong evidence that southern species (breeding predominantly in central Europe) showed a latitudinal shift of 1.1–1.3 km/year poleward during all three pairwise comparisons between these atlases (covering 11, 20.5 and 31.5 years respectively). We find evidence of a latitudinal shift of 0.7–0.8 km/year poleward of northern boreal and Arctic species, but this shift was not found in all study periods and may have been influenced by increased effort put into the more recent surveys. Species showed no significant correlation in changes in range size and weighted mean latitude between the first (11 year) and second (20.5 year) period covered by consecutive atlases, suggesting weak phylogenetic signal and little scope of species characteristics in explaining latitudinal avian range changes. Conclusions Extinction-driven avian range changes (at the ‘warm’ side) of a species' distribution occur at approximately half the rate of colonisation-driven range changes (at the ‘cold’ side), and its quantification therefore requires long-term monitoring data, possibly explaining why evidence for such changes is currently rare. A clear latitudinal shift in an assemblage of species may still harbour considerable temporal inconsistency in latitudinal movement on the species level. Understanding this inconsistency is important for predictive modelling of species ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Climate change HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository PLoS ONE 7 9 e43648 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
HELDA – University of Helsinki Open Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftunivhelsihelda |
language |
English |
topic |
BOREAL PROTECTED AREAS CLIMATE-CHANGE NORTHERN BIRDS SHIFTS VARIABILITY BOUNDARIES RESPONSES 1181 Ecology evolutionary biology |
spellingShingle |
BOREAL PROTECTED AREAS CLIMATE-CHANGE NORTHERN BIRDS SHIFTS VARIABILITY BOUNDARIES RESPONSES 1181 Ecology evolutionary biology Brommer, Jon Lehikoinen, Aleksi Valkama, Jari The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
topic_facet |
BOREAL PROTECTED AREAS CLIMATE-CHANGE NORTHERN BIRDS SHIFTS VARIABILITY BOUNDARIES RESPONSES 1181 Ecology evolutionary biology |
description |
Background Climatic warming predicts that species move their entire distribution poleward. Poleward movement of the ‘cold’ side of the distribution of species is empirically supported, but evidence of poleward movement at the ‘warm’ distributional side is relatively scarce. Methodology/Principal Finding Finland has, as the first country in the world, completed three national atlas surveys of breeding birds, which we here use to calculate the sizes and weighted mean latitudes of the national range of 114 southern and 34 northern bird species during three periods (1974–1979; 1986–1989; 2006–2010), each denoting species presence in approximately 3 800 10×10 km2 squares. We find strong evidence that southern species (breeding predominantly in central Europe) showed a latitudinal shift of 1.1–1.3 km/year poleward during all three pairwise comparisons between these atlases (covering 11, 20.5 and 31.5 years respectively). We find evidence of a latitudinal shift of 0.7–0.8 km/year poleward of northern boreal and Arctic species, but this shift was not found in all study periods and may have been influenced by increased effort put into the more recent surveys. Species showed no significant correlation in changes in range size and weighted mean latitude between the first (11 year) and second (20.5 year) period covered by consecutive atlases, suggesting weak phylogenetic signal and little scope of species characteristics in explaining latitudinal avian range changes. Conclusions Extinction-driven avian range changes (at the ‘warm’ side) of a species' distribution occur at approximately half the rate of colonisation-driven range changes (at the ‘cold’ side), and its quantification therefore requires long-term monitoring data, possibly explaining why evidence for such changes is currently rare. A clear latitudinal shift in an assemblage of species may still harbour considerable temporal inconsistency in latitudinal movement on the species level. Understanding this inconsistency is important for predictive modelling of species ... |
author2 |
Finnish Museum of Natural History Zoology Biosciences Ecology and Evolutionary Biology |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Brommer, Jon Lehikoinen, Aleksi Valkama, Jari |
author_facet |
Brommer, Jon Lehikoinen, Aleksi Valkama, Jari |
author_sort |
Brommer, Jon |
title |
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
title_short |
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
title_full |
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
title_fullStr |
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward |
title_sort |
breeding ranges of central european and arctic bird species move poleward |
publisher |
PUBLIC LIBRARY OF SCIENCE |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10138/165845 |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Climate change |
op_relation |
10.1371/journal.pone.0043648 This work was supported by Academy of Finland (JEB). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Brommer , J , Lehikoinen , A & Valkama , J 2012 , ' The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move Poleward ' , PLoS One , vol. 7 , no. 9 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0043648 ORCID: /0000-0002-1989-277X/work/42687560 ORCID: /0000-0002-0393-7320/work/30208107 http://hdl.handle.net/10138/165845 4960ad44-5d09-42c3-82d7-4e241f77c1e2 84866696987 000309388900004 |
op_rights |
cc_by info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess openAccess |
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PLoS ONE |
container_volume |
7 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
e43648 |
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