Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index
This paper reports on the influence that extreme values in the tails of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index probability density function (PDF) can exert on temperatures in Europe.When the NAO Index enters into its lowest (10% quantile or less) and highest (90% quantile or higher) modes, Europ...
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ftunivgeneve:oai:unige.ch:aou:unige:103005 2023-10-01T03:57:49+02:00 Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index Beniston, Martin 2018 https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:103005 eng eng info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/nyas.13636 https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:103005 unige:103005 info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess ISSN: 0077-8923 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, (2018) info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9 North Atlantic Oscillations Temperatures Extremes Europe info:eu-repo/semantics/article Text Article scientifique info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2018 ftunivgeneve https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13636 2023-09-07T07:43:37Z This paper reports on the influence that extreme values in the tails of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index probability density function (PDF) can exert on temperatures in Europe.When the NAO Index enters into its lowest (10% quantile or less) and highest (90% quantile or higher) modes, European temperatures often exhibit large negative or positive departures from their mean values, respectively. Analyses of the joint quantiles of the Index and temperatures (i.e., the simultaneous exceedance of particular quantile thresholds by the two variables) show that temperatures enter into the upper or lower tails of their PDF when the NAO Index also enters into its extreme tails, more often that could be expected from random statistics. Studies of this nature help further our understanding of the manner by which mechanisms of decadal-scale climate variability can influence extremes of temperature—and thus perhaps improve the forecasting of extreme temperatures in weather and climate models. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Université de Genève: Archive ouverte UNIGE Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1436 1 174 183 |
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Open Polar |
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Université de Genève: Archive ouverte UNIGE |
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ftunivgeneve |
language |
English |
topic |
info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9 North Atlantic Oscillations Temperatures Extremes Europe |
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info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9 North Atlantic Oscillations Temperatures Extremes Europe Beniston, Martin Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
topic_facet |
info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9 North Atlantic Oscillations Temperatures Extremes Europe |
description |
This paper reports on the influence that extreme values in the tails of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index probability density function (PDF) can exert on temperatures in Europe.When the NAO Index enters into its lowest (10% quantile or less) and highest (90% quantile or higher) modes, European temperatures often exhibit large negative or positive departures from their mean values, respectively. Analyses of the joint quantiles of the Index and temperatures (i.e., the simultaneous exceedance of particular quantile thresholds by the two variables) show that temperatures enter into the upper or lower tails of their PDF when the NAO Index also enters into its extreme tails, more often that could be expected from random statistics. Studies of this nature help further our understanding of the manner by which mechanisms of decadal-scale climate variability can influence extremes of temperature—and thus perhaps improve the forecasting of extreme temperatures in weather and climate models. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Beniston, Martin |
author_facet |
Beniston, Martin |
author_sort |
Beniston, Martin |
title |
Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
title_short |
Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
title_full |
Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
title_fullStr |
Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modulation of extreme temperatures in Europe under extreme values of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index |
title_sort |
modulation of extreme temperatures in europe under extreme values of the north atlantic oscillation index |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:103005 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
ISSN: 0077-8923 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, (2018) |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/nyas.13636 https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:103005 unige:103005 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13636 |
container_title |
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
container_volume |
1436 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
174 |
op_container_end_page |
183 |
_version_ |
1778529883431895040 |