Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe?
The current pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is having negative health, social and economic consequences worldwide. In Europe, the pandemic started to develop strongly at the end of February and beginning of Ma...
Published in: | Environmental Research |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
2021
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10256/19674 |
id |
ftunivgironadugi:oai:dugi-doc.udg.edu:10256/19674 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunivgironadugi:oai:dugi-doc.udg.edu:10256/19674 2023-07-30T04:02:09+02:00 Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? Sánchez Lorenzo, Arturo Vaquero Martínez, Javier Calbó Angrill, Josep Wild, Martin Santurtún, Ana López Bustins, Joan Albert Vaquero Martínez, José M. Folini, Doris Antón, Manuel AEI 2021-03-01 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/10256/19674 eng eng Elsevier info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.envres.2020.110626 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0013-9351 PID2019-105901RB-I00 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2019-105901RB-I00/ES/CONDICIONES FRONTERA ENTRE NUBE Y AEROSOL: TRATAMIENTO EN MODELOS RADIATIVOS Y ATMOSFERICOS/ http://hdl.handle.net/10256/19674 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess © Environmental Research, 2021, vol. 194, art. núm. 110626 Articles publicats (D-F) COVID-19 (Malaltia) COVID-19 (Disease) Humitat atmosfèrica Humidity Circulació atmosfèrica Atmospheric circulation info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion peer-reviewed 2021 ftunivgironadugi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.110626 2023-07-11T23:45:37Z The current pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is having negative health, social and economic consequences worldwide. In Europe, the pandemic started to develop strongly at the end of February and beginning of March 2020. Subsequently, it spread over the continent, with special virulence in northern Italy and inland Spain. In this study we show that an unusual persistent anticyclonic situation prevailing in southwestern Europe during February 2020 (i.e. anomalously strong positive phase of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations) could have resulted in favorable conditions, e.g., in terms of air temperature and humidity among other factors, in Italy and Spain for a quicker spread of the virus compared with the rest of the European countries. It seems plausible that the strong atmospheric stability and associated dry conditions that dominated in these regions may have favored the virus propagation, both outdoors and especially indoors, by short-range droplet and aerosol (airborne) transmission, or/and by changing social contact patterns. Later recent atmospheric circulation conditions in Europe (July 2020) and the U.S. (October 2020) seem to support our hypothesis, although further research is needed in order to evaluate other confounding variables. Interestingly, the atmospheric conditions during the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918 seem to have resembled at some stage with the current COVID-19 pandemic A. Sanchez-Lorenzo was supported by a fellowship (RYC-2016–20784) and a project (PID2019-105901RB-I00) funded by the Ministry of Science and Innovation of Spain. Javier Vaquero-Martinez was supported by a predoctoral fellowship (PD18029) from Junta de Extremadura and European Social Fund. J.A. Lopez-Bustins was supported by Climatology Group of the University of Barcelona (2017 SGR 1362, Catalan Government) and the CLICES project (CGL2017-83866-C3-2-R, AEI/FEDER, UE). This research was supported by the Economy and ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic North Atlantic Universitat de Girona: DUGiDocs (UdG Digital Repository) Arctic Lopez ENVELOPE(-63.567,-63.567,-64.850,-64.850) Environmental Research 194 110626 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Universitat de Girona: DUGiDocs (UdG Digital Repository) |
op_collection_id |
ftunivgironadugi |
language |
English |
topic |
COVID-19 (Malaltia) COVID-19 (Disease) Humitat atmosfèrica Humidity Circulació atmosfèrica Atmospheric circulation |
spellingShingle |
COVID-19 (Malaltia) COVID-19 (Disease) Humitat atmosfèrica Humidity Circulació atmosfèrica Atmospheric circulation Sánchez Lorenzo, Arturo Vaquero Martínez, Javier Calbó Angrill, Josep Wild, Martin Santurtún, Ana López Bustins, Joan Albert Vaquero Martínez, José M. Folini, Doris Antón, Manuel Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
topic_facet |
COVID-19 (Malaltia) COVID-19 (Disease) Humitat atmosfèrica Humidity Circulació atmosfèrica Atmospheric circulation |
description |
The current pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is having negative health, social and economic consequences worldwide. In Europe, the pandemic started to develop strongly at the end of February and beginning of March 2020. Subsequently, it spread over the continent, with special virulence in northern Italy and inland Spain. In this study we show that an unusual persistent anticyclonic situation prevailing in southwestern Europe during February 2020 (i.e. anomalously strong positive phase of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations) could have resulted in favorable conditions, e.g., in terms of air temperature and humidity among other factors, in Italy and Spain for a quicker spread of the virus compared with the rest of the European countries. It seems plausible that the strong atmospheric stability and associated dry conditions that dominated in these regions may have favored the virus propagation, both outdoors and especially indoors, by short-range droplet and aerosol (airborne) transmission, or/and by changing social contact patterns. Later recent atmospheric circulation conditions in Europe (July 2020) and the U.S. (October 2020) seem to support our hypothesis, although further research is needed in order to evaluate other confounding variables. Interestingly, the atmospheric conditions during the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918 seem to have resembled at some stage with the current COVID-19 pandemic A. Sanchez-Lorenzo was supported by a fellowship (RYC-2016–20784) and a project (PID2019-105901RB-I00) funded by the Ministry of Science and Innovation of Spain. Javier Vaquero-Martinez was supported by a predoctoral fellowship (PD18029) from Junta de Extremadura and European Social Fund. J.A. Lopez-Bustins was supported by Climatology Group of the University of Barcelona (2017 SGR 1362, Catalan Government) and the CLICES project (CGL2017-83866-C3-2-R, AEI/FEDER, UE). This research was supported by the Economy and ... |
author2 |
AEI |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Sánchez Lorenzo, Arturo Vaquero Martínez, Javier Calbó Angrill, Josep Wild, Martin Santurtún, Ana López Bustins, Joan Albert Vaquero Martínez, José M. Folini, Doris Antón, Manuel |
author_facet |
Sánchez Lorenzo, Arturo Vaquero Martínez, Javier Calbó Angrill, Josep Wild, Martin Santurtún, Ana López Bustins, Joan Albert Vaquero Martínez, José M. Folini, Doris Antón, Manuel |
author_sort |
Sánchez Lorenzo, Arturo |
title |
Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
title_short |
Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
title_full |
Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
title_fullStr |
Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of COVID-19 in Europe? |
title_sort |
did anomalous atmospheric circulation favor the spread of covid-19 in europe? |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10256/19674 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-63.567,-63.567,-64.850,-64.850) |
geographic |
Arctic Lopez |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Lopez |
genre |
Arctic North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Arctic North Atlantic |
op_source |
© Environmental Research, 2021, vol. 194, art. núm. 110626 Articles publicats (D-F) |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.envres.2020.110626 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/issn/0013-9351 PID2019-105901RB-I00 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2019-105901RB-I00/ES/CONDICIONES FRONTERA ENTRE NUBE Y AEROSOL: TRATAMIENTO EN MODELOS RADIATIVOS Y ATMOSFERICOS/ http://hdl.handle.net/10256/19674 |
op_rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.110626 |
container_title |
Environmental Research |
container_volume |
194 |
container_start_page |
110626 |
_version_ |
1772812880224190464 |